Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Is the March Rate Hike Really a Lock? – Ep. 338

Tomorrow is the first of the Fed's 2-day Federal Open Market Committee Meeting, and it's going to be the first meeting where there is supposed to be a rate hike and a press conference for the new chairman, Jerome Powell. The markets are pretty much at 100% probability that the Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday. What the markets are grappling with is whether or not the Fed will raise rates 4 times this year, or only 3.

Now, if they are going to raise them 4 times, it would mean they raised rates once per quarter. So they raise them in March, they raise them in June, they raise them in September and then they raise them again in December. Now, if they only do it 3 times, then, they pick one of these quarters where they don't do it. Most likely, if they only do 3 hikes, the hike they're going to skip is going to be the June hike. And, of course, if they skip the June hike, they're probably not going to hike in September or December, either because the economy will be much weaker by then, the U.S. stock market could be much lower. The fact is, I'm still not 100% sure that the Fed is going to hike on Wednesday.

I would agree that it is more likely than not that the Fed is going to hike, because they've been hiking interest rates all along. The Fed so far has not given any indication that they're not going to hike because they don't want to give up the ghost of this "vibrant recovery", where they need to raise rates because everything is going so well. But that whole narrative, that whole illusion seems to be fading very quickly. As a matter of fact, on Friday the Atlanta Fed's model for Q1 GDP went down another notch! They are now down to 1.8% for Q1 GDP. Now does it sound like the Fed should be rushing to hike rates when GDP growth for Q1 is only going to be 1.8%? Does that sound like an economy that is in danger of overheating? When they were at 5.4% 6 weeks ago or so and now they're down to 1.8% and falling? For all we know, we could end up being below 1%.

Does the Fed really want to add more downward pressure to an accelerating economy by raising interest rates? So far, everybody just assumes that they're going to hike rates. but we'll see. Another factor that may weigh on the Fed's decision is the stock market. We still have tomorrow and Wednesday morning for the stock market to tank. Today, the tanking process already began.

At one point today, the Dow was down almost 500 points. At its low it was down around 490. The NASDAQ, the bigger decliner was down almost 200 points intra day. Now the markets recouped some of those losses, so the NASDAQ only closed down 137 points; that's still a 1.84% drop. It's a big drop, not nearly as big as 200. The Dow was down 335. It's back in the red on the year. The Dow was down about 100 points so far this year. We're only about 800 Dow points above the closing low from March. I think we're more like maybe 1300 Dow points above the intra-day low in the U.S. session. But who knows? the market could tank tomorrow, we'll see, and then, is the Fed going to hike rates with the market tanking? Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

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Worst Pre-Election Stock Market Week in History – Ep 623

Worst Pre-Election Stock Market Week in History – Ep 623

US stock market has worst week since March. Wall Street bought on the rumor of a Biden win; now selling before it becomes a fact. Selling will continue even after he wins. It’s all about the Fed and nobody cares. Losses will be most pronounced in the bond market. Fed holding back the cure for the economy. Under Capitalism, people get rich by helping other people. Under Socialism, people get rich by controlling other people. Great buying opportunities in gold mining sector. Dollar heading into the biggest bear market it’s ever suffered. Schedule your FREE Product Tour at NetSuite.com/gold Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

31 Okt 202046min

All Bubbles Eventually Find a Pin – Ep 622

All Bubbles Eventually Find a Pin – Ep 622

Stock markets tumble on renewed fears. Blue wave may not crest as once was expected. More stimulus comes with bigger government. Trump is the Republican Jimmy Carter. Trump’s legacy will be his successful Supreme Court nominees. The most important thing this election is to prevent Democrats from taking control of the Senate. Free $75 credit at https://Indeed.com/Peter Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

27 Okt 202048min

Was the Hatchet Job on Me a Snow Job on Australia? – Ep 621

Was the Hatchet Job on Me a Snow Job on Australia? – Ep 621

Addressing the elephant in the room. Australian media accuses me of masterminding the biggest money laundering and tax evasion scheme in the history of the world. Realtors, accountants, lawyers may soon be required to spy on their clients. Real Bitcoiners respect me. Fake Bitcoiners hate me. PayPal announces Bitcoin news. Dollar weakest in weeks. Thanks RAYCON! While the deal is running, get 15% off your order at https://buyraycon.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

22 Okt 202044min

America Has Never Been Less Great – Ep 620

America Has Never Been Less Great – Ep 620

Bank analysts want more artificial stimulus. Retail sales surge while production crashes. PPP monkey business driving spike in business applications. Borrowing from poorer countries is a sign of decay, not strength. The income tax is proof that Americans are not a free people. Hunter Biden compromises national security and economy. Twitter censors the story from the public. The coverup is as outrageous as the story. Washington full of pickpockets, not public servants. Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

17 Okt 20201h 3min

Almost Everything the Federal Government Does is Unconstitutional – Ep 619

Almost Everything the Federal Government Does is Unconstitutional – Ep 619

US stock market breaks a 4 day winning streak. Enormous tax hikes being proposed dwarf tax cuts. Fed creating a launch pad for gold. Amy Coney Barrett agrees to maintain unconstitutional precedent. The government interprets the Constitution to grant themselves unlimited power. Get an extra 3 months. Express VPN: https://expressvpn.com/gold Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

14 Okt 20201h 12min

Trump Out-Democrats the Democrats – Ep 618

Trump Out-Democrats the Democrats – Ep 618

Trump extends stimulus olive branch to Pelosi. Kudlow lies behind his mask. Republicans cave on spending. QE goes from tool of last resort to standard operating procedure. Stimulus begets stimulus. Dollar breaks down; gold and silver rally. Gold and silver will move big following the election. Debates need a referee, not a moderator. Republicans are being stingy socialists. Trade deficit with China bigger than before we declared a trade war. Bitcoin gains on news of Jack Dorsey’s Square allocation. Free $75 credit at Indeed.com/Peter Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

10 Okt 202049min

Debt Explodes as Stimulus Hopes Implode  – Ep 617

Debt Explodes as Stimulus Hopes Implode – Ep 617

Trump temporarily dashes stimulus hopes. National debt tops $27 Trillion. Trade deficit in manufactured goods hits all time record high. Jerome Powell either doesn’t understand the economy or is a liar. Lower-skilled government workers retiring with multimillion dollar pensions paid for by private sector. Donald Trump condemns white supremacy, but Joe Biden won’t condemn Socialism. Thanks Keeps. To receive your first month of treatment for free, go to keeps.com/GOLD Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

7 Okt 202050min

Trump COVID Positive, Job Prognosis Negative – Ep 616

Trump COVID Positive, Job Prognosis Negative – Ep 616

Last jobs report before election overshadowed by COVID-positive Trump. Possibility of a President Pence becomes more probable. Deregulation and lower taxes would stimulate the economy. Consumption is the caboose; production is the engine that moves the train forward. California will need a Federal bailout to pay reparations for the slaves they never had. Princeton placates mob and gets caught in a lie. BitMEX founders indicted on criminal charges. Coinbase bans political discussions. Try 3 months free of ExpressVPN at https://ExpressVPN.com/gold Invest like me: https://schiffradio.com/invest RATE AND REVIEW the Peter Schiff Show Podcast on Facebook. https://www.facebook.com/PeterSchiff/reviews/ SIGN UP FOR MY FREE NEWSLETTER: https://www.europac.com/ Schiff Gold News: http://www.SchiffGold.com/news Buy my newest book at http://www.tinyurl.com/RealCrash Follow me on Facebook: http://www.Facebook.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Twitter: http://www.Twitter.com/PeterSchiff Follow me on Instagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiff Our Sponsors: * Check out FRE and use my code LISTEN20 for a great deal: https://frepouch.com * Check out Infinite Epigenetics: https://infiniteepigenetics.com/GOLD * Check out Justin Wine and use my code SCHIFF20 for a great deal: https://www.justinwine.com Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

3 Okt 202051min

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