No Such Thing as a Permanent Tax Cut-Ep. 304

No Such Thing as a Permanent Tax Cut-Ep. 304

Buy the Rumor Sell the Fact
One of the things that could de-rail Wall Street enthusiasm is if Republicans are not able to deliver on the promised tax cuts. Of course, even if they are able to deliver, it will be a, "buy the rumor, sell the fact". Especially since the fact is not going to deliver the promises of the rumor, which is more economic growth. These tax cuts are not going to grow the economy because they do not shrink the size of government.
When the Fed Loses Control of the Bond Market
Government continues to grow, despite the tax cuts, meaning that government will have to find an alternative source of revenue, and that alternative source will be deficit spending and money printing, which will be negative for the economy. Ultimately, it will also be negative for the markets - maybe not in the short run, because money printing has not proven to be a negative for the markets thus far; it will only be a negative when it backfires and the Federal Reserve loses control of the bond market and when it can no longer pretend that inflation does not exist.
No Slam Dunk
When you look at the prospects for the tax cuts, I think the Senate is going to vote on Thursday, whether or not to pass its version, of course, if it doesn't make it through the senate, then it's done. Even if it makes it through the Senate, it needs to go through a reconciliation process so that the differences between the Senate and the House versions can be ironed out. Then they have to hope to get everybody to vote for the reconciled version, which is no slam dunk. Apparently, there are about 6 senators who are not fully on board with these tax cuts, who have expressed some reservations. So they have to get most of those 6, otherwise it is not going to work.
Individual Tax Cuts Expire in 2025
One of the more interesting discussions has to do with the fact that in the Senate's version, the individual tax cuts, most of them, anyway, expire in the year 2025. So that's not even a full 10 years from now. Why is that? Why are they making the individual tax cuts expire? What is even worse politically, is that corporate tax cuts are theoretically permanent, or at least they do not come with an expiration date. This is making for bad public relations on all the talk shows: "It's permanent for the rich corporations, but it's only temporary for individuals. It shows that by 2025, a lot of individuals who are getting tax cuts, will actually end up paying higher taxes.
Juggling Deficits
Now the way the Republicans are responding to this criticism just shows you how disingenuous this whole process is. The reason the Senate has to make the individual tax cuts temporary is so that the bill does not increase the deficit by more than $1.4 trillion over these 10 years, so to do that, they had to make the individual tax cuts expire, during these 10 years. During the entire 10 year window the deficit would go up by less than it needs to in order to be able to be approved according to the voting process.
The Whole Thing is a Farce
But at the same time, the senators are saying, "Don't worry about the fact that these tax cuts are temporary because no future Congress is going to allow them to expire. In other words, they are admitting that the whole thing is a sham, because they are using the expiration period to make the impact on the deficit smaller. But they are saying "Oh, it's really not going to make the deficit smaller because we're not going to allow the tax cuts to expire the way we've written it into the bill. In order to be able to pass it, we are going to cancel it, which means the whole thing is a farce. It means the Senate's version of the bill adds much more to the deficit than what the Senators are claiming in order to get the thing passed.
Government on a Credit Card
I've made this point before: No tax cuts are permanent. They are saying, Our Sponsors: * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

Avsnitt(1081)

Trump's Tariffs Will Make China Great Again - Ep 1025

Trump's Tariffs Will Make China Great Again - Ep 1025

Peter Schiff analyzes the Federal Reserve's unchanged rates, critiques Trump's economic claims, and predicts the fallout from current trade policies.Sponsored by NetSuite. Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, host Peter Schiff critically analyzes the Federal Reserve's recent decision to maintain interest rates between 4.25% and 4.5%, highlighting Powell's inconsistent views on inflation expectations and economic conditions. Schiff also discusses President Trump’s silence on Powell's statements and questions the efficacy of trade talks with China, predicting a looming economic disappointment. He continues by scrutinizing Trump's contradictory claims regarding improving trade deficits and the misguided reliance on tariffs. Schiff emphasizes the inevitable economic consequences of current policies and suggests strategic financial adjustments, such as investing in foreign currencies and gold, to brace for impending stagflation and market instability. As always, Schiff echoes his critical stance on governmental and economic mismanagement while providing expert financial advice to his listeners.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction01:19 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Decision02:07 Market Reactions and Investor Sentiment02:52 President Trump's Silence on Powell03:39 Powell's Press Conference Highlights04:01 Inflation Expectations and Economic Outlook07:06 Stagflation Risks and Fed's Dilemma11:38 Powell's Q&A Session Insights15:46 Gold and Dollar Market Movements23:20 China Trade Talks and Economic Implications25:46 China's Economic Strategy and US Relations32:28 Potential US Treasury Default and Economic Risks36:38 Who Pays Tariffs?37:53 The Secretary of the Treasury's Dilemma40:36 Trump's Economic Claims43:00 Deficit Spending and Government Cuts47:56 Tariff Impact on Small Businesses53:54 Trump's Tariff on Movies57:49 Warren Buffett's Strategic Moves01:00:35 Investing in Foreign Markets01:02:31 Gold and Silver Investment Opportunities01:02:57 Gold Mining Stocks Analysis01:04:26 Silver's Potential Upside01:05:15 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Tariffs #Trump #ChinaOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Maj 1h 4min

Stocks Soar on Trade War De-Escalation Hopes - Ep 1024

Stocks Soar on Trade War De-Escalation Hopes - Ep 1024

Peter Schiff critiques the April stock market rally, U.S.-China trade war optimism, misleading economic indicators, and the ethical implications of the 'Executive Branch' social club.Sponsored by Stash. Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.Peter Schiff scrutinizes the apparent rebound in the stock market during April, questioning the sustainability of the rally amidst underlying economic weaknesses. Peter dives deep into the illusory optimism fueled by hopes of trade war de-escalation, explaining why he believes the recent market surge is built on unfounded optimism. He further discusses intricacies of the U.S.-China tariff battle, debunking the administration’s claims about the benefits of a strong dollar and pointing out the inconsistencies in trade policies. Additionally, Peter sheds light on the controversial implications of the Trump administration's strategies, including the ethical questions surrounding the newly established 'Executive Branch' social club. Stay tuned as Peter Schiff provides an unfiltered take on our economic reality and calls out misleading governmental narratives.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview01:00 Stock Market Rebound Analysis02:28 Trade War and Tariff Impacts04:04 China's Tariff Reductions and U.S. Response09:25 Dollar Policy and Trade Deficits11:35 Economic Data and Market Reactions28:29 Job Market Insights and Government Reports36:30 Construction Spending and Economic Outlook36:52 Manufacturing and GDP Analysis38:11 Trump's Economic Claims and Popularity41:06 Impact of Tariffs on Prices and Economy44:22 Trade Deficit and Consumer Confidence53:55 Canadian Elections and Tariff Effects57:12 Trump's Executive Branch Club Controversy01:06:13 Podcast Conclusion and Personal Anecdotes#tariffs #Trump #GDPOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Maj 1h 6min

America’s Trade Problems Are Made in the U.S.A. - Ep 2023

America’s Trade Problems Are Made in the U.S.A. - Ep 2023

Peter Schiff critiques Trump's market manipulations, discusses gold and Bitcoin's movements, and highlights economic weaknesses, suggesting gold mining stocks as a superior investment strategy.This episode is sponsored by Kalshi. Get $10 when you sign up and makes a $100 trade by 4/28/25 at https://kalshi.com/goldNew song by Laughing Cats: https://open.spotify.com/album/5u5RJ6to4r0onnugvZt3mZ?si=jQO0r0jDQx2yPc2D73Of3APeter Schiff discusses the market's recent rally as a bear market rally and critiques former President Donald Trump's offhand comments about Jerome Powell's rate policies. Schiff argues that Trump's administration manipulated markets with strategic statements, but didn't address the fundamental economic issues, like the hollowing out of America's manufacturing base. Schiff also discusses gold's surge to a near all-time high, contrasting it with Bitcoin's performance. He criticizes the U.S. focus on becoming a crypto superpower at the expense of industrialization. Schiff concludes with commentary on rejected mortgage refinancing applications and existing home sales reflecting economic weakness, promoting gold and gold mining stocks as the best investment strategy.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks00:56 Market Turnaround Analysis01:53 Trump's Influence on the Market02:54 Gold and Dollar Movements06:00 Fed's Political Influence20:13 Gold Mining Stocks Performance27:37 Bitcoin and Crypto Market29:40 Trump's Approval Ratings and Economic Promises31:41 Economic Trends Under Trump31:59 Media's Role in Economic Perception32:26 Impact of Tariffs on the Economy33:39 Public Reaction to Economic Policies34:42 Trade Deficits and Blame Game36:41 Misconceptions About Tariffs38:48 Global Trade and Economic Realities42:58 Trump's Economic Strategies and Their Flaws45:07 Recession and Economic Indicators54:48 Conclusion and Personal NotesOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Apr 58min

Gold’s Rise Warns of Dollar’s Demise - Ep 1022

Gold’s Rise Warns of Dollar’s Demise - Ep 1022

Peter Schiff discusses record gold highs, critiques media's focus on Bitcoin, and warns of impending economic crisis exacerbated by tariffs and undervaluation of gold stocks.This episode is sponsored by Shopify. Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldIn this episode of The Peter Schiff Show, Peter discusses the significant rise in gold prices, reaching new record highs and experiencing unprecedented one-day increases. He criticizes mainstream financial media, particularly CNBC, for ignoring the surge in gold prices and instead focusing on Bitcoin. Peter correlates the current economic scenario with the 2008 housing bubble, where ignorance of underlying issues led to a financial crisis. He argues that Trump’s policies, such as tariffs, have contributed to economic instability. Peter also highlights the undervaluation of gold mining stocks compared to the rising prices of gold. He emphasizes the broader implications of a weakening US dollar, including higher consumer prices and ineffective future Fed policies. Schiff cautions about a forthcoming financial crisis exacerbated by current economic missteps and the media's dismissal of gold's significance.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Gold's Record-Breaking Week02:20 Gold's Historical Context and Market Reactions05:28 Media's Ignorance and Bitcoin Comparison13:01 The Dollar's Decline and Economic Implications20:11 Investment Strategies and Gold Mining Stocks31:27 Foreign Investments and Market Dynamics35:23 Understanding De-dollarization35:53 Foreign Debt Dynamics36:50 Impact of De-dollarization on the Dollar37:18 Misconceptions About Trade and the US Economy38:24 China's Economic Position39:06 The Reality of American Consumers39:52 China's Trade Strategy43:38 Global Trade Without the US44:49 Critique of US Trade Policies46:07 The Imbalance in Economies47:40 Regulation and Competitiveness49:39 Political Narratives and Trade Deficits54:11 Bitcoin and Economic Predictions57:50 The Role of Central Banks01:01:48 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#gold #bitcoin #inflationOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

18 Apr 1h 2min

The US Already Lost the Trade War - Ep 1021

The US Already Lost the Trade War - Ep 1021

Peter Schiff dives into the wild financial markets, tariff drama, trade deficits, and golden opportunities.Download the CFO’s Guide to AI and Machine Learning at https://netsuite.com/goldPeter Schiff discusses the recent turmoil in the financial markets, attributing it to the imposition of tariffs by the Trump administration. Schiff criticizes the tariffs, asserting that they hurt the U.S. economy, caused the dollar and bond markets to crash, and ultimately led to significant market volatility. He contends that Trump's tariffs were a misguided attempt to reduce trade deficits and that they contradicted basic economic principles. Schiff outlines how foreign investors fleeing U.S. assets and central banks favoring gold over dollars indicate a shift away from U.S. economic dominance. He emphasizes the importance of investing in gold mining stocks, anticipating substantial growth as the economic crisis unfolds.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks02:38 Market Recap: A Wild Week05:43 Tariffs and Trade Wars08:51 Trump's Negotiation Tactics14:58 Impact on the US Economy18:42 Global Reactions and Consequences26:53 Currency and Market Movements35:41 Economic Consequences of Tariffs36:38 Impact on American Companies38:11 Global Financial Crisis Predictions42:40 Gold and Bitcoin Market Analysis45:30 Investment Strategies in Gold Stocks51:34 The Future of the US Dollar and Global Economy01:03:04 Final Thoughts and Investment Advice#finance #investing #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

12 Apr 1h 5min

April Fool's Day Came Late - Ep 1020

April Fool's Day Came Late - Ep 1020

Trump’s tariffs will hurt U.S. consumers and industries, leading to higher prices, fewer imports, and potential recession, while discussing their legality.Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.Peter Schiff discusses the steep decline in the stock market following President Trump's announcement of tariffs, with a focus on how these tariffs will negatively impact the U.S. economy. The host argues that, contrary to Trump's claims, the tariffs will not rejuvenate American industries and will instead lead to higher prices for consumers, fewer imports, and potential recession. The tariffs are considered illegal and unconstitutional by the host, who explains that tariffs, historically, have been a burden on the middle class and poor. The host also mentions China's retaliatory tariffs and the broader implications on global trade and economic stability.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction: The High Stakes of Trading00:57 Market Meltdown: The Impact of Tariffs03:39 Stock Market Analysis: Winners and Losers05:15 The Global Trade War: China's Retaliation08:01 The Economics of Tariffs: Winners and Losers08:52 The Shoe Industry: A Case Study11:41 The Bigger Picture: US Consumption and Production25:53 The Constitutional Debate on Tariffs29:49 Trump's Tariff Strategy: A Closer Look35:44 Global Trade Deficits and Tariffs36:20 Scapegoating Immigrants and Trade Policies37:07 Historical Context of Tariffs and Taxes40:13 The Populist Movement and Income Tax43:59 Impact of Tariffs on the Middle Class47:16 Economic Consequences of Tariffs52:13 Global Recession and Market Reactions57:32 China's Role and Global Supply Chains01:01:54 Investment Strategies and Economic Predictions01:05:27 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#tariffs #trump #stocksOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Apr 1h 4min

The Not So Secret Word Is Stagflation - Ep 1019

The Not So Secret Word Is Stagflation - Ep 1019

Peter Schiff discusses market sell-offs, stagflation, tariffs, gold vs. Bitcoin performance, Fed policies, economic shifts, government inefficiencies, and his legal battle over his bank's closure.Go to https://get.stash.com/gold to see how you can receive $25 towards your first stock purchase and to view important disclosures.Go to https://linkedin.com/schiff to post your job for free. Terms and conditions apply.Peter Schiff discusses recent stock market sell-offs, the impact of economic data pointing to stagflation, and the effects of tariffs. He highlights the divergences between gold and Bitcoin performances, emphasizing gold’s bullish trend and Bitcoin’s decline. Schiff explains the complications of stagflation for the Federal Reserve, economic repercussions of ongoing tariffs, and potential shifts in financial markets. He also touches on Trump's potential policy impacts and the inefficacies within government programs and unions. Schiff concludes with insights into his legal battle over his bank’s closure.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Market Overview00:54 Personal Update and Podcast Delay03:00 Stock Market Analysis05:22 Bitcoin vs. Gold14:16 Economic Data and Stagflation27:47 Tariffs and Market Impact32:49 Tariffs and Their Economic Impact33:39 Critique of Trump's Economic Advisors34:32 Globalization and Its Reversal35:19 Inflation and Domestic Money Supply37:54 Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations39:26 Impact of Car Tariffs44:17 Public Sector Unions and Government Spending52:01 Bitcoin and Government Financial Policies55:34 Personal Legal Battle and AI Analysis01:01:31 Conclusion and Final Thoughts#Stagflation #Silver #BitcoinOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Mars 1h

Powell Shrugs off Evidence of Rising Inflation - Ep 1018

Powell Shrugs off Evidence of Rising Inflation - Ep 1018

Peter Schiff discusses the Fed's unchanged interest rates, rising inflation, gold prices signaling monetary issues, and promotes gold and silver investments.Sign up for a $1/month trial period at https://shopify.com/goldPeter Schiff discusses the recent FOMC announcement on interest rates remaining unchanged and critiques the Fed's dovish stance amid rising inflation. Schiff highlights the Fed's plan to slow quantitative tightening, rising gold prices as a warning of loose monetary policy, and calls for higher interest rates. He criticizes the Fed's handling of inflation expectations and the economic composition of job growth. Schiff also promotes gold and silver investments as protection against inflation.🟨 Sign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.com🔔 Free Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.com🟡 Schiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news📘 Book Store: https://schiffradio.com/books👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Twitter: https://twitter.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff👉 Follow Peter Schiff on TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficial👉 Follow Peter Schiff on Facebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffChapters:00:00 Introduction and Opening Remarks01:20 Federal Reserve's Interest Rate Announcement02:15 Discussion on Quantitative Tightening05:59 Gold Prices and Market Signals12:27 Inflation Concerns and Monetary Policy19:16 Commercial Break and Sponsor Message20:36 Special Offers on Gold and Silver26:38 Analysis of Tariffs and Inflation30:38 Fed's Shift in Inflation Expectations31:14 Powell's Dismissal of Five-Year Inflation Concerns32:23 Consumer Sentiment and Price Levels33:49 Fed's Inflation Averaging Policy38:30 Government Jobs vs. Private Sector Jobs41:46 US National Debt and Borrowing Challenges49:18 Critique of Fed's Independence and Policy54:45 Investment Advice and Market Trends#FederalReserve #inflation #goldOur Sponsors:* Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD* Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.comPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Mars 56min

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