Predictive History, Professor Jiang, No Ads9 Apr

Geo-Strategy END: Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future)

In his June 13, 2024 class, Jiang Xueqin concludes his Geo-Strategy course by discussing how to use AI to chart a better future for humanity:In his Foundation series, Isaac Asimov introduces the science of psychohistory. Is it really possible to predict the future by mathematically modeling historical development?By mathematically modeling history, "Cliodynamics" has revealed interesting patterns. For example, Peter Turchin has discovered that it's the "over-production of elites" that drives social upheaval. The advent of AI presents new possibilities for the mathematical modeling of history, and can even help us achieve psychohistory. But to do so would require decades of painstaking research and analysis. It would also mean overturning the entire field of history, and looking at all of the past with a more critical and nuanced eye. Finally, much of this research and development can only happen in a time of global collapse, when all of humanity is united in creating an open, progressive, and democratic future. In his final message to his students, Jiang Xueqin stresses that the future is not something that happens -- it is something that has to be imagined and fought for.

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Global Meet-Up #4 (Austin, Texas): American Prophecy

On Sunday, August 23rd, Professor Jiang discusses Trump's 3rd Term in Austin, Texas. Thanks to Jintae Cho for organizing the meet-up, and David Rhoads for filming the event.Please follow David's work ...

1 Sep 2h 28min

Global Meet-Up #2 (Los Angeles): The "End of the World" US Tour

On Saturday, August 8, 2026, Professor Jiang spoke at the Kinn (https://thekinn.co/) in Venice, California. Many thanks to Ally Fekaiki for organizing and moderating the event. Because of his generosi...

18 Aug 1h 39min

Global Meet-Up #3 (New York City): The Eschatology of Capitalism

On Saturday, August 15, 2026, Professor Jiang visited New York City to deliver a lecture on why the Iran started, and where it is going. He explains the origins of transnational capitalism, and how se...

16 Aug 2h 35min

Emergency Discussion #2: The Blackmailing of Spain

In this Saturday, August 1 Zoom discussion, we examine and discuss why and how 50,000 migrants flooded the Spanish enclave of Ceuta.

2 Aug 3h 2min

Emergency Discussion #1: Spain Wins World Cup, US Plans Ground Invasion of Iran

In this July 20, 2026 Zoom discussion, Professor Jiang discusses current events, and answers questions from Substack subscribers.

20 Juli 2h 25min

Live with Predictive History #2: US-Iran War, World Cup

A recording from Predictive History's live videohttps://predictivehistory.substack.co...

18 Juli 1h 26min

Global Meet-Up #1 (Tokyo): Japan's Geo-Political Outlook

On Tuesday, July 14, 2026, Professor Jiang visited Tokyo, and discussed Japan's geo-political outlook. What follows are highlights from the 3-hour event. Much appreciation to Keito Ochi for organizing...

17 Juli 41min