Talouden ennustaminen: miksi se on niin vaikeaa?

USA on ollut viime vuosina Suomen tärkein vientimaa. Miten presidentiksi nousevan Donald Trumpin väläyttelemät jopa 20 prosentin tuontitullit iskisivät Suomeen talouteen? Tullien monitahoisia vaikutuskanavia Suomelle taloudelle analysoivat ekonomistit Kristian Nummelin ja Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

15 Nov 202419min

Yhdysvaltain vaalit ovat poikkeuksellisen jännittävät. Millaista talous- ja kauppapolitiikkaa vaalit voivat tuoda mukanaan ja miten markkinat reagoivat? Teemasta keskustelevat Nordean asiantuntijat Jan von Gerich, Kristian Nummelin ja Tuuli Koivu. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

31 Okt 202420min

Kiinan talousluvut ovat olleet viime kuukausina heikkoja ja erityisesti kiinalaiskuluttajien tilanne on haastava, kun asuntomarkkinoiden alamäki jatkuu ja talousnäkymä on epävarma. Kiinan johto on reagoinut heikkoon kehitykseen elvytyksellä, mutta riittävätkö nämä toimet kääntämään Kiinan suunnan? Tätä pohtii pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu analyytikko Rono Nihtisen haastattelussa. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

18 Okt 202427min

Suomen asuntomarkkina lähtee hiljalleen kääntymään, mutta kuinka hitaasta käänteestä oikeastaan puhutaan? Kannattaako asuntojen hintapohja nyt hyödyntää vai jäädä sittenkin vuokralle? Onko Christine Lagarde asuntovelallisen paras ystävä, ja mikä korko asuntolainalle kannattaa valita? Keskustelemassa Nordea Kiinnitysluottopankin toimitusjohtaja Jussi Pajala, ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen sekä analyytikko Rono Nihtinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

4 Okt 202424min

Fed aloitti tällä viikolla koronlaskut suurella liikkeellä. Kuinka huolissaan keskuspankki on talousnäkymistä? Kiihdyttääkö myös EKP laskujaan? Mitä tekevät muut keskuspankit? Korkonäkymistä keskustelemassa Kristian Nummelin ja Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

20 Sep 202424min

Suomen taloudessa on nähty alkuvuoden aikana ensimmäisiä positiivisia merkkejä, ja kasvun oraat puskevat jo esiin syyspellosta. Vaikka lähiajan näkymät ovat vielä hauraat, odotamme ensi vuodelta laaja-alaisempaa kasvun kiihtymistä. Nordean uusista talousennusteista ja Suomen näkymistä ovat keskustelemassa ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen ja analyytikko Rono Nihtinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

6 Sep 202420min

Mitä Skandinavian keskuspankeilla on mielessään, ja mihin Ruotsin ja Norjan kruunut seuraavaksi suuntaavat? Jääkö Suomen talous taas jalkoihin Pohjoismaisessa vertailussa, vai joko lähtisi piristymään? Asuntomarkkinaa, kulutusta, öljyä ynnä muuta ovat pohtimassa ekonomistit Juho Kostiainen ja Kristian Nummelin sekä analyytikko Rono Nihtinen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

23 Aug 202421min

Kesälomien jälkeen podimme pohtii etenkin euroalueen ja Suomen talouden näkymiä nykyisissä epävarmoissa tunnelmissa. Studiossa pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu, ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen ja pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

9 Aug 202423min