SI136: When Investments Become A Religion ft. Jerry Parker

SI136: When Investments Become A Religion ft. Jerry Parker

Jerry Parker returns to the show today to discuss the how investments can often turn into religions, the recent Coinbase IPO, using historical volatility for position sizing, comparing long-term trend following to Buy & Hold, ‘trend strength’ signals, how much of a portfolio should be allocated to Trend Following strategies, mean-reversion systems versus Trend Following systems, and thoughts on finding or adding to new positions.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

In this episode, we discuss:

  • The perils of becoming 'religious' about our investments
  • Coinbase's recent stock market listing
  • Position sizing using historical volatility
  • Buy & Hold versus Trend Following over long-term look back periods
  • Mean Reversion trading versus Trend-based trading
  • The infamous Top Traders Unplugged Trend Barometer

-----


Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Jerry on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

01:36 - Macro recap from Niels

04:37 - Weekly review of returns

09:37 - A question for Jerry, from Mark: If Trend Following philosophy assumes the future is unknown, why is normal to use historical price data?

24:44 - ‘Trend Strength’ signals, what they are, and if you should use them

26:52 - Whether Trend Followers do actually make market predictions

35:49 - A question for Jerry from Jim: What are your thoughts on combining a Trend Following system with a mean-reversion system?

40:27 - Meb Faber’s recent poll on how much should be allocated to Trend Following

48:31 - Q1; Danny: How do you find new positions to trade?

53:09 - Q2; Mathew: How do you define a longer-term timeframe?

01:00:44 - Performance recap

01:01:50 - Jerry asks Niels to discuss the Top Traders Unplugged Trend Barometer

Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

Privacy Policy

Disclaimer

Avsnitt(912)

SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

SI379: The Illusion of Safety in a Fully Invested Market ft. Cem Karsan

Niels and Cem reflect on a year marked by concentration, confidence, and growing structural fragility beneath calm markets. They examine extreme positioning, record low cash levels, and the quiet domi...

20 Dec 20251h 10min

GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

GM92: Politics in an Age of Hard Borders and Rising Hegemons ft. Gary Gerstle

In this conversation, the veneer of political continuity is stripped back to reveal a world drifting toward harder borders, sharper identities and a reshaping of power once thought unthinkable. Gary G...

17 Dec 20251h 10min

SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

SI378: When Prices Stop Making Sense ft. Mark Rzepczynski

This episode examines markets through the lens of uncertainty rather than prediction. As the Federal Reserve delivers a rate cut amid dissent and conflicting signals, Alan and Mark explore what it mea...

13 Dec 20251h 2min

TTU151: What Comes After 60/40? Systematic Thinking, BlackRock Style ft. Jeff Rosenberg

TTU151: What Comes After 60/40? Systematic Thinking, BlackRock Style ft. Jeff Rosenberg

Niels and Alan sit down with BlackRock’s Jeff Rosenberg to examine how the post Covid shift from too little to too much inflation is reshaping portfolios. Jeff explains why bond and equity correlation...

10 Dec 20251h 13min

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

SI377: What's New in SG Indices in 2026? + The Regime-Adaptive Portfolio ft. Alan Dunne

Niels and Alan explore how a fragile macro regime reshapes systematic investing, from a politicised Fed succession to widening cracks in a debt-laden, equity-dependent economy. A shifting bond landsca...

6 Dec 20251h 8min

ALO32: AI Booms, Fiscal Strains and the New Macro Regime ft. Joe Little

ALO32: AI Booms, Fiscal Strains and the New Macro Regime ft. Joe Little

Alan Dunne speaks with HSBC Asset Management’s Global Chief Strategist, Joe Little, about what happens when the old macro rules stop working. Joe traces the shift from a demand led, low inflation worl...

3 Dec 20251h 5min

SI376: What They’re Only Now Starting to See ft. Andrew Beer

SI376: What They’re Only Now Starting to See ft. Andrew Beer

In this week’s Systematic Investor episode, Niels and Andrew Beer explore how a broken 60/40 paradigm is forcing wealth managers into a new world of “other” diversifiers. Andrew reflects on the Goldma...

29 Nov 20251h 6min

IL43: The Land Trap: How Property Shapes Power ft. Mike Bird

IL43: The Land Trap: How Property Shapes Power ft. Mike Bird

In today’s episode we talk about the world’s oldest, and still most important asset: land. Our guest is the Economist’s Wall Street Editor Mike Bird. Mike is the author of a newly released book The La...

26 Nov 20251h

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

framgangspodden
badfluence
varvet
rss-jossan-nina
rss-svart-marknad
rss-borsens-finest
avanzapodden
svd-tech-brief
uppgang-och-fall
rss-dagen-med-di
fill-or-kill
lastbilspodden
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
dynastin
24fragor
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
rss-den-nya-ekonomin
kapitalet-en-podd-om-ekonomi
bathina-en-podcast
borsmorgon