Nate Silver On The Art And Science Of Prediction

Nate Silver On The Art And Science Of Prediction

Nate Silver is the 35-year-old data engineer and forecaster with superstar status. He shot to fame in 2008 for correctly predicting the outcome in 49 out of 50 states in the US presidential election. In 2012, when most media pundits and political analysts claimed the US election was “too close to call”, Silver trumped them all again, giving Obama a 92% chance of winning. Barack Obama has called him “my rock, my foundation”, and Bryan Appleyard in the Sunday Times described him as “our age’s Brunel”. In this event from April 2013, he came to Intelligence Squared to discuss the themes of his latest book, 'The Signal and the Noise' with Tim Harford, the FT's 'Undercover Economist'. We hear endlessly about Big Data, but when the quantity of data in our world is increasing by 2.5 quintillion bytes per day how can we find the signal in all the noise, the nugget of information that will help us make sense of it all, or maybe even predict the future? Silver explains how expert forecasters think, and describes... — We’d love to hear your feedback and what you think we should talk about next, who we should have on and what our future debates should be. Send us an email or voice note with your thoughts to podcasts@intelligencesquared.com or Tweet us @intelligence2. And if you’d like to support our mission to foster honest debate and compelling conversations, as well as ad-free podcasts, exclusive bonus content, early access and much more, become a supporter of Intelligence Squared.. Just visit intelligencesquared.com/membership to find out more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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CNN's Christiane Amanpour on Trump, Iran and the World in 2026 (Part Two)

CNN's Christiane Amanpour on Trump, Iran and the World in 2026 (Part Two)

As one of the world’s most respected journalists, CNN’s chief international anchor Christiane Amanpour has witnessed some of the most consequential events of our time. In the Middle East, she has repo...

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CNN's Christiane Amanpour on Trump, Iran and the World in 2026 (Part One)

CNN's Christiane Amanpour on Trump, Iran and the World in 2026 (Part One)

As one of the world’s most respected journalists, CNN’s chief international anchor Christiane Amanpour has witnessed some of the most consequential events of our time. In the Middle East, she has repo...

1 Mars 37min

Fatima Bhutto on Grief, Survival, and the Life-Affirming Love of Canine Companions

Fatima Bhutto on Grief, Survival, and the Life-Affirming Love of Canine Companions

Fatima Bhutto was born into the world of high politics in Pakistan. She was just 14 when she witnessed the assasination of her politician father outside of their home, and was forced to flee the count...

27 Feb 39min

Are Lithium and Cobalt the New Oil? The Elements of Power, with Nicolas Niarchos

Are Lithium and Cobalt the New Oil? The Elements of Power, with Nicolas Niarchos

Decarbonisation is triggering a new great-power race. As demand for green technologies and sustainable power sources grows, Washington and Beijing are battling for control of cobalt, lithium, copper, ...

25 Feb 36min

The New Yorker’s Jon Lee Anderson on Afghanistan: An American Catastrophe (Part Two)

The New Yorker’s Jon Lee Anderson on Afghanistan: An American Catastrophe (Part Two)

Jon Lee Anderson is considered one of the great foreign correspondents of our time. Since the late 1980s, his on-the-ground reporting in Afghanistan has provided invaluable insight into decades of con...

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The New Yorker’s Jon Lee Anderson on Afghanistan: An American Catastrophe (Part One)

The New Yorker’s Jon Lee Anderson on Afghanistan: An American Catastrophe (Part One)

Jon Lee Anderson is considered one of the great foreign correspondents of our time. Since the late 1980s, his on-the-ground reporting in Afghanistan has provided invaluable insight into decades of con...

22 Feb 34min

The Specialist | Jackie O's Faux Pearls, with Frank Everett

The Specialist | Jackie O's Faux Pearls, with Frank Everett

This is an episode of The Specialist, your weekly dose of wonder. In The Specialist, explore the significance and journey of an extraordinary work through the eyes of those that know it best. On to...

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Could Silicon Valley Billionaires Cure Aging? With Aleks Krotoski

Could Silicon Valley Billionaires Cure Aging? With Aleks Krotoski

What it might mean – biologically, socially, and philosophically – if death becomes optional? Humanity has long dreamed about the idea of immortality. And in 2026, many believe that dream could soon ...

20 Feb 55min

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