The Fourth Reich

The Fourth Reich

AfD won 44% in Saxony-Anhalt, and the Twittersphere (x-sphere just doesn't hit, sorry) immediately projected Panzer divisions massing on the Polish border. Is AfD kinda scary right-wing populist? For sure. But every right-wing populist party in Europe has faced this same test over the last decade, and 17 out of 17 came to Jesus on the Euro once they had to actually govern. So is Germany becoming the Fourth Reich?? Unlikely. This is just what happens to a country where too much remains unsayable - about immigration, about Ukraine, about energy - and who fills that vacuum.

Also: Greek shippers, making a killing.

--

Timestamps:

(00:00) - Cold Open and Timing

(00:29) - AfD Shock Headlines

(02:16) - Europe Media Myths

(05:12) - AfD Strategy and Taboos

(09:29) - EU Integration Is Settled

(12:21) - Not Nazis but Risks

(14:18) - East Germany Roots

(17:47) - Ukraine and Russia Realism

(21:05) - Coalitions and Overton Window

(23:58) - Migration and Integration Crunch

(32:26) - Long Trend Not Flash

(34:42) - East West Guilt Divide

(36:53) - Guilt Politics Backfire

(37:46) - Teaching History Without Dwelling

(39:34) - Sons And Fathers Debate

(41:07) - Statues And Memory Wars

(42:12) - Germany Flags And Expert Skepticism

(43:29) - Why Parliaments Tame Extremes

(45:05) - Let AfD Govern Locally

(45:47) - Houthis Strike And Oil Risks

(48:35) - Greek Shippers Beat Blockades

(53:01) - Supply Chains Adapt Over Time

(55:25) - Corporate Strategy In Gray Zones

(58:29) - Amoral Multipolar Lessons

(01:01:47) - Houthi Sponsorship Joke Break

(01:02:21) - Ballmer Kawhi And Uncle Dennis

(01:03:46) - Clippers Insecurity And Hubris

(01:09:43) - Jersey Retirements And Wrap Up

--

Referenced in the Show:

--

Geopolitical Cousins is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com

--

Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and researcher covering global politics and affairs, economics, markets, technology, history, and culture. He speaks to audiences of all sizes around the world, helps global multinationals make strategic decisions about political risks and opportunities, and works directly with investors to grow and protect their assets in today’s volatile global environment. His insights help audiences across industries like finance, agriculture, and energy make sense of the world.

Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.com

Jacob Shapiro LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/jacob-l-s-a9337416

Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShap

Jacob Shapiro Substack: jashap.substack.com/subscribe

--

Marko Papic is a macro and geopolitical expert at BCA Research, a global investment research firm. He provides in-depth analysis that combines geopolitics and markets in a framework called GeoMacro. He is also the author of Geopolitical Alpha: An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future.

Marko’s Book & Newsletter: www.geopoliticalalpha.com/marko-papic

Marko’s Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/marko-papic-geopolitics/

Marko’s Twitter: https://x.com/Geo_papic

Marko’s Macro & Geopolitical Research at BCA: https://www.bcaresearch.com/marketing/geomacro

Det här avsnittet är hämtat från ett öppet RSS-flöde och publiceras inte av Podme. Det kan innehålla reklam.

Avsnitt(79)

Flies to Poop

Flies to Poop

The Houthis have an email address. You send them your ship's name, your transponder number, and they send you back a bank account. It's all very cultured. And the Iranians could have taken oil to $200...

18 Sep 51min

Rabies-infested beavers

Rabies-infested beavers

Rabies-infested beavers. Not an insult - a fiscal strategy. Canadians have stopped buying bourbon, started flying maple leaf flags in grocery stores, and ~ most importantly ~ handed Mark Carney the po...

7 Sep 1h 22min

Scotty Doesn't Know

Scotty Doesn't Know

Scott Bessent says he doesn't understand why oil prices are spiking. The guy standing between America and the River Styx is confused :) The cousins crack open a few cold ones this week and break down ...

22 Aug 1h 26min

The King of Israel

The King of Israel

It's been a minute. Marko and Jacob are back after a long gap, and not much has changed: the Hormuz standoff drags on, the war in Ukraine grinds forward, and the stock market shrugged it all off. Mark...

12 Aug 1h 22min

Lessons Learned

Lessons Learned

Round two. Same four analysts, a lot more whiskey, and a lot less structure. Peter Zeihan, Marko Papic, and Matt Gertken sit back down with Jacob - a man who cut his teeth pestering all three of them ...

31 Juli 1h 27min

This Is The Way The World Ends (w/ Zeihan & Gertken)

This Is The Way The World Ends (w/ Zeihan & Gertken)

Sixteen years after last sharing a table together, four Stratfor alumni reunite for a wide-ranging conversation on the decade ahead. Jacob and Marko are joined by Peter Zeihan, and Matt Gertken to tac...

29 Juli 1h 40min

What We Got Wrong About The World Cup (A LOT)

What We Got Wrong About The World Cup (A LOT)

The cousins reconvene with the BCA brain trust - Juan Correa, Robert Tipper, and Jeremie Peloso - for the World Cup post-mortem. The model called all four semifinalists but missed champion Spain, so t...

24 Juli 1h 22min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

framgangspodden
rss-jossan-nina
varvet
rss-borsens-finest
rss-dr-bjorklund
avanzapodden
badfluence
uppgang-och-fall
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
24fragor
bathina-en-podcast
fill-or-kill
kapitalet-en-podd-om-ekonomi
lastbilspodden
tabberaset
svd-tech-brief
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
rss-dagen-med-di
borsmorgon
bilar-med-sladd