103. ANALYSIS: Denis Kazakiewicz on Belarus, the war in Ukraine, recent joint Russia-Belarus military group, how the war affects the Belarusian population & impacts Lukashenko’s grip on power

103. ANALYSIS: Denis Kazakiewicz on Belarus, the war in Ukraine, recent joint Russia-Belarus military group, how the war affects the Belarusian population & impacts Lukashenko’s grip on power

Denis Kazakiewicz, data analyst and journalist, discusses Belarus and the war in Ukraine: Aleksandr Lukashenko's relationship with Putin, impacts of the war on the Belarusian population, significance of a recently-formed Belarusian-Russian joint military group, and how the war affects Lukashenko's grip on power.

"With the joint military group, Lukashenko gave one more piece of sovereignty, of Belarus, to Russian control. What does joint military group actually mean? It means that there will be some Russian and Belarusian soldiers intermingled - under Russian command."

"Lukashenko now is walking a very fine line - with his life in the balance... because if he will not be pro-Putin enough someone else might surface and tell Putin I am more pro-Putin... if he should stick to Putin too much and actually invade with full forces into Ukraine... that might end the rule of Lukashenko very soon... [because] people of Belarus don't want to die for Russian world."

Follow Denis on twitter: @Den_2042

For episode updates follow on twitter: @jessicagenauer

Avsnitt(100)

93. ANALYSIS: Oxana Shevel on Ukraine’s pluralism, national identity, impact of Russian invasion and Ukraine’s future

93. ANALYSIS: Oxana Shevel on Ukraine’s pluralism, national identity, impact of Russian invasion and Ukraine’s future

Oxana Shevel, Associate Professor of Political Science at Tufts University, discusses Ukrainian national identity, diversity, pluralism, changes since 2014 and since Russia's full-scale invasion in 20...

11 Sep 202218min

92. ANALYSIS: Nona Shahnazarian on impacts of the war in Yerevan, Armenia - and the  trauma of loss as fallout from conflict

92. ANALYSIS: Nona Shahnazarian on impacts of the war in Yerevan, Armenia - and the trauma of loss as fallout from conflict

Nona Shahnazarian, Senior Research Fellow at the National Academy of Sciences in Yerevan, Armenia, comments on the impact of the war on Yerevan, including an influx of Russian citizens to Yerevan post...

10 Sep 202213min

91. KYIV UPDATE: Maksym Yali updates on counteroffensive, cracks in Russian morale and IAEA visit to Zaporizhzhia power plant

91. KYIV UPDATE: Maksym Yali updates on counteroffensive, cracks in Russian morale and IAEA visit to Zaporizhzhia power plant

Maksym Yali, Professor of International Relations and Head of the Center for New World Order at the National Aviation University in Kyiv, discusses the state of a Ukrainian counteroffense - we might s...

4 Sep 202212min

90. ANALYSIS: Alasdair McCallum on Russian opposition, mobilisation, passivity and the Ukraine war

90. ANALYSIS: Alasdair McCallum on Russian opposition, mobilisation, passivity and the Ukraine war

Alasdair McCallum, doctoral student at Monash University, discusses Russian civil and political opposition - and why we've seen a muted overt opposition: 'Putin's regime aims to mobilise some parts of...

3 Sep 202217min

89. ANALYSIS: Marek Menkiszak analyzes Russia’s miscalculations, misperceptions and strategic failures in the war in Ukraine

89. ANALYSIS: Marek Menkiszak analyzes Russia’s miscalculations, misperceptions and strategic failures in the war in Ukraine

Marek Menkiszak, Head of the Russian Department at the OSW Center for Eastern Studies in Warsaw, analyzes Russia's miscalculations, misperceptions and strategic failures in the War in Ukraine.  'Russi...

29 Aug 202230min

88. KYIV UPDATE: Maksym Yali on Ukraine Independence Day, hits in Crimea and exptected mock trial of Azov defenders in Mariupol

88. KYIV UPDATE: Maksym Yali on Ukraine Independence Day, hits in Crimea and exptected mock trial of Azov defenders in Mariupol

Maksym Yali, Professor of International Relations at the National Aviation University in Kyiv, discusses the mood in Ukraine on Independence Day, Ukrainian hits on military targets in Crimea and the e...

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87. ANALYSIS: Maria Popova on Ukraine, accession to the European Union, reforms, & Russia’s aspirations of imperial restoration

87. ANALYSIS: Maria Popova on Ukraine, accession to the European Union, reforms, & Russia’s aspirations of imperial restoration

Maria Popova, Associate Professor of Politics at McGill Univeristy, discusses Ukraine, accession to the European Union, reforms, post-Soviet thinking and the aspirations of Russian imperial restoratio...

23 Aug 202226min

86. ANALYSIS: James Farwell on Ukraine, Turkey, Syria and - and broader lessons for leadership

86. ANALYSIS: James Farwell on Ukraine, Turkey, Syria and - and broader lessons for leadership

James Farwell, senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, comments on implications of the Ukraine war for Turkey and Syria - as well as broader lessons for leadership discussed in James' book The Cor...

22 Aug 202215min

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