Roberto Perli on the Past, Present, and Future of the Fed's Balance Sheet

Roberto Perli on the Past, Present, and Future of the Fed's Balance Sheet

Roberto Perli is the manager of the System Open Market Account (SOMA) and a senior leader in the New York Fed's Markets Group. In his role, Roberto is responsible for implementing monetary policy at the direction of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Roberto is also a returning guest to the podcast, and he rejoins Macro Musings to talk about a recent speech he made titled, *Balance Sheet Reduction: Progress to Date and a Look Ahead.* Specifically, David and Roberto discuss the Fed's recent balance sheet activities, the basics and functionality of the overnight reverse repo facility, the importance of slowing down the Fed's balance sheet runoff, and much more.

Transcript for this week's episode.

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Roberto's Twitter: @R_Perli

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*Balance Sheet Reduction: Progress to Date and a Look Ahead* - Remarks by Roberto Perli at the 2024 Annual Primary Dealer Meeting, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Timestamps:

(00:00:00) – Intro

(00:04:49) – Breaking Down the Role of SOMA Manager

(00:08:43) – Recapping the Fed's Balance Sheet Activities

(00:11:04) – How to Think About Quantitative Tightening

(00:13:19) – Breaking Down the Overnight Reverse Repo Facility

(00:20:42) – Slowing Down the Runoff and the Future of QT

(00:26:48) – How to Determine the Critical Level of Reserves

(00:33:03) – The Structural Demand for Bank Reserves Over Time

(00:38:55) – The Advantages of the Floor Operating System

(00:47:49) – Reserve Supply Focus Moving Forward

(00:49:44) – Outro

Avsnitt(522)

58 – David Schleicher on Local and State Regulation and Declining Mobility

58 – David Schleicher on Local and State Regulation and Declining Mobility

David Schleicher is an Associate Professor of Law at Yale Law School and is an expert in election law, land use, local government law, urban development, transportation, and local regulation of the sharing economy. He joins the show to discuss his new journal article, "Stuck! The Law and Economics of Residential Stability," which argues that government regulations, such as occupational licensing and land-use laws, have led to a significant decline in inter-state mobility. Schleicher describes the negative macroeconomic implications of this trend and explains how we can reverse it. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David Schleicher's Yale profile: https://law.yale.edu/david-n-schleicher David Beckworth's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth David Schleicher's Twitter: @ProfSchleich Related links: "Stuck! The Law and Economics of Residential Stability" by David Schleicher https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2896309

22 Maj 201755min

57 – Paul Krugman on Liquidity Traps, the Great Recession, and Isaac Asimov

57 – Paul Krugman on Liquidity Traps, the Great Recession, and Isaac Asimov

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56 – Ethan Ilzetzki on the U.S. Dollar as an Anchor Currency

56 – Ethan Ilzetzki on the U.S. Dollar as an Anchor Currency

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8 Maj 201759min

55 – Daniel Griswold on the Basics of Trade

55 – Daniel Griswold on the Basics of Trade

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1 Maj 201759min

54 – Josh Zumbrun on Challenges and Angst Facing the Economics Profession

54 – Josh Zumbrun on Challenges and Angst Facing the Economics Profession

Josh Zumbrun is a national economics correspondent for the Wall Street Journal. David and Josh discuss what seems to be the diminished status of economists in a populist era and what role economists will play in the Trump Administration. Josh also shares his thoughts on life as an economics journalist in the digital age. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Josh Zumbrun's WSJ archive: http://topics.wsj.com/person/Z/josh-zumbrun/7972 David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Josh Zumbrun's Twitter: @JoshZumbrun Related links: "How to Restore Faith in Economics" by Noah Smith https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-03-15/how-to-restore-faith-in-economics "Donald Trump's Cabinet Won't Include Chairman of CEA" by Josh Zumbrun https://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-trumps-cabinet-wont-include-chairman-of-cea-1486670755?tesla=y

24 Apr 20171h 1min

53 – James Bullard on Life as a Fed Bank President and Monetary Policy in 2017

53 – James Bullard on Life as a Fed Bank President and Monetary Policy in 2017

In this week's episode, Jim Bullard, the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, joins the show to discuss his work as a Federal Reserve executive and as a researcher in monetary policy. Bullard shares his thoughts on why inflation has been so persistently low since 2008 and whether the Fed should pursue a more symmetric inflation target. He and David also discuss the Fed's plans for monetary policy in 2017. In Bullard's view, the Fed should focus on reducing its balance sheet before it turns to raising rates further. (Note: this episode was recorded on April 5, 2017) Interview transcript: https://www.mercatus.org/podcasts/04172017/macro-musings-53-james-bullard-federal-reserve David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Jim Bullard's Federal Reserve profile: https://www.stlouisfed.org/from-the-president David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth St. Louis Fed's Twitter: @stlouisfed Related links: "Comments on the FOMC's Amendments to Its Statement on Longer-Run Goals" by James Bullard https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2016/february/bullard-comments-fomc-amendments-statement-longer-run-goals "Current Monetary Policy, the New Fiscal Policy and the Fed's Balance Sheet" by James Bullard https://www.stlouisfed.org/~/media/Files/PDFs/Bullard/remarks/Bullard_Economic_Club_of_Memphis_24_Mar_2017.pdf?la=en "Everything the Market Thinks About Inflation Might be Wrong" by Jon Sindreu (Wall Street Journal) https://www.wsj.com/articles/everything-the-market-thinks-about-inflation-might-be-wrong-1488796206 "As Debate Rages, Simple Analogy Shows How Fed Controls Inflation" by David Beckworth (The Hill) http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/economy-budget/324054-as-debate-rages-simple-analogy-shows-how-central-banks-still-control The Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean Inflation Rate https://www.dallasfed.org/research/pce

17 Apr 201758min

52 – Tyler Cowen on Complacency, Immobility, and Stagnation

52 – Tyler Cowen on Complacency, Immobility, and Stagnation

Tyler Cowen is a professor of economics at George Mason University as well as the general director of the Mercatus Center at George Mason University. He joins the show to discuss his new book, *The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream.* Tyler argues that restlessness and willingness to take risks have been key traits throughout American history. However, in the last few decades, American society has become more risk-averse. While we may have become more comfortable with less risk-taking, this complacency has led to less innovation and dynamism in the economy. Such stasis is causing economic stagnation and other woes throughout the United States. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Tyler Cowen's blog: http://marginalrevolution.com/ David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Tyler Cowen's Twitter: @tylercowen Related links: *The Complacent Class: The Self-Defeating Quest for the American Dream* by Tyler Cowen https://www.amazon.com/Complacent-Class-Self-Defeating-Quest-American/dp/1250108691 *How Complacent Are You? Take the Quiz!* http://tylercowen.com/complacent-class-quiz/ "Why the Global Shortage of Safe Assets Matters" by David Beckworth http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/2011/12/why-global-shortage-of-safe-assets.html "The Making of Hawks and Doves: Inflation Experiences on the FOMC" by Ulrike Malmendier, Stefan Nagel, and Zhen Yan http://www.nber.org/papers/w23228

10 Apr 201755min

51 – George Selgin on Reforming Open Market Operations and Normalizing Fed Policy

51 – George Selgin on Reforming Open Market Operations and Normalizing Fed Policy

George Selgin, director of the Cato Institute's Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives, returns to *Macro Musings* to discuss his new proposal to reform how the Fed conducts open-market operations. He proposes abolishing the current primary dealer system and expanding the Fed's number of counterparties. David and George also discuss the Fed's plans for 2017 and whether it will seek to reduce its large balance sheet. David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ George Selgin's Cato archive: www.cato.org/people/george-selgin George Selgin's Alt-M archive: https://www.alt-m.org/author/selgin/ (contains George's monetary policy primer posts) David's Twitter: twitter.com/DavidBeckworth George Selgin's Twitter: twitter.com/georgeselgin Related links: *Money: Free and Unfree* by George Selgin https://www.amazon.com/Money-Free-Unfree-George-Selgin/dp/1944424296 "Reforming Last-Resort Lending: The Flexible Open-Market Alternative" by George Selgin (as part of *Prosperity Unleashed: Smarter Financial Regulation* published by the Heritage Foundation) http://www.heritage.org/sites/default/files/2017-02/13_ProsperityUnleashed_Chapter13.pdf

3 Apr 201757min

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