Negotiations Hit a Dead End. War in Ukraine, Analytics. Arestovich, Romanenko.

Negotiations Hit a Dead End. War in Ukraine, Analytics. Arestovich, Romanenko.

On air with Yuri Romanenko, we discussed possible scenarios for the war in Ukraine on the eve of Peace Summit in Switzerland:

➤ 00:05 Romanenko: Peace Summit in Switzerland on June 15-16 in the context of other significant events in Ukraine.
➤ 01:51 Arestovich: if China and the United States do not participate in the summit, who will guarantee peace? Hypothesis: The US and China have a different plan.
➤ 03:09 Possible plan of the USA and China according to statements by politicians on each side.
➤ 06:27 There is good news, even when the positions of the Russian Federation, the USA and China are clear and no changes are planned.
➤ 08:15 Russians are demonstrating strategic ability to move borders. Russia's task is to attack. The West's task is to stop the offensive.
➤ 10:10 Preparations for a fierce confrontation between Ukraine and Russia: the struggle of potentials is underway, the scenario is repeating itself, the range of weapons and Ukraine’s ability to strike at Russian territory are expanding.
➤ 14:05 What can Ukraine expect from the NATO summit in Washington in June and from Trump’s statements? US guarantees for Ukraine: hints help understand the limits of the deal.
➤ 17:59 Western politicians cannot allow the aggressor’s conquests to be legalized by signing Putin’s demands to fix borders.
➤ 20:30 What conditions can be acceptable for the collective West within the peace process?
➤ 23:05 Chinese businesses leaving Russia due to Putin’s inability to negotiate and the possibility of a complete economic embargo on the Russian Federation.
➤ 27:10 Hypothesis: summer and autumn will be spent with Russia attacking and Ukraine in defence. Negotiating positions may begin to take shape after the inauguration of next US President, in winter. None of the warring parties has significant advantage.
➤ 32:21 Opinion of US Secretary of State Blinken: Putin’s game of Zelensky’s illegitimacy has reached a dead end. Factors and variables.
➤ 35:30 China’s position is to support Russia, but not to enter into confrontation with the West. Ukraine is entering the Iran-Iraq scenario.
➤ 38:42 Should the first F-16 aircraft in Ukraine be used for air defense? Cautiously optimistic scenario: Europe will likely invest in increasing its military capabilities and help Ukraine.
➤ 41:25 Fundraiser of the Ukrainian military.
➤ 42:20 Will the debate between Arestovich and Portnikov take place? Why the image of victim is harmful for Ukraine?



English translation #PrivateerStation.

Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Former Advisor to the Office of the President of Ukraine: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_Arestovych Official channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/arestovych Social Media: https://lnk.bio/alexey.arestovich

Yuriy Romanenko, Ukraine Politologist. https://www.youtube.com/ yuriyromanenko_ukraine

💳 Fundraiser is under Alexeys Original Stream in Russian: https://youtu.be/7iUQJviOSgI
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Avsnitt(471)

War Day 579:  Ukraine Eliminated the Commander of Russian Black Sea Fleet

War Day 579: Ukraine Eliminated the Commander of Russian Black Sea Fleet

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join Daily War Chronicles: Arestovych, Nikolay Feldman, Yuriy Romanenko @ALPHAMEDIACHANNELEnglish translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/c/ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL)Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_ArestovychOfficial channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g Yuriy Romanenko - (@YuriyRomanenko_Ukraine) channel "Alpha&Omega"Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

26 Sep 202350min

War Day 575:  War of Attrition Demands a Change of Style

War Day 575: War of Attrition Demands a Change of Style

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join Daily War Chronicles: Arestovych, Nikolay Feldman, Yuriy Romanenko @ALPHAMEDIACHANNELEnglish translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/c/ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL)Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_ArestovychOfficial channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g Yuriy Romanenko - (@YuriyRomanenko_Ukraine) channel "Alpha&Omega"Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

22 Sep 202341min

War Day 572: Are Elections and War Compatible?

War Day 572: Are Elections and War Compatible?

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join Daily War Chronicles: Arestovych, Nikolay Feldman, Yuriy Romanenko @ALPHAMEDIACHANNELEnglish translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/c/ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL)Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_ArestovychOfficial channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g Yuriy Romanenko - (@YuriyRomanenko_Ukraine) channel "Alpha&Omega"Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

20 Sep 202359min

Russian Politics: Together or Apart - 3 Scenarios for Russian Future, Ekaterina Schulmann 2023-09-18

Russian Politics: Together or Apart - 3 Scenarios for Russian Future, Ekaterina Schulmann 2023-09-18

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join English translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GKchh_9_aK0)Ekaterina Schulmann (Germany, Kazakhstan): Russian political scientist specializing in legislative processes. Schulmann is an associate professor of the RANEPA, an associate professor of the Moscow School for the Social and Economic Sciences, and an associate fellow of Chatham House, she is a fellow of Robert Bosch Stiftung, and a professor at Kazakh University KAZGUU named after M.Narikbayev. She works as a lecturer and columnist, gives expert commentary to the media, and hosts her own political radio talk show. Her YouTube channel has 1.15 million subscribers. Official channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Ekaterina_SchulmannTelegram: t.me/eschulmannThis lecture was originally recorded and aired by Ilya Yashin's channel: https://www.youtube.com/@yashin_russia/Instagram: instagram.com/ilya_yashinIlya Yashin - is a Russian opposition politician currently in prison. Ilya led the PARNAS party from 2012 to 2016. He was a head of the Moscow municipal district of Krasnoselsky and former chairman of the Council of Deputies of the Krasnoselsky district from 2017 to 2021. He was an active participant in the Dissenters' March and the 2011–2013 Russian protests. In 2012, he was elected to the Russian Opposition Coordination Council. Amidst an increase in government crackdowns on the opposition following the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine, some considered Yashin to have had the largest platform of any opposition politician that had not either left the country, been imprisoned, or been assassinated. However, in June 2022, he was arrested, and later accused under the new war censorship laws of disseminating fake news about the Armed Forces. In December 2022, he was sentenced to eight-and-a-half years in prison.----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

18 Sep 20231h 8min

War Day 570: Ukraine Can Rely Only on Itself

War Day 570: Ukraine Can Rely Only on Itself

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join Daily War Chronicles: Arestovych, Nikolay Feldman, Yuriy Romanenko @ALPHAMEDIACHANNELEnglish translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/c/ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL)Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_ArestovychOfficial channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g Yuriy Romanenko - (@YuriyRomanenko_Ukraine) channel "Alpha&Omega"Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

17 Sep 20231h 8min

War Day 565: What are the Risks of Putin-Kim Meeting?

War Day 565: What are the Risks of Putin-Kim Meeting?

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join Daily War Chronicles: Arestovych, Nikolay Feldman, Yuriy Romanenko @ALPHAMEDIACHANNELEnglish translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/c/ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL)Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_ArestovychOfficial channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g Yuriy Romanenko - (@YuriyRomanenko_Ukraine) channel "Alpha&Omega"Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

12 Sep 202340min

War Day 563: British Turn in this War?

War Day 563: British Turn in this War?

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join Daily War Chronicles: Arestovych, Nikolay Feldman, Yuriy Romanenko @ALPHAMEDIACHANNELEnglish translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/c/ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL)Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_ArestovychOfficial channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g Yuriy Romanenko - (@YuriyRomanenko_Ukraine) channel "Alpha&Omega"Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

10 Sep 202343min

War Day 561: Southern Front Came Into Motion

War Day 561: Southern Front Came Into Motion

Join this channel to support our work: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/join Daily War Chronicles: Arestovych, Nikolay Feldman, Yuriy Romanenko @ALPHAMEDIACHANNELEnglish translation #PrivateerStation -- English translation #PrivateerStation (in Russian: https://www.youtube.com/c/ALPHAMEDIACHANNEL)Olexiy Arestovych (Kiev): Advisor to the Office of Ukraine President : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oleksiy_ArestovychOfficial channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCjWy2g76QZf7QLEwx4cB46g Yuriy Romanenko - (@YuriyRomanenko_Ukraine) channel "Alpha&Omega"Nikolay Feldman - Ukranian journalist, social researcher, blogger. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Privateer Station on Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/privateer-station-war-in-ukrainePS on Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1582435PS on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/privateerstationPS on iHeartRadio: https://www.iheart.com/podcast/53-privateer-station-war-in-uk-101486106/PS on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5iEdf0Jyw1Y3kN04k8rPibPS on ApplePodcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine/id1648603352PS on Google Podcasts: https://podcasts.google.com/feed/aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuc3ByZWFrZXIuY29tL3Nob3cvNTY0NzQzOS9lcGlzb2Rlcy9mZWVkPS on PadcastAddict: https://podcastaddict.com/podcast/4079993PS on PodChaser: https://www.podchaser.com/podcasts/privateer-station-war-in-ukrai-4860097PS on Deezer: https://www.deezer.com/us/show/4546617PS on Castbox: https://castbox.fm/channel/id5162050If you like what we do and would like to support our channel, consider becoming a member:https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCT3qCbfcPbnph7QS3CPBTMQ/joinBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/privateer-station-war-in-ukraine--5647439/support.

8 Sep 20231h

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