Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K

(15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban

(36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets

(52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector

(1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets

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https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

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Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821

https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800

https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS

https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774

https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419

https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes

https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ

https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families

https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf

Avsnitt(283)

E2: Rebooting the economy, understanding corporate debt, steps to avoid a depression & more with David Sacks

E2: Rebooting the economy, understanding corporate debt, steps to avoid a depression & more with David Sacks

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath catch us up on their quarantines 1:20 Chamath intros David Sacks 4:40 David explains what their poker group chat has been like since COVID-19 started, and how Jason, Chamath & himself fall on the optimistic/pessimistic spectrum 6:58 How have the past few months defined David's view on the world, and what is his reaction to the US government's response? 12:22 Did the US health apparatus do its job? How could it improve? Why aren't masks already mandated? 19:33 Culture clash between scientific experts & entrepreneurs, thoughts on Chloroquine as a treatment method 27:00 Are US bureaucrats taking the intelligence of US citizens for granted? How liable is Trump? 30:08 David gives his plan to reboot the economy: what now? How does the US avoid a recession/depression? 36:22 Chamath & Jason assess David's plan 43:21 Have the stimulus packages & SMB loans been enough? Will the trickle-down approach work? 49:21 Should the US be allowing companies to declare bankruptcy? How should they decide who gets aid and who does not? 52:02 Chamath explains how corporate debt works through the lens of Ford 56:42 Why is the US not giving a larger % of the stimulus to average Americans? Chances of unrest if quarantine continues? 1:02:17 Trump vs. Biden: who has the edge in 2020 right now? 1:11:24 Was Jack Dorsey's $1B donation the strongest move of 2020 so far?

11 Apr 20201h 13min

E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, Venture Capital & Public Markets with David Friedberg

E1: US Response to COVID-19 & Impact on Startups, Venture Capital & Public Markets with David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason   https://linktr.ee/calacanis 0:01 Jason & Chamath intro David and check in on each other's quarantines 2:26 Has the US overreacted or underreacted so far? David & Chamath give their opinions on new directives & statistics 13:15 Thoughts on potential treatment options & policy changes 22:25 Chamath explains the circumstances of recording a podcast while the Stock Market tanks in real-time 25:03 Should the US adopt Chinese & South Korean quarantine strategies? 29:53 What do the current market conditions mean for startups & VC? 41:24 Chamath explains what is currently happening in the capital markets 45:05 How close is the US on being able to do mass-testing? 54:13 Thoughts on bailouts for companies that manipulated their earnings-per-share ratio by stock buybacks? Impact on the global economy 1:03:14 Impact on luxury goods? Should there be a monthly stipend for low-income citizens? 1:12:10 COVID-19 exposing holes in the US healthcare system 1:17:44 Should we ban wet markets globally? 1:24:12 Over/Under: when Americans will be allowed to go out to restaurants again 1:28:18 When will the weekly poker game resume?

19 Mars 20201h 31min

E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg

E0: COVID-19 Political, Economic & Social Ramifications featuring David Friedberg

Follow @chamath: https://twitter.com/chamath Follow @jason: https://twitter.com/Jason   https://linktr.ee/calacanis   0:01 Jason intros Chamath and Episode 0 of All-In and they discuss their current self-quarantine 0:55 Jason intros David Friedberg 1:35 Chamath gives the inaugural (& potentially final) All-In ad read 2:17 As a Warriors owner, Chamath gives his reaction to the NBA postponing & uncoordinated actions of government & private sectors 4:37 Why was the US so slow to react on both an individual & governmental level? What did the OpenTable data show? 9:03 David explains the actions he would take if he was president 12:37 Thoughts on Trump’s private sector involvement 16:58 Has the press failed in its coverage, or are they just feeding people what they want? 23:52 What will the next few weeks in the US look like? Why has the virus spread severely in Italy, but not yet in India? 37:20 How the COVID-19 viral coefficient compares to the early days of Facebook’s numbers 40:26 Chances of Trump testing positive for the virus? What effect would that have on markets? 48:53 What should we do differently next time? 53:13 Will there both more deaths due to second order effects of the virus than direct deaths? 1:01:06 Should there be a global stimulus package? Effect of low-volatility during recent bull run? 1:11:26 Chances of a quick resolution? 1:16:48 How are Jason & Chamath advising their portfolio companies? How are IPO’s of companies like Airbnb & DoorDash being effected? 1:21:17 How to approach the next year in startups & VC?

15 Mars 20201h 28min

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