073 - Bayes' Theorem
We don’t treat all of our beliefs equally.For some, we see them as either true or false, correct or incorrect. For others, we see them as probabilities, chances, odds. In one world, certainty, in the ...
8 Apr 20161h 28min
072 - The Dunning-Kruger Effect (Rebroadcast)
In this episode, we explore why we are unaware that we lack the skill to tell how unskilled and unaware we are. The evidence gathered so far by psychologists and neuroscientists seems to suggest that ...
24 Mars 20161h 5min
071 - The Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy
When you desire meaning, when you want things to line up, when looking for something specific, you tend to notice patterns everywhere, which leads you to ask the question, “What are the odds?” Usually...
9 Mars 201644min
069 - The Black And White Fallacy
Obviously, the world isn't black and white, so why do we try to drain it of color when backed into a rhetorical corner? Why do we have such a hard time realizing that we've suggested the world is devo...
11 Feb 201629min
068 - The Strawman Fallacy
When confronted with dogma-threatening, worldview-menacing ideas, your knee-jerk response is usually to lash out and try to bat them away, but thanks to a nearly unavoidable mistake in reasoning, you ...
28 Jan 201628min
067 - The Fallacy Fallacy
If you have ever been in an argument, you've likely committed a logical fallacy, and if you know how logical fallacies work, you've likely committed the fallacy fallacy. Listen as three experts in log...
14 Jan 201641min
065 - Survivorship Bias (rebroadcast)
The problem with sorting out failures and successes is that failures are often muted, destroyed, or somehow removed from sight while successes are left behind, weighting your decisions and perceptions...
17 Dec 201531min
