Talouden ennustaminen: miksi se on niin vaikeaa?

Vaikka USA:n talouden toipuminen ja korkojen nousu voivat aiheuttaa yleisesti painetta nousevien talouksien valuutoille lähikuukausina, jokaisella valuutalla on myös oma tarinansa. Turkin, Kiinan ja Venäjän valuuttakehityksestä keskustelevat valuutta-analyytikko Kristian Nummelin ja pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

9 Apr 202125min

Koronasta ja talouden myllerryksestä huolimatta asuntokauppa käy kuumana. Onko joillekin alueille muodostunut jo hintakuplaa? Miten käy asuntonäyttöjen, jos liikkumisrajoitukset tulevat voimaan? Muuttoliike kasvukeskuksiin on eriyttänyt asuntohintakehitystä Suomen sisällä jo useita vuosia, mutta miten etätöiden lisääntyminen vaikuttaa asuntomarkkinoihin tulevaisuudessa? Korot ovat edelleen erittäin matalalla tasolla, mutta miltä näyttää korkojen tulevaisuus? Näistä aiheista ovat keskustelemassa Nordean Kiinnitysluottopankin toimitusjohtaja Jussi Pajala, pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich ja ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

25 Mars 202129min

Talouden kasvunäkymät ovat piristyneet erityisesti Yhdysvalloissa, jossa rokottaminen on ripeää ja Biden lyö löylyä kiukaalle elvytyspaketilla. Kiinassa virus on pidetty aisoissa tiukoin matkustusrajoituksin ja maan johto pönkitti kasvunäkymää pitkälle tulevaisuuteen juuri päättyneessä kansankongressissa. Euroalueen elpyminen näyttää pykälää varovaisemmalta, ja Suomenkin lähiviikkojen talouskuvaa varjostaa vakava virustilanne. Kasvunäkymistä keskustelevat pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich, pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu ja Suomi-ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

12 Mars 202127min

Pitkät korot ovat lähteneet nousuun euroalueella ja etenkin USA:ssa. Miten keskuspankit vastaavat pitkien korkojen nousuun, entä osakemarkkinat? Onko näköpiirissä myös asuntovelallisille tärkeiden lyhyiden viitekorkojen nousua ja miten korkojen nousulta kannattaa suojautua? Näitä kysymyksiä pohtivat korkostrategi Juha Vainikainen, pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich sekä ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

25 Feb 202127min

Inflaation paluusta keskustellaan rahoitusmarkkinoilla nyt erittäin aktiivisesti. Yhdysvalloissa kokeneet asiantuntijat varoittavat lisäelvytyksen inflaatioriskeistä, ja nopea toipuminen koronakriisistä voi kasata hintapaineita euroalueellakin. Pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich ja pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu nostavat kissan pöydälle ja pohtivat, miltä lähiajan inflaationäkymät vaikuttavat.

12 Feb 202122min

Podimme purjehtii tällä kertaa talousnäkymille elintärkeästä koronarokotteesta Suomen asuntomarkkinoiden kautta korkonäkymiin. Lopuksi navigoimme osakemarkkinoiden myrskyisissä tunnelmissa. Studiossa Jan von Gerich ja Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

29 Jan 202122min

Nordea on viime vuoden keväästä lähtien julkaissut dataa korteilla tehdyistä maksuista. Korttidata antaa lähes reaaliaikaisesti tietoa talouden aktiviteetin kehityksestä eri toimialoilla. Korttidatan käänteistä koronavuonna ovat keskustelemassa ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen ja analyytikko Robert Suomi. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

15 Jan 202117min

Vuosi 2020 oli erityisen mieleenpainuva ja Nordea Marketsin joulupodcastissa vuosi pannaan pakettiin sekä siirretään katse jo ensi vuoteenkin. Äänessä koko Nordean tutkimus. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

16 Dec 202026min