Middle Class Tax Hikes Put Trump Tax Cuts in Jeopardy – Ep. 291

Middle Class Tax Hikes Put Trump Tax Cuts in Jeopardy – Ep. 291

Congress May Not Deliver Promised Economic Growth
I think part of the renewed weakness in the dollar may be due to the feeling that all the tax cuts are not going to pass. The Trump/Republican plan outlined some days ago will be difficult to to get through Congress. Even if it does get through Congress it is not going to deliver the economic growth that is being advertised.
Tax Cuts Masquerading as Reform
Go back to the origins to the Republican dialogue about tax reform. They actually wanted to do reform. All the reform is out the window now. All we have is tax cuts masquerading as reform. But the initial concept that the Republicans had was to try to move toward a consumption-based tax system. They tried to do that through the back door with the BAT (Border Adjusted Tax), which is the opposite of what the Republicans are now promising, which was tax relief for the middle class. That's not what they are delivering.
Getting Around Elimination of State & Local Tax Deductions
A lot of people are going to get tax increases. Part of the problem, though is the elimination of the deductibility of state and local taxes. I mentioned on an earlier podcast that the states can get around this by shifting the tax to a payroll tax that will be fully deductible for the employers. Any resulting reduction in salary would be offset by the elimination of state and local taxes. If the states react the way I think they will to the loss of the deduction, the governments will not reap the tax windfall that they expect, causing much bigger deficits.
Big Deficits Ahead
At the end of the day the bill may not pass because Congress may not be willing to sign on to anything that raises taxes. They want everybody to get at tax cut. How are you going to do that? How are you going to cut income taxes and not cut spending on anything without having a huge increase in the deficit - which of course is what is going to happen.
Recession Ahead
You can try to assume that some of that increase is not there because of dynamic scoring, you can assume that tax cuts are going to lead to economic growth. Maybe they will, but I think regardless we're going to have a recession. There is no recession in any of the forecasts. Nobody thinks a recession is coming at any point during the next 10 years, whether we cut taxes or not. I think, whether we cut taxes or not we're going to have a recession, and if there is a recession, you can throw all this dynamic scoring out the window!
Production Equals Stimulus
Even if the recession is not as severe as a result of the tax cuts, the results will still be huge increases in the budget deficit. They are losing some Republican support and they are going to have to reach across the aisle, and there is no way the Democrats will sign on to any tax cuts for the "rich". If they take away tax cuts on corporations, they take away the reduction in the marginal tax rate, then you lose any hope of economic stimulus. That is where the stimulus comes from. Real economic stimulus comes from more capital investment, more job creation, less consumption. That is what you get when you reduce marginal taxes on people with the highest propensity to save and invest.
Inflation Ahead
The Keynesians have it backwards. They think stimulus comes from consumption - it doesn't. Consumption doesn't stimulate anything. Consumption without production just leads to higher prices which is what is going to happen. We are going to get more inflation. Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Making Lemonade Out of Economic Lemons - Ep 977

Making Lemonade Out of Economic Lemons - Ep 977

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. 🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Sep 202454min

The Fed Makes Its Biggest Mistake Yet - Ep 976

The Fed Makes Its Biggest Mistake Yet - Ep 976

Market Turmoil, Political Drama, and Economic ForecastsPeter delves into a tumultuous week in the markets and politics. He covers key events including Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole speech and its implications for interest rate cuts, the Democratic National Convention, and Robert Kennedy Jr.'s decision to drop out and endorse Donald Trump. Peter argues that the Federal Reserve is pivoting from fighting inflation to addressing rising unemployment, critiques the state of unemployment statistics and job market data, and discusses the potential for a gold price boom amidst a weakening dollar. Additionally, Peter offers in-depth commentary on the flaws in government spending and social security, the misrepresentations in political narratives, and explores future economic outlooks. He closes with a call to invest in gold and gold stocks.NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. http://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Aug 202455min

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

Gold Breaks $2,500. Harris Would Send it to the Moon - Ep 975

Unprecedented Gold Highs and Underlying Market DynamicsPeter discusses the historic rise of gold prices, which closed above $2,500 per ounce for the first time. He contrasts the performance of gold with that of Bitcoin, highlighting gold's significant growth since the start of the century. Peter also explores the underwhelming response of gold mining stocks to gold's record highs and predicts a bullish future for gold prices and mining stocks. Additionally, he critiques potential economic policies of Kamala Harris, cautioning that they may lead to increased inflation. Peter urges listeners to invest in gold, silver, and mining stocks, emphasizing the importance of proactive investment to mitigate inflationary risks.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Aug 202455min

Inflation Data Supports Rate Hikes, Not Rate Cuts - Ep 974

Inflation Data Supports Rate Hikes, Not Rate Cuts - Ep 974

Peter Schiff dissects the latest inflation data, emphasizing the government's manipulation in underreporting true inflation figures. He compares the July CPI and PPI reports, suggesting real inflation rates could be double the official numbers.Schiff highlights the significant federal budget deficit and its implications for future inflation. He argues that the Federal Reserve's potential rate cut is politically driven and could backfire.Schiff also discusses the repercussions of government policies on industries like solar energy, resulting in SunPower's bankruptcy. He critiques government intervention in housing, education, and healthcare, asserting these measures have increased costs and decreased efficiency.Lastly, Schiff commends Elon Musk's take on inflation and calls for substantial reductions in government spending and more market-driven solutions.⭐️ Visit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

15 Aug 202455min

Bank of Japan Rescues the Markets... For Now - Ep 973

Bank of Japan Rescues the Markets... For Now - Ep 973

Peter returns to his Puerto Rico studio after an extended vacation. He discusses recent market volatility, including movements in stocks, Japan’s market crash, and cryptocurrency fluctuations. Peter critiques the Fed's decision not to cut rates, arguing that delaying cuts only worsens economic pain. He predicts future rate cuts and quantitative easing, and shares insights on gold and mining stock investments. Additionally, Peter analyzes the political landscape, focusing on Kamala Harris's VP pick, and criticizes new UK laws limiting free speech. Peter also advocates for tax reforms and spending cuts to address the deficits⭐️ NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/gold🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com📈 Invest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/invest🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Aug 202457min

Will There Be an Emergency Rate Cut to Avert a Crash? - Ep 972

Will There Be an Emergency Rate Cut to Avert a Crash? - Ep 972

Cut your wireless bill to $15/month at https://mintmobile.com/gold. $45 upfront payment required. For new customers on the first 3 month plan only. Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Aug 202455min

Bitcoin Faction Exposes the Evils of Democracy - Ep 971

Bitcoin Faction Exposes the Evils of Democracy - Ep 971

NetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldVisit https://indeed.com/peter to start hiring now.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Juli 202453min

Trump Is a Living American Folk Hero That No Democrat Can Beat - Ep 970

Trump Is a Living American Folk Hero That No Democrat Can Beat - Ep 970

Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldNetSuite is offering a one-of-a-kind flexible financing program. https://netsuite.com/goldSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comInvest like Peter: https://schiffradio.com/investFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksFollow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffFollow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFollow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Juli 202450min

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