Fed Dismisses Weak Data to Posture for Another Rate Hike

Fed Dismisses Weak Data to Posture for Another Rate Hike

SchiffReport recorded Saturday, May 6

* On Wednesday of this week, the Federal Reserve against a rate hike in May
* But based on their official statement, the market assigned a much higher probability
* To a rate hike coming in June
* In fact, following Friday's slightly better-than-expected Non-Farm Payroll report, the probability of a June rate hike is not near 100%
* In other words, the markets are certain that a quart-point hike is coming next month
* If the Federal Reserve does raise its rates by a quarter point, that will bring the floor of the official rate finally up to 1%
* The ceiling being 1.25%, so presumably the Fed will target a Fed funds rate somewhere between 1 - 1.25%
* This is still an exceptionally low interest rate indicating extreme monetary accommodation
* Remember, 1% is the absolute low that Alan Greenspan lowered interest rates to in the aftermath of the 2001 recession and the 9/11 terrorist attack
* That artificially low interest rate really provided the air for the housing bubble that resulted in the 2008 Financial Crisis
* So despite these rate hikes, the Fed monetary policy remains extremely accommodative,
* Just not as accommodative as they were before
* If you recall, the main reason I was certain that the Fed was not like to deliver these rate hikes
* Is because I took the Fed at its word that it was data dependent
* And I believed that the Fed would use weak data as an opportunity or an excuse to not raise interest rates
* I was wrong about that, because the Federal Reserve has ignored all of the weakening economic data and has raised rates anyway
* It has raised them very slowly, but nonetheless, it has raised interest rates despite the fact that all the data they claim to depend on would not support that decision
* I thought for 2 reasons the Fed would not want to hike rates
* The first be to delay the onset of the next recession
* After all, raising rates into a weakening economy it would accelerate the onset of that recession
* I thought the Fed would always err on a delay
* But apparently, that is not a concern for the Fed
* One of the reasons this might be the case is because the Fed is concerned about having some ammunition to fight the next recession, rather than to postpone the onset
* Meaning that they want to get interest rates further above zero before the recession officially begins so that once it is here, they have more room to cut rates
* Another reason that the Fed has been more willing to raise rates has to do with the action in the U.S. stock market
* I thought the Fed would be reluctant to raise rates for fear of how higher rates might impact the stock market
* But it seems the stock market has found another prop
* It is no longer relying on cheap money; it now also relying on hope and optimism surrounding the election of Donald Trump
* And the idea that he is somehow going to "Make America Great Again"
* With deregulation, tax cuts and all sorts of economic stimulus
Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1080)

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 7

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 7

Episode 7 Synopsis * More deflation/inflation propaganda * The Fed prefers inflation because at least they know how to fight it * Money printing in Venezuela* Bloomberg warns Yellen not to follow Sweden's example * Obamacare premiums going up after the election* Mark Cuban's plan to limit student loans * Wells Fargo employee demands $10,000 raise for himself and other employees * British Minister under fire for suggesting intellectually disabled should be able to work for less than minimum wage * News about QE4 * Yellen ironically speaks up on wealth inequality Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Okt 20142h 12min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 6

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 6

Episode 6 Synopsis * Big downside moves in global equity markets * U.S. stock market trends * Gold moves upward * U.S. Dollar weakness * A detailed analysis of this month's FOMC minutes * Share buybacks and other artificial boots to the stock market * More Obamacare blowbacks against the job market and employee healthcare * The straight story on misleading reports on the economy * How California labor law put a vineyard out of business * Interview with Paypal co-founder Peter Thiel in his new book Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Okt 20142h 20min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 5

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 5

Episode 5 Synopsis: * Debunking Ned Davis' predictions on gold * Chicago Fed president Charles Evans hints that the Fed can't raise interest rates * Alan Greenspan gives Fed a pass on CNBC * Brokerage houses hit by FINRA arbritation results * Eurozone low inflation 'scare' * Collapse in Fannie and Freddie stock * The numbers behind the weekly economic data Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Okt 20142h 24min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 4

Episode 4 Synopsis * Launch of the iPhone 6 * Surprising employment arbitration results * Housing market rolls over * Hotel minimum wage * World Bank head claims that QE works Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Sep 20142h 23min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 3 Synopsis: * FOMC: Janet Yellen's official statement and her response to her Q&A, later in the day * Market reaction to Yellen's statement, and the "walk" vs the "talk". * The Ali Baba IPO * The breakdown in the price of Bitcoin * My crazy email exchange with CNBC's Joe Kernen * Scotland votes to remain in the UK Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Sep 20142h 4min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 2 Synopsis * Economic Data - More weak data * Purchase applications index declined by 7.2% - biggest decline in 14 years * Treasury yields slightly up for the week * Retail sales up - Buying more or paying more? * auto purchases with cheap money * inflation not taken into account * Auto loans increasingly delinquent * Fed Policy * I'll admit to being wrong if the Fed raises interest rates back to normal and shrinks its balance sheet back to normal, as promised, and does not produce a financial crisis. * Interest Rates * Negative Interest Rates in Japan and in Switzerland * Inflation * Paul Krugman says we should be at 4% inflation and a minimum wage of $10.10 * Commentary on Henry Blodgett's inflation comments * Column from David K. Johnson on how corporations are getting rich by paying taxes * Employment * Jobless claims up, indicating a trend change * The Economy * Recognizing bubbles ahead of the crisis * Europe - Poll on Scottish independence * Social Issues: * The NBA in the hot seat for racism * Over-reaction to the Ray Rice story Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Sep 20142h 3min

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1

Schiff Radio Podcast Episode 1  Synopsis: * Wall Street foolishly dismisses August's horrible Jobs Report * ECB cuts rates in misguided push for higher inflation. * "Shrink-flation," what is it and why those using the term still don't get it. * Implications of Switzerland's coming gold reserve vote . * Protesting Fast food workers determined to put themselves out of work. * Does Alibaba's biggest IPO in history shows portent more interest in foreign stocks? * Countrywide's Anthony Mozilo is not the real villain. * NY Fed concedes 25% of college grads wasted their time and money. Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

9 Sep 20141h 52min

Schiff Radio – January 1, 2014

Schiff Radio – January 1, 2014

Happy Holidays!, Due to the holidays, Peter Schiff Show is airing best-of broadcasts. Our Sponsors: * Check out Aeropress and use my code GOLD for a great deal: https://aeropress.com * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Boll & Branch: https://boilandbranch.com/SCHIFF * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Jan 201449min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

framgangspodden
badfluence
varvet
rss-borsens-finest
rss-svart-marknad
uppgang-och-fall
svd-ledarredaktionen
lastbilspodden
rss-dagen-med-di
fill-or-kill
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
avanzapodden
affarsvarlden
24fragor
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
rikatillsammans-om-privatekonomi-rikedom-i-livet
bathina-en-podcast
borsmorgon
rss-en-rik-historia
tabberaset