Why Didn’t the Fed “Just Say No”? –  Ep. 149

Why Didn’t the Fed “Just Say No”? – Ep. 149


* So far it's been a pretty light week but what little economic data that has been released is bad, and all of it evidences the recession that nobody wants to acknowledge
* Let's start with the Consumer Credit numbers that came out on Monday. Not only was the number extremely weak, but the revisions to the prior month were even weaker
* The initial report for the growth in consumer credit in December was $21.3 billion
* Now I don't think growth in consumer credit is good; I think it undermines long-term living standards
* The last thing you want to do is borrow money to consume, one of the points I really hammered home in my book, "How an Economy Grows and Why it Crashes"
* If you haven't bought that book, you should get a copy
* Be sure to pick the collector's edition because, in addition to being a really beautiful book, it has two entirely new chapters. If you already have the original one, buy the collector's edition and give the original away to a friend.
* Consumers should not borrow to consume. They should save to consume.
* Businesses should use our savings to invest in capital equipment to grow the economy
* When you consume savings, you undermine long-term economic growth and therefore future consumption is diminished
* The problem is we're living in a bubble, and in order to sustain this bubble economy, consumers have to keep spending
* In this economy, however in order to keep spending they have to keep borrowing because they're certainly not earning, and they don't have any savings
* This has to blow up eventually but right now, it's all about keeping the music going
* Consumer credit was revised down from the originally reported $21.3 billion to just $6.4 billion of growth
* They were looking for January to grow by $16.5 billion, and of course, this also includes student loans, as well as credit cards
* Instead, we got an increase of just $10.5 billion
* Consumer credit growth imploded in December and January
* If there's all this job creation why aren't these newly-employed people spending money?
* This shows you the jobs are going to people who already have part-time jobs, and need to supplement hours and wages
* Also, we got the Small Business Optimism Index, which last month was 93.9, and there was an expectation that it would increase to 94.2, that small businesses would be a little more optimistic, yet it dropped a full point to 92.9 - the lowest level in 2 years
* If that is the case, why are they hiring people?
* The type of hiring that is going on is hiring part time workers to replace full-time workers
* Which brings me to the data that came out today: Wholesale Trade
* Inventories were expected to drop, but they increased by .3%
* And the inventory for December was revised from -.1 to unchanged
* The reason inventories spiked is because sales collapsed
* The inventory to sales ratio just hit a new high, at 1.35
* This is a 7-year high. The last time the inventory to sales ratio was this high was in April of 2009. We were still knee-deep in the Great Recession
* If this recovery even exists, why isn't the merchandise being bought?
* At some point this year, the lone remaining bright spot in this horrible economic landscape - the number of jobs being created - will turn down
* We got more disappointing corporate earnings news this week
* The reason the stock market is moving slightly up is because of the sentiment that the Fed will not raise rates in the near future
* It's not just the stock market - Oil is above $38/barrel
* Also some of the industrial metals have had huge spikes
* And of course, the dollar is going down against other currencies
* The Australian dollar hit an 8- month high
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Avsnitt(1086)

Government Hiring Spree Means Higher Taxes and Inflation - Ep 982

Government Hiring Spree Means Higher Taxes and Inflation - Ep 982

The September Jobs Report: A Deeper Dive into Government Hiring and Market ImplicationsCut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Get $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter unpacks the September jobs report, highlighting the surprising surge in government hiring amidst looming elections. He questions the authenticity and timing of these figures, suggesting political motivations behind the data boost for the Biden-Harris administration. Peter contrasts private versus government job creation, explaining the economic implications of these new roles funded by taxpayers. As he laments the service sector's dominance and the fading strength of manufacturing, he predicts post-election job revisions. Peter also advises against broad faith in market indicators and reiterates the urgency of investing in gold and silver stocks, casting a skeptical eye on Bitcoin's faltering performance compared to gold. Overall, he stands firm against superficial economic narratives, advocating for practical investment strategies informed by a realistic outlook.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffTimestamps:00:42 Jobs Report and Political Implications04:18 Analyzing the Jobs Data09:57 Government vs. Private Sector Jobs14:53 Economic Consequences of Government Hiring25:08 Labor Market Developments and Automation32:51 Employer Liability and Automation34:22 Market Reactions and Fed Rate Cuts36:20 Oil Prices and Inflation Concerns37:51 Manufacturing Recession and Service Sector Strength45:49 Gold and Silver Market Dynamics52:59 Emerging Markets and Investment Opportunities54:23 Bitcoin's Bear Market Analysis57:28 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#jobsreport #governmentjobs #inflationOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

5 Okt 202455min

Government Stimulus Is Inflation in Disguise - Ep 981

Government Stimulus Is Inflation in Disguise - Ep 981

Gold reaches record highs, silver follows. Market reactions, inflation concerns, Fed's policies, and economic predictions Get an extra 3 months free. https://expressvpn.com/goldGet $20 credit by being one of the first 500 traders. https://kalshi.com/goldPeter discusses the new all-time records set by gold and silver, highlights the puzzling behavior of gold mining stocks, and criticizes the mainstream financial media's understanding of inflation and Federal Reserve policies. He elaborates on the significant data from the Fed's favorite inflation measure, the core PCE, revealing how it misrepresents the true state of inflation. Peter also explains why the Fed's strategy is misguided and suggests that persistent inflation will lead to an eventual return to QE. He ties in how geopolitical moves, like China's recent stimulus announcement, and domestic factors, including Saudi Arabia's oil production strategy, influence market dynamics. Furthermore, Peter argues for the importance of investing in gold and silver as he predicts a substantial increase in their value due to ongoing economic missteps by the Fed.Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/newsBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Sep 202453min

Fed Caves With Aggressive Rate Cut - Ep 980

Fed Caves With Aggressive Rate Cut - Ep 980

FOMC Rate Cut Analysis: Fed's Decision, Market Reactions, and Economic RealitiesPeter Schiff analyzes the highly anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut following the two-day FOMC meeting, emphasizing its effects on the markets and broader economy. He critiques Jerome Powell's justification for the 50 basis points cut, the Fed's stance on inflation, and the true state of employment in the U.S. Schiff also discusses the contradictions in Trump's and Harris's economic promises, their implications for future fiscal policies, and the potential consequences for the U.S. dollar, interest rates, and the overall economy. He highlights the ongoing issues with the national debt and the risks of price controls. Additionally, Schiff advises on investment strategies, including gold, silver, and international equities, amid the anticipated economic downturn.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff01:39 Market Reactions and Predictions02:36 Inflation and Price Controls Discussion05:11 Trump's Economic Policies and Price Controls08:53 Interest Rates and Economic Indicators16:37 Fed's Rate Cut and Market Impact28:19 Questioning the Strength of the Economy29:01 The Fed's Balance Sheet Dilemma30:01 Historical Perspective on Interest Rates33:33 The Recession and Rising Interest Rates38:27 Trump's Economic Promises and Criticisms47:13 Preparing for the Economic Collapse51:09 Investment Strategies for the Future53:09 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#FOMCMeeting #InterestRates #EconomicOutlookOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

19 Sep 202453min

Gold Soars as The Fed Readies Rate Cuts - Ep 979

Gold Soars as The Fed Readies Rate Cuts - Ep 979

Market Analysis, Gold Surge, and Personal AnnouncementPeter Schiff discusses the stock markets' performance on Friday the 13th, noting that while major indexes ended on a positive note, the only asset to hit a new all-time high was gold. He interrupts the usual podcast to announce his wife Lauren's new music duo, 'The Laughing Cats,' and their debut album, 'Funny Money,' highlighting the first single 'G.Y.B.' now available on Spotify. Peter then resumes, detailing gold's significant rise to new record highs and contrasting it with the stock market's performance in terms of gold pricing. He also critiques the U.S. budget deficit, discusses potential economic impacts of the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut, and assesses the presidential debates, focusing on issues of tariffs and tax cuts. Peter emphasizes the investment potential of gold and gold stocks amidst the current economic landscape.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/gold 🎶 New single from Laughing Cats out today: https://open.spotify.com/artist/2f3z6IPGfomCl9FsJeyb8d?si=9morm92NRdikGW3hbt0iPA🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff00:25 Stock Market and Gold Performance00:46 Announcement: The Laughing Cats' New Album04:48 Gold's Record Highs and Market Analysis17:25 Bitcoin and Oil Market Insights22:46 Inflation and Federal Reserve Rate Cuts26:22 CPI and PPI Data Analysis32:56 Wall Street's Call for Rate Cuts33:27 Record-Breaking Budget Deficit36:07 Economic Weakness and Job Statistics37:26 Presidential Debate Analysis43:32 Tax Cut Promises and Economic Realities48:23 Tariffs and Their Impact54:43 The Illusion of Tax Cuts01:00:20 Conclusion and Investment Advice#goldprice #investmenttips #stockmarketanalysisOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Sep 20241h

Financial Markets Back on the Brink of Collapse - Ep 978

Financial Markets Back on the Brink of Collapse - Ep 978

Market Turmoil & Economic Uncertainty: A Deep Dive into Non-Farm Payroll Report and Fed PoliciesIn this episode, we explore today's weaker-than-expected non-farm payroll report and its impact on the markets. Despite a brief improvement in stock indices following rate cut expectations, concerns loom as markets question whether a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut is forthcoming. The podcast dissects the current state of the labor market, the potential Fed actions, and the implications for tech stocks, gold stocks, cryptocurrencies, and overall market dynamics. We also delve into the historical context, drawing parallels to the financial crisis of 2008 and discussing the looming recession and inflation threats.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at NetSuite.com/GOLD🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiff#stockmarket #inflation #cryptocurrencyOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Sep 20241h 1min

Making Lemonade Out of Economic Lemons - Ep 977

Making Lemonade Out of Economic Lemons - Ep 977

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. 🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Sep 202454min

The Fed Makes Its Biggest Mistake Yet - Ep 976

The Fed Makes Its Biggest Mistake Yet - Ep 976

Market Turmoil, Political Drama, and Economic ForecastsPeter delves into a tumultuous week in the markets and politics. He covers key events including Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech and its implications for interest rate cuts, the Democratic National Convention, and Robert Kennedy Jr.'s decision to drop out and endorse Donald Trump. Peter argues that the Federal Reserve is pivoting from fighting inflation to addressing rising unemployment, critiques the state of unemployment statistics and job market data, and discusses the potential for a gold price boom amidst a weakening dollar. Additionally, Peter offers in-depth commentary on the flaws in government spending and social security, the misrepresentations in political narratives, and explores future economic outlooks. He closes with a call to invest in gold and gold stocks.NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. http://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Aug 202455min

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

Unprecedented Gold Highs and Underlying Market DynamicsPeter discusses the historic rise of gold prices, which closed above $2,500 per ounce for the first time. He contrasts the performance of gold with that of Bitcoin, highlighting gold's significant growth since the start of the century. Peter also explores the underwhelming response of gold mining stocks to gold's record highs and predicts a bullish future for gold prices and mining stocks. Additionally, he critiques potential economic policies of Kamala Harris, cautioning that they may lead to increased inflation. Peter urges listeners to invest in gold, silver, and mining stocks, emphasizing the importance of proactive investment to mitigate inflationary risks.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Aug 202455min

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