Lessons From Vegas Don’t Stay in Vegas –  Ep. 269

Lessons From Vegas Don’t Stay in Vegas – Ep. 269

Summary:
My recent trip to Las Vegas for The Freedom Fest provided some interesting lessons. My observations that we are paying more for less were illustrated by the theft of my luggage, as there are no more luggage security checkers in baggage claim exits. Also, for the first time, major Las Vegas hotels are charging from $15 - $18 for parking. This is causing hotel valet workers to lose money, as customers are less likely to leave a generous tip (or any tip) if they are already paying quite a bit to park. So the Las Vegas experience is changing; we're getting less for more money. Prices are going up and wages are going down.
Taking Credit for Phony Statistics
This is the real U.S. economy. Forget about all these phony U.S. statistics. The real world reflects the truth about the economy and why Donald Trump is President. I wish candidate Trump would come back; I would rather see the President questioning phony government statistics instead of embracing them. I'd like to see the President talking about the stock market being a bubble rather than a bull market and claiming credit for the increase.
Weakness in U.S. Dollar
The big story is the continued weakness in the U.S. dollar, in fact this morning the dollar index hit a new low for the year. It's now back in positive territory as I am recording this podcast, but the low this morning was 93.64 on the dollar index. Remember, the dollar index rose about 6% between the election of Donald Trump and the Inauguration, and the reason for the rally was the optimism for economic growth as a result of tax cuts, de-regulation, fiscal stimulus and a tighter Fed.
Senate Backing Away From Repeal
At the time, I argued that that was nonsense, and so far I am being vindicated. We're six months into the Trump Presidency and nothing has happened. They haven't even been able to repeal Obamacare, nor are they going to. The Senate already backed away from the version that I said would not work. Trump did a press conference yesterday talking about Obamacare, assuring everybody that pre-existing ban is going to stay. The very essence of Obamacare is that insurance companies can't charge sick people more for insurance than they charge healthy people. That's the essence of Obamacare that doesn't work and that's what Donald Trump and many Republicans want to preserve.
Preserving the Essence of Obamacare
Of course, in order to achieve that goal, they had to have employer mandates and penalties. These are the only things the Republicans want to get rid of. But they want to preserve the very essence of Obamacare and that's the mandates and penalties were designed to deliver. So now they have to come up with another way to deliver the promise of Obamacare.
Currency Markets Get the Message
The point is, the currency markets have figured this out. The dollar has dumped better than 10% since the Inauguration, but the stock market has made new highs. The Dow Jones is at a new high today; the NASDAQ hit a new high yesterday, so it's a disconnect. The initial rally in the stock market happened for the same reason the dollar rallied. The currency traders have connected the dots. What's the problem with the stock traders? Why are they oblivious?
Dollar Weakness Spark Commodities
The weakness in the dollar is also sparking a rally in multinationals, in commodities. Look at the move today in Freeport-McMoRan a major copper producer; that stock is up better than 13%. Oil prices are coming back up; oil is up better than a dollar today. Emerging markets are strong.
Bullish Conditions for Emerging Markets
I have been saying that a weak dollar is extremely bullish for commodities. Why? Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 24

Big News out of the Central Banks * U.S. FOMC * Primary concern - inflation is too low * no policy to "correct" the problem * Preparing markets for additional stimulus * Japanese Central Bank Doublespeak * Japanese sales tax hike postponed * Continued calls for more inflation * Why is sales tax is different than inflation? * Euro Decline * Mandating "stability" by increasing inflation? * Chinese Central Bank * Cut interest rate to 5.6% * Money flows to the dollar as a hedge because the market believes the Fed * Gold has not dropped much against the dollar and has risen against other currencies Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Nov 201431min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 23

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 23

Episode 23: Going to Extreme to Prove a Point: Two articles about Peter Schiff: * MarketWatch - writer refused to address corrections before going to print except for my official title - The point of my forecasts is to help people avoid problems ahead of time - I did not call for a stock market crash; I predicted QE4 - The Fed can prevent a Dollar Crisis - I said hyperinflation is unlikely, but a possibility * New Republic - Writer quotes selectively from a Reason article to prove his own spin - Points to the CPI to refute real inflation - The price of a Big Mac mirrored the CPI until 2002 - Now price of Big Mac rises 2x as fast as CPI - This illustrates how the government measures inflation Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Nov 201427min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 22

Episode 22: Lessons from the Michael Brown Case: * Don't rob a convenience store. * Don't rob a convenience store while high. * Don't be conspicuous after robbing a convenience store while high. * If a policeman then stops you, obey the policeman. * Do not try to take the policeman's gun away from him. * But if you get shot in the hand going for the gun and run away, do not charge the policeman when he says, "freeze!" * The political narrative hides the real problem: unhealthy family life. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 201421min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 21

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 21

Episode 21: BoJ Seems to relieve Consumers' Struggle With Rising Prices by Creating More Inflation * Investors & Economists shocked to learn that Japan is officially in recession * Instead of a 2.1 rebound, there were back to back declines - a huge miss. * Economists cry "More Stimulus!" * Abe admits rising prices hurt the economy, contrary to inflation "Goal" * The theory that rising prices stimulate the economy is proving wrong in Japan, Russia and the U.S. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 20

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 20

Episode 20: Explosive Daily Upside Reversal in Gold Portends Potential Bottom * Weekly jobless claims higher than expected * Fewer people in the workforce * Job openings declining * Consumer sentiment survey at 7-year high? * false confidence in the economy due to oil prices * QE4 will be the mother of all QE * Gold and silver market reversal on Friday * Silver stocks up $4% * Gold stocks were up 6% Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Nov 201420min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 19

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 19

Episode 19: Low-Paying Jobs And Student Debt Undermining Marriage * There are more single Americans than ever * Job quality and debt are disincentive to marriage * Government policy promotes generations of single mothers * Two out of every five mothers are single * If the economy is getting better, why is this happening? Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Nov 201414min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 18

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 18

Episode 18 Synopsis * Obamacare architect Jonathan Gruber admits fraud promoting Obamacare: * "They proposed it and that passed, because the American people are too stupid to understand the difference." * Administration's argument to Supreme Court about constitutionality of Exchanges claims "typo" * The average American may not be able to make decisions for others, but they know what is best for themselves Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

13 Nov 201420min

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 17

SchiffRadio Podcast Episode 17

Episode 17 Synopsis * Japanese yen fell to 7-year low * A result of Abenomics * Speculation that planned increase of sales will be delayed * price moving with strength of dollar * Chinese Yuan up vs Yen and euro * Next few months may expose Fed's false narrativ Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Nov 201410min

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