E156: Ivy League antisemitism, macro, SaaS recovery, Gemini, Figma deal delay + big Friedberg update

E156: Ivy League antisemitism, macro, SaaS recovery, Gemini, Figma deal delay + big Friedberg update

(0:00) Bestie intro!

(3:12) Ivy League antisemitism hearings

(21:55) State of the economy for consumers

(34:55) Signs of life in SaaS, VC shutdowns, and more

(44:59) Why Friedberg chose to take the role of CEO at Ohalo, and the dearth of great leadership talent in tech

(1:01:07) Google announces Gemini: Why this is a notable moment for Google, industry impact, and more

(1:11:50) Adobe's $20B Figma acquisition has stalled out due to the UK's CMA

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow Tucker:

https://twitter.com/TuckerCarlson

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://rankings.thefire.org/rank

https://www.ft.com/content/9c7931aa-4973-475e-9841-d7ebd54b0f47

https://academic.oup.com/poq/article-abstract/82/1/135/4868126

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/07/economy/americans-401k-plans-bill-payments/index.html

https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-consumer-spending-personal-income-october-2023-6a1ecb1d

https://www.axios.com/2023/11/28/cyber-monday-spending-record-shopping

https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/14/economy/consumer-price-index-october/index.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/21/home-sales-fell-to-a-13-year-low-in-october-as-prices-rose.html

https://kalshi.com/markets/fed/fed-funds-rate#fed-23dec

https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1730607188341624851

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1718016818118553622

https://www.saastr.com/carta-startup-shutdowns-are-up-237

https://www.theinformation.com/articles/vc-firm-openview-abruptly-winds-down-as-industry-pressure-rises

https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-12123-net-new-arr

https://twitter.com/friedberg/status/1732217863975641389

https://ohalogenetics.com

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K4pX1VAxaAI

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v5tRc_5-8G4

https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-ai

https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1732482646419403077

https://www.figma.com/templates

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/656f3c941104cf000dfa7563/Provisional_findings_report_3.pdf

Avsnitt(288)

E7: California's collapse, how SPACs are opening the markets for growth stocks & more

E7: California's collapse, how SPACs are opening the markets for growth stocks & more

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Bestie recommendations: Chamath: https://www.amazon.com/Americana-400-Year-History-American-Capitalism/dp/0399563792 Sacks: https://taibbi.substack.com/ https://andrewsullivan.substack.com/ Friedberg: https://www.amazon.com/Godfather-Mario-Puzo/dp/0451205766 https://www.amazon.com/Titan-Life-John-Rockefeller-Sr/dp/1400077303/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=john+d+rockefeller+titan&qid=1599625893&s=books&sr=1-1 Jason: https://www.amazon.com/Fish-That-Ate-Whale-Americas/dp/1250033314/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=the+fish+that+ate+the+whale&qid=1599625909&s=books&sr=1-1 https://www.amazon.com/I-Love-Capitalism-American-Story/dp/073521624X/ref=sr_1_1?dchild=1&keywords=i+love+capitalism&qid=1599626013&sr=8-1   0:00 The gang recap their summers 6:43 Is California collapsing? Why or why not? Has the one-party system failed? 14:05 Understanding the bureaucratic side of California's problem 20:37 AB-5 & the working rights of freelancers 27:11 How would AB-5 passing impact Uber & Lyft's long-term profitability & consumer experience, could franchising fix this? 34:45 California lagging in police reform, what tactical steps could be taken to stop deadly policing 46:13 Chamath on the most important economic event of the last decade & why he is now bullish on the market 50:46 Why technology companies should be going public sooner, how SPACs are allowing retail investors access to growth stocks 1:01:23 Election talk - who is in the lead ahead of the first debate? 1:12:21 Bestie recommendations

9 Sep 20201h 16min

E6: Big Tech antitrust aftermath, potential effects of an M&A clampdown on Silicon Valley & more

E6: Big Tech antitrust aftermath, potential effects of an M&A clampdown on Silicon Valley & more

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod Jason's recent Big Tech antitrust hearings breakdown: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VWeMnJ0-a_U

31 Juli 20201h 34min

E5: WHO's incompetence, kicking off Cold War II, China's grand plan, 100X'ing America's efficiency

E5: WHO's incompetence, kicking off Cold War II, China's grand plan, 100X'ing America's efficiency

Follow the crew: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://bio.fm/theallinpod

11 Juli 20201h 32min

E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Biden's ideal VP, Twitter vs. Facebook on free speech & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg

E4: Politicizing the pandemic, Police reform, Biden's ideal VP, Twitter vs. Facebook on free speech & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason checks in on Chamath, Sacks & Friedberg, opening up their social circles, outdoor activities & more 9:31 Issues with politicizing matters of public health, deaths decreasing while new cases spike, masks, lockdowns & more 20:56 Viral videos, doxxing bad behavior & cancel culture 25:39 Reforming law enforcement, separating police from the military, changing police incentives 36:42 Are public unions too powerful? How a lack of leadership has led us here 41:49 Facebook vs. Twitter on free speech, Zuckerberg's relationship with Peter Thiel, valuing comfort over freedom of expression 59:24 John Bolton's book controversy 1:03:14 Movements in the COVID vaccine space 1:07:38 Trump vs. Biden: Who has the upper hand? 1:14:24 Who should Biden pick as VP?

20 Juni 20201h 18min

E3: Modern Cold War between US & China, economic recovery, potential mass migration out of San Francisco, pandemic politicization & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg

E3: Modern Cold War between US & China, economic recovery, potential mass migration out of San Francisco, pandemic politicization & more with David Sacks & David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath intro David Sacks & David Friedberg 1:15 Everybody gives their quarantine update: Sacks is in Mexico while running Craft remote, Chamath got a new poker table & is excited for shelter-in-place to end, Friedberg is getting back into a rhythm 8:04 Chamath & Sacks reflect on the coming return to normalcy & politicization of the virus 12:41 Sacks on 3 major data-driven discoveries about the virus 15:54 Friedberg on fatality rate data, overestimating the lockdown's impact on stopping the virus 19:32 Getting back to work 21:05 Chamath on the stock market not reflecting the economy, Sacks on what an economic recovery might look like 28:00 Friedberg on potential of another NYC-level outbreak, Chamath on negative impact of left/right culture war 34:05 Sacks on democratic hesitation to end lockdowns giving Trump a strategic advantage, Friedberg on Hydroxychloroquine's benefits/risks 37:57 Sacks on potential resorting of the Bay Area & Silicon Valley due to remote work 41:51 Chamath on benefits of working remote, why San Francisco might lose large numbers of people 45:18 Tesla/Fremont situation a microcosm for politicization of the pandemic, benefits of people starting to distrust inept bureaucrats 49:33 Chamath on the beginning of the modern Cold War, dealing with market conditions considering China's standing in the world, ideological issues 53:46 Sacks on US/China relationship, how US can penalize China 59:25 Friedberg on how US can leapfrog China in manufacturing by using modern, automated solutions

21 Maj 20201h 6min

E2: Rebooting the economy, understanding corporate debt, steps to avoid a depression & more with David Sacks

E2: Rebooting the economy, understanding corporate debt, steps to avoid a depression & more with David Sacks

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath catch us up on their quarantines 1:20 Chamath intros David Sacks 4:40 David explains what their poker group chat has been like since COVID-19 started, and how Jason, Chamath & himself fall on the optimistic/pessimistic spectrum 6:58 How have the past few months defined David's view on the world, and what is his reaction to the US government's response? 12:22 Did the US health apparatus do its job? How could it improve? Why aren't masks already mandated? 19:33 Culture clash between scientific experts & entrepreneurs, thoughts on Chloroquine as a treatment method 27:00 Are US bureaucrats taking the intelligence of US citizens for granted? How liable is Trump? 30:08 David gives his plan to reboot the economy: what now? How does the US avoid a recession/depression? 36:22 Chamath & Jason assess David's plan 43:21 Have the stimulus packages & SMB loans been enough? Will the trickle-down approach work? 49:21 Should the US be allowing companies to declare bankruptcy? How should they decide who gets aid and who does not? 52:02 Chamath explains how corporate debt works through the lens of Ford 56:42 Why is the US not giving a larger % of the stimulus to average Americans? Chances of unrest if quarantine continues? 1:02:17 Trump vs. Biden: who has the edge in 2020 right now? 1:11:24 Was Jack Dorsey's $1B donation the strongest move of 2020 so far?

11 Apr 20201h 13min

E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, Venture Capital & Public Markets with David Friedberg

E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, Venture Capital & Public Markets with David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason   https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath intro David and check in on each other's quarantines 2:26 Has the US overreacted or underreacted so far? David & Chamath give their opinions on new directives & statistics 13:15 Thoughts on potential treatment options & policy changes 22:25 Chamath explains the circumstances of recording a podcast while the Stock Market tanks in real-time 25:03 Should the US adopt Chinese & South Korean quarantine strategies? 29:53 What do the current market conditions mean for startups & VC? 41:24 Chamath explains what is currently happening in the capital markets 45:05 How close is the US on being able to do mass-testing? 54:13 Thoughts on bailouts for companies that manipulated their earnings-per-share ratio by stock buybacks? Impact on the global economy 1:03:14 Impact on luxury goods? Should there be a monthly stipend for low-income citizens? 1:12:10 COVID-19 exposing holes in the US healthcare system 1:17:44 Should we ban wet markets globally? 1:24:12 Over/Under: when Americans will be allowed to go out to restaurants again 1:28:18 When will the weekly poker game resume?

19 Mars 20201h 31min

E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg

E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason   https://linktr.ee/calacanis   0:01 Jason intros Chamath and Episode 0 of All-In and they discuss their current self-quarantine 0:55 Jason intros David Friedberg 1:35 Chamath gives the inaugural (& potentially final) All-In ad read 2:17 As a Warriors owner, Chamath gives his reaction to the NBA postponing & uncoordinated actions of government & private sectors 4:37 Why was the US so slow to react on both an individual & governmental level? What did the OpenTable data show? 9:03 David explains the actions he would take if he was president 12:37 Thoughts on Trump’s private sector involvement 16:58 Has the press failed in its coverage, or are they just feeding people what they want? 23:52 What will the next few weeks in the US look like? Why has the virus spread severely in Italy, but not yet in India? 37:20 How the COVID-19 viral coefficient compares to the early days of Facebook’s numbers 40:26 Chances of Trump testing positive for the virus? What effect would that have on markets? 48:53 What should we do differently next time? 53:13 Will there both more deaths due to second order effects of the virus than direct deaths? 1:01:06 Should there be a global stimulus package? Effect of low-volatility during recent bull run? 1:11:26 Chances of a quick resolution? 1:16:48 How are Jason & Chamath advising their portfolio companies? How are IPO’s of companies like Airbnb & DoorDash being effected? 1:21:17 How to approach the next year in startups & VC?

15 Mars 20201h 28min

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