Ep. 165: Markets In Denial About Jobs As Trump Lets Truth Slip About Debt

Ep. 165: Markets In Denial About Jobs As Trump Lets Truth Slip About Debt


* Today we got the government's Non-Farm Payroll report, otherwise known as the Jobs Report, for the month of April and pretty much all the mainstream Wall Street guys were looking for another strong report
* In fact, earlier in the week Goldman Sachs was out saying that the 200,000 consensus estimate was too low!
* The optimism was unfazed by the much weaker than expected ADP report I spoke about on my last podcast on Wednesday, which came in much lighter than expected
* So, people didn't care, they said, "That's a one-off event, we're still looking for a good number, and we got a weak report
* Instead of 200,000 jobs we only got 160,000 jobs
* And they actually revised down the last couple of months
* But let's get into some of the details, because it gets worse, the further beneath the surface you look
* The unemployment rate held steady at 5%; they were expecting it to notch down to 4.9% - that did not happen
* Private payrolls also much lighter than expected; they were looking for 195,000; they got 171,000 and they revised down last month's from 195K to 184K
* They did get the .3% increase in average hourly earnings, but they forgot to point out that they revised month's .3% increase down to .2% so you can chalk that one up as a miss, despite the fact that nobody was talking about it
* The bigger miss was in the Labor Force Participation Rate
* Last month it was 63%, which was a move up, but in April it came back down to 62.8%
* 562,000 people left the labor force during the month of April
* A massive exodus led by young people
* A breakdown in the Household Survey for ages 20-24 reported 155,000 job losses in April
* For ages 25 - 54 - 284,000 jobs losses
* For ages over the age of 55 - this is the highest it has ever been
* Janet Yellen still wants to pretend that the reason the Labor Force Participation Rate is declining is because the Baby Boom is retiring - how much longer is she going to get away with that lie?
* The Baby Boom is too broke to retire
* The people leaving the workforce are young people in their 20's and 30's
* A breakdown of job gains by sector shows the biggest sector is professional business and temporary services - 56,000 gains
* Healthcare and education was high, and leisure and hospitality came in third
* Manufacturing barely gained any jobs after a huge loss the prior month
* Wholesale trade barely gained any
* Construction, after a big jump last month - only 1,000 jobs
* Retail trade lost 3,000 jobs
* Mining and logging continues to lose jobs
* On a good note, government actually lost jobs
* That's a good thing - we don't need so many people working for government - they're not productive
* Rick Santelli made a very good point today on CNBC, talking about all the jobs created at the TSA
* We're not better off with those jobs - they decrease our productivity
* As I mentioned on my last podcast, we've now had 2 consecutive quarters of losses in productivity
* Despite this bad jobs report, the market shrugged it off
* The stock market rallied because bad news is good news - the odds of a Fed rate hike are now the lowest they've ever been
* If you look at the Foreign Exchange markets, the dollar was broadly higher today
* It was up big against the Australian dollar because the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered their inflation forecast
* They lowered it from 2-3% to 1-2%
* You would think that's good news, because it means the cost of living will rise only 1-2%
* Back in the day, news of low inflation sent a currency higher, because it was not losing purchasing power
* The news sent the Australian dollar tumbling because the market now expects the Australian Reserve will have to c... Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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2023 Begins Where 2022 Left Off - Ep 864

2023 Begins Where 2022 Left Off - Ep 864

· 2023 is gearing up for a lot of volatility and weakness in the stock market.· 2023 stock market highs may have already been made.· NASDAQ stocks will implode when Cathie Wood turns from being biggest buyer to biggest seller.· 2023 will likely be the year Bitcoin collapses and gold shines.Get an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Jan 202344min

This Time Japan Dropped a Bomb on Us - Ep 863

This Time Japan Dropped a Bomb on Us - Ep 863

· Everyone realizes recession is coming, but nobody realizes how bad it will be.· Too many people are getting rich off war in Ukraine for there to be a chance of peace.· Gold and silver mining stocks are at the beginning of a bull market.· Institutional interest in Bitcoin is gone.· Bank of Japan has now joined the tightening party.Go to https://bambee.com and type in Peter Schiff under PODCAST when you sign upGo to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE trial.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Dec 202251min

Powell Admits He’s Clueless on the US Economy - Ep 862

Powell Admits He’s Clueless on the US Economy - Ep 862

· The days of low inflation are over.· Jerome Powell threw cold water on investors’ hope.· Terminal rate of interest continues higher.· Mr. Schiff Goes to Washington: https://youtu.be/mANOqcnLtqA· Mr. Schiff Returns to Washington: https://youtu.be/UvMGHzB37loGet an extra 3 months. https://expressvpn.com/gold.Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE trial.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Dec 202256min

Bad News on Inflation Should Not Be a Surprise - Ep 861

Bad News on Inflation Should Not Be a Surprise - Ep 861

· 2023 will see a new high-water mark in producer prices.· Declining Coinbase stock is an ominous sign for crypto market.· Kevin O’Leary is culpable in the FTX scam.· Americans on the hook for Teamsters pensions.Thanks Raycon! For a limited time, go to https://buyraycon.com/gold and use code HOLIDAY for 15% off your entire Raycon order.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

11 Dec 202248min

Investors Are Mistaken About the Fed’s Mistake - Ep 860

Investors Are Mistaken About the Fed’s Mistake - Ep 860

· Weakening economy will expand inflation· Bitcoin is building a trapdoor, not a bottom.· Jobs under Biden were returned, not created.Cut your wireless bill to $15 a month. For a limited time, buy any 3-month Mint Mobile plan and get 3 more months FREE at https://mintmobile.com/goldJoin my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Dec 202238min

The Dollar Breaks Down as Gold Breaks Out - Ep 859

The Dollar Breaks Down as Gold Breaks Out - Ep 859

· New jobs created indicate a weak labor market.· Manufacturing is as weak now is it was in the worst part of the covid pandemic.· 2023 will be an explosive year for gold and silver.Go to https://fountainheadme.com/peter for a free analysis that will tell you how to be more profitable selling products online.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Dec 202246min

Markets Finally Call Powell’s Bluff - Ep 858

Markets Finally Call Powell’s Bluff - Ep 858

· The next leg down in the dollar and the next leg up in gold may be here.· High interest rates creating a glut of sellers and a lack of buyers in housing.· 2023 will be the year that the air finally comes out of the Bitcoin bubble.Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member.Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/investRATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/newsBuy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrashFollow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiffFollow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiffOur Sponsors:* Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Dec 202238min

Deja Vu All Over Again… Again – Ep 857

Deja Vu All Over Again… Again – Ep 857

· Dubai is a world leader in economic freedom. · Financial media will ignore gold stocks until they’ve tripled. · More fraud happens under regulation than without. Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE trial. Get an extra 3 months Free on a one year package. https://expressvpn.com/gold Join my Locals community to get The Peter Schiff Show ad-free and a day early! Plus get access to special live reports and Q&As. Visit https://schiffradio.com/premium to become a member. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Nov 202253min

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