Talouden ennustaminen: miksi se on niin vaikeaa?

Odotukset korkojen noususta ovat herättäneet monen asuntovelallisen. Mitä korkojen nousu tarkoittaisi asuntomarkkinoille ja miten nousuun voi varautua? Mitkä muut tekijät vaikuttavat asuntohintojen kehitykseen? Entä ovatko suomalaisten asumisen unelmat muuttuneet pandemian myötä? Asuntomarkkinoista keskustelemassa Nordean Kiinnitysluottopankin toimitusjohtaja Jussi Pajala, pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich sekä Suomi-ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

16 Feb 202224min

Euroalueella on aitoja inflaatiopaineita ensi kertaa pitkästä aikaa, ja myös pohjainflaatio näyttää jäävän keskuspankin kahden prosentin tavoitteen päälle pidemmäksikin aikaa. Koronnostot ovat alkamassa jo tänä vuonna, mutta kestääkö eurotalous ne? Euroalueen talous-, inflaatio- ja korkonäkymistä keskustelemassa pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu, ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen ja pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

10 Feb 202224min

Inflaatio on jatkanut nousuaan viime aikoina, ja nyt myös keskuspankit ovat siitä huolestuneet. Yhdysvalloissa korkoja nostetaan jo maaliskuussa, eikä edes EKP rajannut pois koronnostoja tänä vuonna. Korkomarkkinoiden suurista liikkeistä keskustelemassa pääanalyytikot Jan von Gerich ja Juha Vainikainen sekä ekonomisti Kristian Nummelin Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

4 Feb 202222min

Euroilla on maksettu jo kohta 20 vuotta, jonka kunniaksi pohdinnassa ovat euron vahvuudet sekä heikkoudet. Mitä uudistuksia puolestaan Suomen ja euroalueen tulisi tehdä tulevaisuutta silmällä pitäen? Mukana keskustelemassa pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu sekä ekonomistit Juho Kostiainen ja Kristian Nummelin. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

21 Dec 202123min

Mitä jäi mieleen vuodesta 2021, ja mitä vuosi 2022 tuo tullessaan? Ja entäpä perinteinen mitaliveikkaus: kuka on optimisti, ja kuka odottaa vain muutamaa mitalia Suomeen Pekingin talviolympialaisista? Muun muassa näitä aiheita pohtii Nordea Marketsin tutkimusporukka. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

14 Dec 202128min

Inflaatio on kiihtynyt viime kuukausina voimakkaasti niin euroalueella kuin Yhdysvalloissakin. Mitkä tekijät ajavat inflaatiota tällä hetkellä ja millaiset ovat ensi vuoden inflaationäkymät? Ovatko keskuspankit jo myöhässä rahapolitiikan kiristämisessä? Näistä aiheista ovat keskustelemassa pääekonomisti Tuuli Koivu, päästrategi Jan von Gerich ja ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

19 Nov 202127min

Korkomarkkinoilla on nähty suuria liikkeitä viime aikoina. Miltä keskuspankkien suunnitelmat näyttävät: nousevatko korot jo ensi vuonna vai hyytyykö meno ennen aikojaan? Keskustelemassa pääanalyytikko Jan von Gerich sekä ekonomistit Juho Kostiainen ja Kristian Nummelin. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

5 Nov 202122min

Asuntomarkkinat ovat yllättäneet positiivisesti viimeisen vuoden aikana. Jatkuuko asuntohintojen nousu? Entä missä päin Suomea riittää kysyntää? Asuntomarkkinoiden näkymistä ovat keskustelemassa Nordean Kiinnitysluottopankin toimitusjohtaja Jussi Pajala, päästrategi Jan von Gerich sekä Suomi-ekonomisti Juho Kostiainen. Disclaimer: All opinions and estimates in this podcast are, regardless of source, given in good faith, and may only be valid as of the stated publication date and are subject to change without notice. The podcast is intended only to provide general and preliminary information to investors and shall not be construed as the basis for any investment decision. This publication or report has been prepared by Nordea Markets as general information for private use of investors to whom the publication or report has been distributed, but it is not intended as a personal recommendation of particular financial instruments or strategies and thus it does not provide individually tailored investment advice, and does not take into account the individual investor’s particular financial situation, existing holdings or liabilities, investment knowledge and experience, investment objective and horizon or risk profile and preferences. The investor must particularly ensure the suitability of an investment as regards his/her financial and fiscal situation and investment objectives. The investor bears the risk of losses in connection with an investment. Before acting on any information in this publication or report, it is recommendable to consult one’s financial advisor.

8 Okt 202126min