Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG

Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG

(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears!

(3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO

(13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week

(17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off?

(22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag

(42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire

(48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted

(1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate

(1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign

(1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html

https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html

https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2024/07/crowdstrike-blames-testing-bugs-for-security-update-that-took-down-8-5m-windows-pcs

https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details

https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE

https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html

https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-democrats-endorsement-list.html

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497

https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination

https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106

https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267

https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320

https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830

https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060

https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf

https://x.com/mwseibel/status/1816542692727488784

Avsnitt(291)

E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more

E85: SBF's crypto bailout, Zendesk sells for ~$10B, buyout targets, US diplomacy, AlphaFold & more

0:00 Bestie intros 4:09 Assessing SBF bailing out major crypto players & the state of the market 18:24 Classifying crypto assets, high-yield crypto lending 34:17 Zendesk sells for $10B, accounting for stock-based comp, evergreen standard in tech 1:01:24 Buyout targets, public market "regime change" 1:08:21 Russia/Ukraine impact on markets, could US diplomacy have prevented the war? 1:28:35 Science Corner: Friedberg breaks down the newest breakthrough AlphaFold application Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/articles/crypto-fund-three-arrows-ordered-to-liquidate-by-court-11656506404 https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/22/sam-bankman-fried-rescues-crypto-lenders-blockfi-voyager.html https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/25/morgan-creek-is-trying-to-counter-ftxs-blockfi-bailout-leaked-call-shows/ https://twitter.com/ForbesCrypto/status/1541893168152690690 https://californiahealthline.org/news/article/tech-titans-want-the-richest-californians-to-pay-for-pandemic-preparedness/ https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1540732780501381121 https://www.marketwatch.com/story/gensler-labels-bitcoin-a-commodity-as-crypto-prices-stabilize-11656340239 https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum https://www.blockchaincenter.net/en/altcoin-season-index/ https://techcrunch.com/2022/06/24/zendesk-drama-concludes-with-102-billion-private-equity-acquisition https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/11/zendesk-spurns-17b-private-equity-takeover-offer/ https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-Year-2021-Results/default.aspx https://investor.zendesk.com/ir-home/press-releases/press-releases-details/2022/Zendesk-Announces-First-Quarter-2022-Results/default.aspx https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-62422 https://techcrunch.com/2022/02/25/zendesk-terminates-4-1b-surveymonkey-acquisition-after-its-own-investors-reject-deal/ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRM:NYSE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WDAY:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NOW:NYSE https://www.issgovernance.com/library/resurgence-of-evergreen-features-in-ipo-equity-plans-restrict-investor-say/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-25/jana-partners-pulls-zendesk-proxy-fight-after-9-5-billion-deal https://cdn.manscaped.io/assets/investor-relations/manscaped-investor-presentation-slides-2022.pdf https://investor.onepeloton.com/node/9271/html https://investors.buzzfeed.com/node/7426/html https://kalshi.com/events/CPI-22JUN/markets/CPI-22JUN-T0.9 https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2022/06/17/long-war-ukraine/ https://twitter.com/missy_ryan/status/1537944064703619074 https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-says-nato-expansion-ukraine-crosses-red-line-putin-2021-09-27/ https://www.reuters.com/markets/stocks/putin-warns-russia-will-act-if-nato-crosses-its-red-lines-ukraine-2021-11-30/ https://theconversation.com/ukraine-war-follows-decades-of-warnings-that-nato-expansion-into-eastern-europe-could-provoke-russia-177999 https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/16/world/europe/biden-putin-geneva-meeting.html https://abcnews.go.com/amp/US/wireStory/us-officials-land-solomons-discuss-china-pact-concerns-84238211 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2021/09/01/politics/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-biden-white-house/index.html https://www.state.gov/u-s-ukraine-charter-on-strategic-partnership/ https://apnews.com/article/moscow-russia-europe-ukraine-belarus-6d9818ff922a2650de107734a7c3faf5 https://news.yahoo.com/blinken-says-no-change-nato-193615967.html https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3182517/does-chinas-demotion-its-deputy-foreign-minister-signal https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abm9326 All-In E79 on RvW leaked draft: https://youtu.be/qH696z3ml1Q

30 Juni 20221h 35min

E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast

E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast

0:00 Besties discuss the one-month hiatus 7:03 Markets update: Fed decisions, goals, macro factors, root causes 32:19 Earnings estimate skepticism, labor force, job openings 47:17 How startups should think about the next 18-36 months 56:20 Crypto collapse, next shoe(s) to drop 1:08:41 Russia/Ukraine endgame, escalation, scrutinizing US alliances, sanctions failing 1:33:12 Will 2024 be Biden vs. Trump? Could it be DeSantis vs. Newsom? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/10/consumer-price-index-may-2022.html https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/09/tc-energy-terminates-keystone-xl-pipeline-project.html https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-talks-with-allies-russian-oil-price-cap-says-yellen-2022-06-20/ https://www.xe.com/currencycharts/?from=RUB&to=USD&view=1Y https://www.wsj.com/articles/inflation-bls-price-checkers-who-determine-cpi-11652132333 https://www.chicagofed.org/research/dual-mandate/dual-mandate https://data.oecd.org/leadind/consumer-confidence-index-cci.htm https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/top_stories/right_direction_wrong_track_jun20 https://thehill.com/policy/finance/3525909-56-percent-in-new-poll-believe-us-is-in-recession/ https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/reducing-inflation-come-great-cost-stagflation-ray-dalio https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CIVPART https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/job-offers https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2021-annual-letter https://techcrunch.com/2022/05/10/tiger-global-hit-by-17b-hedge-fund-losses-has-nearly-depleted-its-latest-vc-fund https://www.coinbase.com/price/bitcoin https://www.coinbase.com/price/ethereum https://www.coindesk.com/business/2022/06/17/three-arrows-capitalconfirms-heavy-losses-from-lunas-collapse-exploring-potential-options-report https://www.ft.com/content/19c27ae1-ae72-4668-b3a9-162adc27dffc https://decrypt.co/103489/solend-whale-108m-loan-nearly-crashed-solana https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdny/pr/former-employee-nft-marketplace-charged-first-ever-digital-asset-insider-trading-scheme https://www.ft.com/content/4e211784-83eb-49a2-ba39-8976345a88d5 https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/06/10/ukraine-ammunition-donbas-russia/ https://www.americanpurpose.com/blog/fukuyama/why-ukraine-will-win/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-03-02/london-listed-russian-stocks-erase-570-billion-in-two-weeks https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-20/ruble-soars-to-seven-year-high-in-challenge-to-bank-of-russia https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/23/russias-ruble-is-at-strongest-level-in-7-years-despite-sanctions.html https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-push-for-exceptions-in-europes-sanctions-on-russian-oil-gains-traction-11655913796 https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/correction-germany-nuclear-shutdown-story-82051054 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-06-23/catl-unveils-ev-battery-with-one-charge-range-of-1-000-kms https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/06/why-ron-desantis-can-beat-trump-in-2024.html

24 Juni 20221h 41min

#AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril

#AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Jason intros today's episode 2:31 Palmer Luckey on Anduril, national defense & the current thing 25:24 Bestie Q&A with Palmer 53:13 Jason gives closing thoughts Follow Palmer: https://twitter.com/PalmerLuckey Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Links referenced in the show: https://www.thedailybeast.com/palmer-luckey-the-facebook-near-billionaire-secretly-funding-trumps-meme-machine

23 Juni 20221h 1min

#AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias

#AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Antonio Gracias joins to talk: Tesla's early days, investing in Elon, macroeconomic outlook, ROIC, importance of energy independence, future of manufacturing, financial-ization of the P&L & more 22:35 Q: How has the poker game influenced your decision making in business and life? 29:33 Q: What was the scariest step of becoming a first-time fund manager? 32:34 Q: Crypto market unwinding & how it relates to the money supply 35:57 Q: Current pre-seed / seed valuations & metrics 38:58 Q: When investing in early-stage SaaS companies, how to find outliers? 42:11 Q: What would you do if dropped in the middle of Kansas at age 25 with no resources? 44:46 Q: Where will the next disruptions in industrial automation come from & how will the US hit economies of scale in semiconductor manufacturing 47:02 Q: Any plans for All-In Media? 50:02 Q: US strategy in the Russia/Ukraine War 54:19 Q: How have your first impressions changed as you've matured in your career, and whose first impressions have stood out to you the most? 58:29 Q: Are you interested in crypto micropayments? 1:00:55 Q: Biggest mistakes of your career that you've learned the most from? 1:09:54 Q: What impact could tech have on political discourse? What does a viable path forward look like? 1:15:36 Q: Are remote / distributed startup systems viable coming out of the pandemic? 1:19:41 Q: Advice for non-technical people trying to get into the startup world? 1:24:44 Q: Thoughts on the potential consumer credit crisis? 1:26:17 Lightning round: What problem do you most want to solve right now? All-In consortium? Can SMBs democratize their own labor supply? How to get more investors interested in hardware? Will this be a relatively short recession? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

7 Juni 20221h 39min

#AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez

#AIS: Opening chat with Miami Mayor Francis Suarez

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Yung Spielburg intros the Besties + Besties give reactions to the All-In Summit 5:56 Miami Mayor Francis Suarez joins the Besties on stage to chat: Miami's emergence as a tech hub, his governing principles, crypto, what the future holds & more Follow Mayor Suarez: https://twitter.com/FrancisSuarez Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

3 Juni 202224min

#AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education

#AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Joe Lonsdale speaks about the problem with higher education and the importance of debate/truth-seeking 10:13 Bestie Q&A with Joe: Why Americans feel victimized, what happened in 1971, getting off the gold standard, school choice, starting UATX Follow Joe: https://twitter.com/JTLonsdale Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

2 Juni 202228min

#AIS: The Lanby's Tandice Urban on solving healthcare's customer service problem

#AIS: The Lanby's Tandice Urban on solving healthcare's customer service problem

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 The Lanby's Tandice Urban breaks down why healthcare has a customer service problem, and how to fix it 12:28 Bestie Q&A: changing American's perspective on healthcare, opportunity for DTC health brands, why is medical spend at all-time highs while avg lifespan has flatlined/slightly decreased?  Follow The Lanby: https://twitter.com/thelanby Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

1 Juni 202223min

#AIS: MP Materials CEO James Litinsky on rare earths, supply chain, and energy independence

#AIS: MP Materials CEO James Litinsky on rare earths, supply chain, and energy independence

This talk was recorded LIVE at the All-In Summit in Miami and included slides. To watch on YouTube, check out our All-In Summit playlist: https://bit.ly/aisytplaylist 0:00 Chamath intros MP Materials CEO James Litinsky 1:13 James gives a talk on supply chain, energy independence, acquiring the Mountain Pass mine and starting MP Materials 12:48 Bestie Q&A with James: US falling behind in rare earth mining, risk compliance, energy independence breeding geopolitical leverage, mining lithium in the ocean vs Earth's crust, and more Follow MP Materials: https://mobile.twitter.com/MPMaterials Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://linktr.ee/calacanis https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

31 Maj 202228min

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