Fed Forecasts – Propaganda or Incompetence? – Ep. 246

Fed Forecasts – Propaganda or Incompetence? – Ep. 246

Summary: Last quarter the Atlanta Fed's Q1 GDP forecast was 3.4% in February. The most recent number was actually .7%. After all the negative economic data that came out today suggesting that Q1 could be revised lower, the Atlanta Fed came out with their forecast for Q2 GDP at 4.3%. How is this possible, with no economic data to support this projection? Either they believe their policies are still valid in the face of data on a downward trajectory, or they are simply acting as salesmen, promoting economic health regardless of the actual data.

* Today was Donald Trump's 100th day as President of the United States
* The media is covering this event and looking back over the last 100 days
* Trying to assess the effectiveness of Trump's presidency thus far
* What has he accomplished, how much progress has he made;
* I think the origin of assessing the first 100 days of a presidency goes back to Franklin Delano Roosevelt
* Who of course became president during the Great Depression
* I think the President accomplished a lot during his first 100 days
* That's been the benchmark for which future presidents have been judged
* It's not about which President did the most good for the country during the first 100 days
* It's just, "Who did the most?"
* Because, FDR did a lot, all of it harmed the economy
* Not only did FDR's exacerbate and expand the depression,
* His actions had repercussions for decades
* We are suffering today from the mistakes that FDR made in his first 100 days
* He accomplished a lot, but he accomplished a lot of mistakes
* I would rather have a president do nothing for his first 100 days
* If a President just played golf for 100 days and did nothing
* Chances are he might be the best president we've ever had
* Most Presidents do damage to the economy during their first 100 days
* To the extent that they pass a law, chances are, the law just limited our freedom and reduced our standard of living
* That's true for most politicians: doing nothing is better than doing something
* Because doing something normally means doing harm
* I wish politicians would take the Hippocratic Oath, "First do not harm"
* If politicians took that oath, they could not do anything
* To the extent that a President can undo the damage done by a previous President
* Then, he would be doing a good thing
* I recognize that some of the things that Trump is trying to do is to undo Obama's mistakes
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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 16

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 16

Episode 16 Synopsis: * Looking under the 5.8% unemployment number headline * Biggest increase was in food service * Labor force participation rate is low * Employment costs are high * Gold & gold stocks rally * European markets encouraged by Mario Draghi's stimulus talk * If the economy disappoints, U.S. may look toward stimulus, too Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 15

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 15

Episode 15 Republican victory a reality only because recovery is a fantasy Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 14

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 14

Episode 14 The U.S Recovery is as Real as Ireland is a Part of the U.K. Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Nov 201429min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 13

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 13

Episode 13 Synopsis: Treats on Wall Street Equal one Big Trick. Belief that QE worked sparks optimism: * New record high in Dow Jones & S&P * NASDAQ highest since 2000 * Dollar index closed at a 4-year high * Yen at a 6-year low * Gold/Silver prices at a 4-year low * Gold Stocks at a 10-year low or more Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 12

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Episode 12 Synopsis: Greenspan's QE Criticism Too Little Too Late * FOMC declares "substantial improvement" in economy. * Does this narrative reflect the best possible spin or ignorance? * Behind the 3.5% GDP number: * Deflator - 1.3% indicates decrease in inflation. * 4.6% surge in gov't spending * Big drop in trade deficit resulting from drop in crude oil prices adds 1.3% to GDP Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 11

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 11

Episode 11 Synopsis: Where is the Apology? Preview of the Michael Brown Grand Jury case does not support liberal media's narrative. * The officer knew that Michael Brown had just robbed a convenience store. * The bullets entered Michael Brown from front as he was approaching the officer. * Blood evidence on Michael Brown indicates he was moving toward the officer. * Wounds in upper arm indicate he did not have his arms in the air. * Michael Brown was shot in his thumb at extremely close range. * A majority of eyewitnesses support the officer's testimony Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Nov 201438min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 10

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 10

Episode 10 Synopsis Hillary's Fractured Economic Theory: * Raising the minimum wage will create jobs. * Businesses don't create jobs; the government creates jobs. * Regan Economics "failed spectacularly". * Clinton's economy was based on "arithmetic", not a bubble. Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Okt 201420min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 9

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 9

Episode 9 Synopsis * Deflation Spin Cycle: Peter debunks recent articles "redefining" deflation. * QE Infinity: Brandeis economics professor predicts the Fed doesn't need an exit strategy. Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

29 Okt 201421min

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