Dow Tumbles on Cruz Iowa Caucus Win – Ep. 137

Dow Tumbles on Cruz Iowa Caucus Win – Ep. 137


* It was another tough day in the stock market today; the Dow Jones finished down 295 points, NASDAQ fared even worse, down 103 points, that's about 2.25%
* These 100-point moves are coming quite often now; in the NASDAQ, the transports were hardest hit once again down 204 points - that's almost 3%
* When I saw this carnage, I wondered if North Korea had tested another nuclear bomb - early in January the market was down about 250 points and they blamed it on the North Korean bomb test
* The markets have been moving about that much every single day! What are the odds that the Korean test had anything to do with the market drop that day?
* Everybody wants to find a way to rationalize a weak market, but look, nothing happened today
* The financials got clobbered - Goldman Sachs is down 5% on the day, getting ready to break through $150; it was a $200 stock not too long ago
* There's a lot of air beneath this chart - is that all oil related?
* You might as well blame today's selloff on the fact that Ted Cruz won the Iowa Caucus
* The reality is the market is going down because it's a bear market
* The market's going down because the U.S. economy is in a recession
* There's nothing the Fed can do without loosing credibility or acknowledge that the economy is much weaker that it thought
* Going back prior to the rate hike, one of the reasons I constantly said I did not expect the Fed to raise rates is because I knew if they did, they would be in a very bad position
* I said, what's going to happen if the Fed raises rates and the stock market starts to decline, how are they going to stop it? They cant.
* Since QE1 in 2009, every time the stock market has faltered the Fed has either launched another round of QE or hinted that it was considering another round
* That's what saved the market
* That how "Buy the Dips" worked - you had the Bernanke put or the Yellen put
* If that put expired with that rate hike in December, then how was the Fed going to stop the carnage?
* It can't hint about another round of quantitative easing while it's raising rates
* Most people believe that the Fed will not raise rates 4 times this year, maybe only once or twice
* But if the market is already collapsing based on the first rate hike, how much lower will it fall if the Fed puts a couple more nails in the coffin?
* The only the Fed can save this market is to come out and:

* a) Take future rate hikes off the table and
* b) Lower rates


* They are trying to get the ECB and the Bank of Japan to help, and that hasn't worked - each rally has reversed
* The Fed will have to get in on this: sending the ECB and the Bank of Japan in will not do it. This is a woman's job, and it's going to be Janet Yellen is the only one who can stop the market from falling
* We're going to get the jobs number this week - with a first look at it with the ADP number tomorrow but we get the big Non-Farm Payroll number on Friday
* The only thing that can really save this market is a horrific jobs number is really bad, then Janet Yellen can talk about not raising rates based on the jobs numbers, so she doesn't have to claim it is based on the stock market
* If we get another on of these good jobs numbers, of course it's only good superficially, it's not really good, it's just a high number, then this market's going to tank
* Because the Fed is back in the predicament of not cutting rates because they don't want to admit that the jobs numbers are bogus
* I happen to be in the supermarket with my 13-year old son and he noticed a help wanted sign on the door, saying, "Part Time Positions Available - Multiple Departments"
* They don't want any more full time people - that is the secret to the "strength" in our econo... Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1086)

Switzerland Loses Currency War Swiss Win – Ep. 44

Switzerland Loses Currency War Swiss Win – Ep. 44

* The Swiss people have given up the inflation ghost to win the currency war * Media reports negative on the news: "silly decision" * Oil down against the Swiss Franc * Swiss stocks up in U.S. dollars * Wall Street expects Eurozone QE, but without Swiss, QE might be less likely * Gold up against other currencies * Franc surging in value against the dollar * This move may signal economic reform * Unfortunately Janet Yellen is not going to get this memo * Volatility from Swiss move is nothing compared to consequences of a U.S. QE 4 * This move is bearish for the U.S. market * Buckle up, it's going to be a bumpy ride Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Jan 201517min

Denial Runs Deep From Wall Street To Bitcoin – Ep 43

Denial Runs Deep From Wall Street To Bitcoin – Ep 43

* Dow down 600 points in between Tuesday high and Wednesday low * Stock market and real estate are pillars of the phony recovery * Loose government lending standards encouraging mortgage defaults * Dollar down and gold up on low retail sales numbers * Fed not likely to sit out a U.S. recession, trading support for Wall Street over the dollar * The next QE could be bearish for bonds and the dollar * Demise of the recovery illusion will also hurt stocks * Bitcoins down on more bad news * Price does matter as investors seek value * Irredeemable digital currencies will never be money Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Jan 201533min

Jobs Up But Earnings and Participation Down – Ep. 42

Jobs Up But Earnings and Participation Down – Ep. 42

* December jobs report up; unemployment down * Average hourly earnings dropped * Labor force participation hits new low, except for older Americans * Fewer young workers supporting the Social Security system * Most credit comprised of student loans and auto loans * Auto delinquencies highest since 2008, indicating a bubble * Obama's plan to make community college free will further inflate costs * Charles Evans calls for more inflation before raising interest rates * Denies relationship between cheap money and bubbles * The term "patience" indicates no timeframe for higher rates * Gold stocks very strong and gold prices continue to rise in face of rising dollar Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Jan 201521min

Gold Breaks Out, Stocks Break Down – Ep. 41

Gold Breaks Out, Stocks Break Down – Ep. 41

* World markets left the gates weak on first full trading week of the year * Catalysts: Declining oil prices and Greece's potential Eurozone exit * The Euro has gone sideways against the dollar for 9 years * The U.S. stock market will decline until the market believes rate hikes are off the table * U.S. will not experience accelerating growth in 2015 * Evidence shows the home market is not strengthening * Young entrepreneurship at a 20-year low * Falling oil prices are a symptom economy is not expanding Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Jan 201522min

As The New Year Begins, Will The  Recovery End? – Ep. 40

As The New Year Begins, Will The Recovery End? – Ep. 40

* Falling unemployment trends seem to be over * PMI "unexpectedly" drops to 53.9% * Construction spending "unexpectedly" fell .3% * December ISM fell to 55.5 * Draghi's comments at ECB sparked U.S. Dollar rally despite weak data * Eurozone QE not likely * 2014 was a flat year for gold, despite bad press * Dollar price based on higher interest rate expectations * Price of gold has tripled since 2005 * Gold mining costs rise with inflation * The real bubble is the confidence in central bankers Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Jan 201535min

Christmas Snow Job on Wall Street – Ep. 39

Christmas Snow Job on Wall Street – Ep. 39

Christmas Snow job on Wall Street * Dow ended Christmas Eve Day above 18,000 for second day * Catalyst was bigger than expected revision to Q3 GDP to 5% * Big disconnect between economic performance and expectations * Consumer spending up mostly on healthcare * Inventory increases in expectation of future sales * Data for Q4 is lower * Home sales continue to drop Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Dec 201426min

SNB Takes Snap From The Fed And Markets Run With The Ball – Ep. 38

SNB Takes Snap From The Fed And Markets Run With The Ball – Ep. 38

SNB Takes Snap From The Fed And Markets Run With The Ball * Negative deposit rates in Switzerland send U.S. stocks up 420 points. * Two-day Wall Street rally over 700 points on nothing but Central Bank inflation * Swiss move triggers QE speculation and higher gold prices * Janet Yellen merely suggested the economy is strong enough to raise rates in the future * Meanwhile, economy is slowest since last February Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Dec 201422min

Yellen Bluffs Future Rate Hikes and Traders Pretend to Believe Her – Ep. 37

Yellen Bluffs Future Rate Hikes and Traders Pretend to Believe Her – Ep. 37

Yellen Bluffs Future Rate Hikes and Traders Pretend to Believe Her - Ep. 37 * FOMC wrapped up meeting with Yellen press conference * Most people expected "considerable time" to be dropped * Bloomberg believes "considerable" dropped in favor of "patience" * The Fed didn't change anything * The Fed didn't actually say anything * Markets up on Yellen's optimistic non-news * Why wait to raise interest rates? * The longer the Fed waits to raise rates, the more painful it will be for the economy * What is the Fed's strategy if economy slows down? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Dec 201425min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

badfluence
framgangspodden
varvet
rss-svart-marknad
rss-jossan-nina
uppgang-och-fall
lastbilspodden
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
avanzapodden
24fragor
rss-borsens-finest
bathina-en-podcast
affarsvarlden
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
borsmorgon
tabberaset
rss-dagen-med-di
kapitalet-en-podd-om-ekonomi
rss-en-rik-historia
dynastin