Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

Is the Powell Put in Play? Ep. 330

St. Valentine's Day Rout
I wouldn't really call what happened in the bond market and the U.S. dollar market as a St. Valentine's Day massacre, maybe it was a slaughter; even slaughter was too harsh a word. It was a rout. But this is nothing compared to what is going to come. The daughter is going to get slaughtered a lot more and the bond market is going to get slaughtered a lot more in the days ahead. Maybe not exactly tomorrow, but there will be days ahead that will be much worse than today. This is the tip of a huge iceberg.
Doing the Impossible
Before I get into the tail of the tape today, and all the horrific economic numbers that came out today, I want to take a step back and talk about President Trump's budget, which was released on Monday. Basically, the Republicans succeeded in doing something that you would have thought was impossible. They are making the Democrats look like the fiscally responsible party.
A Farce
First of all, there are some cuts in this budget that are never going to happen. There are a lot of assumptions that are saving money, like they assume a total repeal and replace of ObamaCare, which isn't going to happen. In fact, if it didn't happen when Republicans controlled Congress, how is it going to happen when the Democrats control Congress in 2019? So this is all farcical.
Assumptions...
But one of the biggest farces of the entire budget is the underlying economic assumptions. They're assuming that the very low unemployment rate gets even lower. But, the most farcical of all, is that they assume that the economy grows uninterrupted at an average of 3% for the next 10 years! This so-called expansion is already 9 years old. That makes it the second or third longest expansion in history, and if it continues this year, I think it will be the largest expansion in history. If it continued for another 10 years it would be almost twice as long as the next largest economic expansion in history. What are the odds that that is going to happen? But even if that happens, even if we get 10 years of 3% economic growth (we probably won't even get 1) but let's assume we get 10, even with that, the budget does not balance.
Not Even Pretending the Budget will Balance
This is the first time the Republicans are presenting a budget that, even in 10 years, does not balance. Now, think about this: When they were presenting budgets that had a pretense of balancing in 10 years, and they were way off the mark, can you imagine how much further off they will be now when they are not even pretending the budget is going to balance?
Trillion Dollar Deficits and no QE
In the first couple of years they are forecasting trillion dollar deficits. As I said on the podcast before, the last time we had trillion dollar deficits, the Fed was doing a trillion dollars a year in QE. Right now, the Fed is still posturing that it is not going to do any QE. In fact, it is posturing that it is going to do QT - it is going to shrink its balance sheet.
Big Political Problem for the Republicans
But here is going to be the big political problem: Since the Democrats are now the fiscally responsible party, they will be able to hang these deficits around the necks of the Republican candidates like an Albatross. I know a lot of people are thinking, "Wait a minute, Peter! Obama doubled the deficit & the national debt - there are all kinds of deficits under Obama, so how can the Democrats say that the Republicans are the big spenders and they are the fiscal Conservatives?
Inevitable Keynesian Logic
It is very easy. It is basic Keynes. They are going to say is when Obama ran deficits, they were necessary to get us out of the recession that Bush caused by cutting taxes on the rich, and the corporations. So they were a necessary economic stimulus to get out of the ditch that Bush drove us into. After all, Clinton, a Democrat, Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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All Roads Lead to Stagflation – Ep 654

All Roads Lead to Stagflation – Ep 654

* Jobs data weak and revisions are worse. * Bond yields weighing heavy on gold prices. * Dollar gets clobbered by disappointing economic data. * Oil prices rising and going higher. * Increasing trade deficit will soon explode. * Kamala Harris and the Senate pass $1.9 trillion stimulus bill. * This is the first and probably smallest of many stimulus payments from Joe Biden. * Warren, Sanders, AOC pushing Biden for student loan forgiveness. * Bitcoin hodlers seem to be the only ones talking about inflation. Thanks Raycon!. Go To https://buyraycon.com/gold for 15% off your entire Raycon order. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

6 Feb 202148min

When Neel Kashkari Speaks, Smart People Buy Gold – Ep 653

When Neel Kashkari Speaks, Smart People Buy Gold – Ep 653

* Quieter day in the markets with notable moves in oil. * Dollar consolidating before its next move lower. * Kashkari believes inflation is purely psychological. * Outsourcing will boom under Democrats. * New York is paying people to get COVID at “Covid Parties.” * Visa uses Bitcoin for cheap publicity, not for DeFi. Get 3 extra months free: https://ExpressVPN.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

4 Feb 20211h 1min

Schiff Gold Becomes Schiff Silver – Ep 652

Schiff Gold Becomes Schiff Silver – Ep 652

* Big moves in silver outshine modest gains in gold. * Robinhood users are the product, not the customers. * Government regulators emboldened to act. * Watch out for the numismatic bait and switch from precious metals dealers. * Elon Musk and Ray Dalio don’t sound like Bitcoin buyers. * Elon Musk is wise not to throw pins while living in a bubble. Schedule your FREE Product Tour at NetSuite.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

2 Feb 202147min

Reddit Raiders Ride Silver – Ep 651

Reddit Raiders Ride Silver – Ep 651

* All four major market indexes end the week down. * So goes January, so goes the year … so buckle up! * Hedge funds continue to take it in the shorts. * First Majestic Silver gets targeted. * Robinhood limits stock trading and puts halt on instant crypto buying. * The establishment does NOT want you to buy physical silver. * The establishment LOVES Bitcoin. * Elon Musk plays with his Twitter followers like puppets. Thanks Keeps. To receive your first month of treatment for free, go to https://keeps.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

30 Jan 202142min

The Mother of All Short Squeezes is Yet to Come – Ep 650

The Mother of All Short Squeezes is Yet to Come – Ep 650

* Powell delivers most dovish press conference ever. * Anthony Scaramucci’s Skybridge… fund wins trophy for ridiculous bitcoin logic * GameStop proves Bitcoin can’t work. * Technicals starting to deteriorate on Bitcoin. * Bitcoin speculators have moved onto greener pastures.. * Big shorts in gold and silver could be squeezed next. Visit https://Audible.com/PETER or text PETER to 500-500 to start your free 30-day trial. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

28 Jan 202155min

Is the Bitcoin Game about to Stop? – Ep 649

Is the Bitcoin Game about to Stop? – Ep 649

* Big gains in the most heavily shorted stocks like Game Stop. * Robinhood traders buying Game Stop think they’re smarter than the hedge funds shorting it.  * Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. * In the short-run, stocks are a voting machine. In the long-run, stocks are a weighing machine. * Price is what you pay. Value is what you get. * When it comes to bubbles, the markets first bankrupt everyone who bet against them, and then bankrupts everyone who bet on them. * Premium for Grayscale Bitcoin Trust is collapsing along with the demand. * If you’re at the poker table and you don’t know who the patsy is, it’s you. Free $75 credit to upgrade your post at https://Indeed.com/peter. Terms and conditions apply. Offer valid through March 31, 2021. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

26 Jan 202149min

We Elected Biden But We Got Sanders – Ep 648

We Elected Biden But We Got Sanders – Ep 648

* Markets finish positive on a quiet week. * IBM’s chickens coming home to roost. * Gold positive on the week despite heavy pressure. * Biden’s executive orders bullish for gold fundamentals. * Chicago teachers don’t care about students. * Regulatory costs of Bitcoin will exceed traditional banking. * There is no shortage of Satoshis. Go to https://Bambee.com/gold to schedule your FREE HR audit. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

23 Jan 202153min

Biden Takes the Helm of Sinking Ship – Ep 647

Biden Takes the Helm of Sinking Ship – Ep 647

* Markets couldn’t care less who’s the president.  * Despite the change in the White House, there’s no change at the Federal Reserve. * Joe Biden is not everybody’s president. * Democrats made a deal with the devil. * The country will now suffer like never before. * Nothing Joe Biden wants to do is Constitutional. * This can is too big to kick down the road. Thanks Ladder Life Insurance. To lock in your best rate today and get your family covered with Ladder, go to https://www.ladderlife.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/PeterSchiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

21 Jan 202140min

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