Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

St. Valentine's Day Rout
I wouldn't really call what happened in the bond market and the U.S. dollar market as a St. Valentine's Day massacre, maybe it was a slaughter; even slaughter was too harsh a word. It was a rout. But this is nothing compared to what is going to come. The daughter is going to get slaughtered a lot more and the bond market is going to get slaughtered a lot more in the days ahead. Maybe not exactly tomorrow, but there will be days ahead that will be much worse than today. This is the tip of a huge iceberg.
Doing the Impossible
Before I get into the tail of the tape today, and all the horrific economic numbers that came out today, I want to take a step back and talk about President Trump's budget, which was released on Monday. Basically, the Republicans succeeded in doing something that you would have thought was impossible. They are making the Democrats look like the fiscally responsible party.
A Farce
First of all, there are some cuts in this budget that are never going to happen. There are a lot of assumptions that are saving money, like they assume a total repeal and replace of ObamaCare, which isn't going to happen. In fact, if it didn't happen when Republicans controlled Congress, how is it going to happen when the Democrats control Congress in 2019? So this is all farcical.
Assumptions...
But one of the biggest farces of the entire budget is the underlying economic assumptions. They're assuming that the very low unemployment rate gets even lower. But, the most farcical of all, is that they assume that the economy grows uninterrupted at an average of 3% for the next 10 years! This so-called expansion is already 9 years old. That makes it the second or third longest expansion in history, and if it continues this year, I think it will be the largest expansion in history. If it continued for another 10 years it would be almost twice as long as the next largest economic expansion in history. What are the odds that that is going to happen? But even if that happens, even if we get 10 years of 3% economic growth (we probably won't even get 1) but let's assume we get 10, even with that, the budget does not balance.
Not Even Pretending the Budget will Balance
This is the first time the Republicans are presenting a budget that, even in 10 years, does not balance. Now, think about this: When they were presenting budgets that had a pretense of balancing in 10 years, and they were way off the mark, can you imagine how much further off they will be now when they are not even pretending the budget is going to balance?
Trillion Dollar Deficits and no QE
In the first couple of years they are forecasting trillion dollar deficits. As I said on the podcast before, the last time we had trillion dollar deficits, the Fed was doing a trillion dollars a year in QE. Right now, the Fed is still posturing that it is not going to do any QE. In fact, it is posturing that it is going to do QT - it is going to shrink its balance sheet.
Big Political Problem for the Republicans
But here is going to be the big political problem: Since the Democrats are now the fiscally responsible party, they will be able to hang these deficits around the necks of the Republican candidates like an Albatross. I know a lot of people are thinking, "Wait a minute, Peter! Obama doubled the deficit & the national debt - there are all kinds of deficits under Obama, so how can the Democrats say that the Republicans are the big spenders and they are the fiscal Conservatives?
Inevitable Keynesian Logic
It is very easy. It is basic Keynes. They are going to say is when Obama ran deficits, they were necessary to get us out of the recession that Bush caused by cutting taxes on the rich, and the corporations. So they were a necessary economic stimulus to get out of the ditch that Bush drove us into. After all, Clinton, a Democrat, Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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A Fed Policy Error That Will Live In Infamy – Ep 758

A Fed Policy Error That Will Live In Infamy – Ep 758

* Markets recover most all of their Black Friday losses. * Fed can’t fight inflation without deflating inflated economic bubble. * Data shows biggest drop in productivity in 62 years. * Consumer prices are headed much higher. * Real wages are headed much lower. * Bitcoin is a lousy store of value in terms of Ethereum. * Americans made real sacrifices during World War 2, not during the war on Covid. * US would have to fund a war with China by borrowing money from China. Thanks Raycon! For a limited time, go to https://buyraycon.com/gold and use code HOLIDAY for up to 15% off your entire Raycon order. Thanks FEALS. Become a member at https://feals.com/gold and get 40% off your first three months with free shipping INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

8 Dec 202155min

Do Weak Stocks in Dec. Portend Fed Ease in Jan? – Ep 757

Do Weak Stocks in Dec. Portend Fed Ease in Jan? – Ep 757

* Nasdaq suffers worst start to December in 20 years. * Stay-at-home darling stocks crash with no bottom in sight. * Covid is the gift that keeps on giving the Fed excuses. * Real unemployment rate is much higher than 10%. * Biggest fools now are those buying Bitcoin. * Maxine Waters pats herself on the back for giving away other people’s money. * Janet Yellen wants to postpone big catastrophe now for bigger catastrophe later. * Jerome Powell admits he now sees a substantial risk of persistent inflation. For a limited time, buy any 3-month Mint Mobile plan and get 3 more months FREE at https://mintmobile.com/gold Thanks Aura Frames. Get $30 off your order by going to https://auraframes.com with promo code GOLD INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Dec 20211h 10min

Powell Finally Admits Inflation Isn’t Transitory – Ep 756

Powell Finally Admits Inflation Isn’t Transitory – Ep 756

* Dow down over 1300 points in 2 days over Omicron variant concerns. * Bubble market found its pin. * Powell is essentially a member of the Biden administration. * The only tools the Fed has left will destroy the bubble economy if they use them. * Powell lies about the credit worthiness of the US. * Ray Dalio says the only thing the Fed will successfully raise will be prices. * Build Back better targets the middle class with new bank account monitoring. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. Thanks Theragun. Go to https://therabody.com/peter to try Theragun for THIRTY-DAYS starting at $199. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

1 Dec 202157min

Black Friday Leaves Investors Black and Blue – Ep 755

Black Friday Leaves Investors Black and Blue – Ep 755

* Covid crashes market again with new Omicron Strain. * Dow suffers its worst drop since Covid lockdowns started. * Investors choose Euro and Swiss Franc over US Dollar as safe haven. * Markets begin pricing out rate hikes that they previously priced in. * Smart money dumps crypto while dumb money buys the dips. Thanks Tru Niagen. Save 10% on your first purchase at https://truniagen.com/peter with code PETER Mene's 24k gold jewelry is giving my listeners 5% off their purchase at https://mene.com/?promo=schiff Use promo code "SCHIFF" at checkout. Offer expires December 2nd, 2021. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Nov 202142min

Thanksgiving: How Capitalism Saved America From Socialism – Ep 754

Thanksgiving: How Capitalism Saved America From Socialism – Ep 754

* 2021 marks the most expensive Thanksgiving dinner ever. * Oil companies can’t pump oil as fast as the Fed can print money. * Pilgrims set sail for Communism, but landed on Capitalism. * Desperate Americans look to crypto as a ticket to wealth. * Bitcoin is fiat and people will lose faith in it like other fiats. * Alex Mashinsky of Celsius tells desperate Americans to take out loans to buy Bitcoin. * CNBC hosts an hour-long special shilling Bitcoin. * Cathie Woods is bullish on Bitcoin, but expects deflation. * Wherever inflation starts, it always ends up at the supermarket. * Fed can’t fight inflation and bail out the housing market at the same time. * Even Fed’s preferred data shows they are miles above their inflation target. One-of-a-kind financing program at https://netsuite.com/gold Go to https://shopify.com/gold for a FREE fourteen-day trial and get full access to Shopify’s entire suite of features. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

25 Nov 20211h 2min

The Devil You Know Is Still a Devil – Ep 753

The Devil You Know Is Still a Devil – Ep 753

* Biden reappoints Powel as Fed Chairman and promotes Brainard to Vice Chair. * Gold sells off and dollar rises on Fed news. * Investors worried about inflation under Powell two days ago now celebrate Powell’s reappointment. * If Biden wanted to fight inflation, he’d stop creating it. * Generation of entitled American socialists don’t think stealing is wrong. * MSNBC promotes racism. * Law abiding citizens don’t use cars or guns to kill people. * Rittenhouse trial being used to promote Communism. Thanks Raycon! For a limited time, go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for up to 20% off your entire Raycon order. Go to https://bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

24 Nov 202158min

Rittenhouse Innocent, Government Guilty on All Accounts – Ep 752

Rittenhouse Innocent, Government Guilty on All Accounts – Ep 752

* Socialists are the only ones who believe Biden’s bill will Build Back Better. * Democrats accidentally admit that inflation is caused by expanding deficit and money printing. * The rich don’t have to cheat on their taxes like the middle class does. * Government wants to give all workers a 4 week paid vacation every year. * Government attack on civil liberties has crypto crowd concerned. * Kyle Rittenhouse innocent on all accounts. Thanks https://avast.com! Thanks https://truebill.com/gold. it could save you hundreds a year. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

20 Nov 20211h 1min

Government Recycles 1970s Inflation Propaganda – Ep 751

Government Recycles 1970s Inflation Propaganda – Ep 751

* Janet Yellen lies to the nation. * The Fed doesn’t want to let the peoples’ cost of living decrease. * 2% inflation isn’t a target; it’s a floor. * Retail investors move from bubble to bubble without learning any lessons. * Sell your Bitcoin before Logan Paul’s audience does. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through December 31, 2021. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. Go to https://ladderlife.com/gold today to see if you’re instantly approved. INVEST LIKE ME: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://Instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Nov 202158min

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