Napier and Johnson: The Money Riddle

Napier and Johnson: The Money Riddle

For the past decade, Russell Napier has correctly called for disinflation, dissenting with the conventional wisdom that inflation is on horizon. Yet he has changed his mind, and in this conversation with Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, Napier explains why he believes the inflationary tides, so long delayed, may soon arrive on the shores of currencies such as the dollar and the euro. Napier argues that fiscal authorities are, via macroprudential regulation, essentially compelling commercial banks to lend and are also requiring them to hold unattractive assets such as negative yielding debt. This new force, Napier continues, will succeed where quantitative easing (QE) has failed in expanding commercial bank balance sheets. Johnson and Napier analyze how this new potential regime will impact affect pensioners, students, and savers as well as how it will shape the destiny of every asset class ranging from equities to Treasurys, from European bank debt to currencies, and from mortgage-backed securities to fine art. . For more charts, click here: https://rvtv.io/3lsOdZw and https://rvtv.io/36BS7cC. Key learnings: Rapid growth of the money supply coupled with low inventories could push the U.S. into a reflationary whirlwind. Napier has an inflation target of 4% for the OECD because he believes macroprudential regulation will compel large financial institutions to lend and hold dubious assets to an unprecedented degree. This view is not necessarily bearish for the dollar, nor for emerging market (EM) currencies, which might prove more resilient than many anticipate. But, it does spell trouble for the Euro, which is already in a bad way. Recorded on November 11, 2020 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

The Knock-On Effect #8 - Stock Rally to Spur Foot Picking?

Why will higher stock prices lead more American to pick feet? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on income inequality, one very fancy Manhattan store, and the marital habits of reptile owners. Plus, Justine explains why companies seems to be so afraid of the number “4.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Juli 201838min

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

Real Vision Rewind #1 – Godfather of Central Banking

How did the modern age of central banking begin? In this story previously heard in a 2017 episode of “Adventures in Finance,” Grant Williams, Aaron Chan and Ben Hunt look at the fascinating history of the man some consider the godfather of central banking, John Law. Then Alex and Justine draw some present-day conclusions. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

6 Juli 201843min

The Knock-On Effect #7 - Rising dollar to unleash unusual ice cream flavors?

The Knock-On Effect #7 - Rising dollar to unleash unusual ice cream flavors?

Why will a rising dollar lead to a proliferation of ice cream flavors that go far beyond vanilla? Justine and Alex discuss, touching on thieves in Madagascar, beaver glands, whisky maturation and the globalized food production process. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

29 Juni 201837min

The Knock-On Effect #6 - Fed Hikes to Quash Lottery Ticket Sales?

The Knock-On Effect #6 - Fed Hikes to Quash Lottery Ticket Sales?

Why will a higher fed funds rates lead to a decline in the number of Americans who play the lottery? Alex and Justine discuss, along the way touching on the future of transportation, moving to L.A., the wisdom of playing the lottery, and Justine’s favorite writer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

22 Juni 201829min

The Knock-On Effect #5 - Demographics and Doorways

The Knock-On Effect #5 - Demographics and Doorways

Why will changing Chinese demographics lead to an increase of plastic strips in doorways? Justine and Alex discuss - and in so doing, also touch on Ikea trips, online dating, modern food production, and President Bush’s congratulatory message to President Obama. Then Alex explains how a horse racing term could apply to what’s ahead for stocks. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Juni 201848min

The Knock-On Effect #4 - Tariffs and Cork

The Knock-On Effect #4 - Tariffs and Cork

Why will U.S. tariffs lead to a resurgence for the global cork industry? Justine and Alex explain, along the way discussing Australian wine, cork shoes and the Chinese consumer. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

8 Juni 201827min

The Knock-On Effect #3 - Crude Oil Boom, Craft Beer Gloom

The Knock-On Effect #3 - Crude Oil Boom, Craft Beer Gloom

Why will higher oil prices result in disappointed craft beer drinkers? Justine and Alex discuss. Plus, Alex delves into the world of academia, and discusses an interesting finding about the way stocks react to earnings announcements. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

1 Juni 201834min

The Knock-On Effect #2 - Rising Rates and Sandy Tracks

The Knock-On Effect #2 - Rising Rates and Sandy Tracks

Why will rising rates leave tire tracks on the world’s great beaches? Alex, Roger and Justine discuss. Plus, a high-pressure debate over whether stocks will fall 20% within the next year. Filmed on May 21, 2018. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

25 Maj 201824min

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