The Fed Probably Won't Raise Rates Seven Times in 2022
The ADP employment report for January showed a net loss of jobs, consumer spending is slowing, and President Biden is sending 3,000 troops to Eastern and Central Europe in response to Russian aggressi...
3 Feb 202235min
Commodity Markets Rise to the Drums of War
It’s already been a good year for hydrocarbons, with crude oil and natural gas prices rising along with geopolitical tensions in Central Europe. The threat of war is now driving up prices of agricultu...
2 Feb 202236min
Equity, Bond Prices Suffer Ahead of Fed Tightening Cycle
Stocks surged on the last trading day of the month, but it was still the worst January for the Nasdaq since 2008. According to Mark Ritchie, managing partner and chief investment officer of RTM Capita...
1 Feb 202236min
Exchanging Lanes: Are We Misreading Inflation?
Brad Snyder and Weston Nakamura, a trucker and a trader, are back with Exchanging Lanes to challenge conventional macro data analysis, using real-world, real-time, on-the-ground observations and apply...
31 Jan 202220min
Hot War in Cold Places: How a Brewing U.S. - Russia Clash Could Impact Global Markets
Pippa Malmgren, who served as Special Assistant to the President of the United States for Economic Policy under George W. Bush, says financial markets are likely to shrug off military conflict in Ukra...
30 Jan 202235min
Inflation and Yields and War, Oh My
A favorite Federal Reserve inflation gauge, the core personal consumption expenditures index, measured 4.9% year over year for December. It hasn’t been that hot since September 1983. And the employmen...
29 Jan 202242min
GDP Comes in Hot as Investors Prepare for Higher Interest Rates
The Commerce Department reported the fastest annualized rate of U.S. gross domestic product growth since 1984 for the fourth quarter of 2021. But it’s hard to call this “Morning in America.” Investors...
28 Jan 202237min
Stocks Surrender Gains, Treasury Yields Rise Following FOMC Statement
The Federal Open Market Committee said today “it will soon be appropriate to raise the target range for the federal funds rate.” And it issued a separate statement on “Principles for Reducing the Size...
27 Jan 202236min
