Markets Have Their Own March Madness

Markets Have Their Own March Madness

The Federal Reserve was already staring down an inflation problem well before Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered his troops into Ukraine. One month into the war, there’s no clear end in sight. And constraints on key commodities will continue to drive prices and spur the creation of new supply chains. The Fed launched its tightening cycle with a 25 basis point increase to the fed funds target rate. The futures market is now pricing in a 50-basis-point move in May. Equity markets remain volatile. But the most interesting action may be in the bond market, where prices are falling faster than they have in decades as investors account for the Fed’s absolute focus on showing its commitment to fighting inflation. President Joe Biden is in Brussels to meet with NATO counterparts about Russia and Ukraine. But there are no easy answers for that conflict. However, Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, is here with Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about the Fed, the bond market, Bitcoin, and finding opportunity in disorder in today’s Daily Briefing. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3JTKf8N Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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The Knock-On Effect #4 - Tariffs and Cork

The Knock-On Effect #4 - Tariffs and Cork

Why will U.S. tariffs lead to a resurgence for the global cork industry? Justine and Alex explain, along the way discussing Australian wine, cork shoes and the Chinese consumer. Learn more about your ...

8 Juni 201827min

The Knock-On Effect #3 - Crude Oil Boom, Craft Beer Gloom

The Knock-On Effect #3 - Crude Oil Boom, Craft Beer Gloom

Why will higher oil prices result in disappointed craft beer drinkers? Justine and Alex discuss. Plus, Alex delves into the world of academia, and discusses an interesting finding about the way stocks...

1 Juni 201834min

The Knock-On Effect #2 - Rising Rates and Sandy Tracks

The Knock-On Effect #2 - Rising Rates and Sandy Tracks

Why will rising rates leave tire tracks on the world’s great beaches? Alex, Roger and Justine discuss. Plus, a high-pressure debate over whether stocks will fall 20% within the next year. Filmed on Ma...

25 Maj 201824min

The Knock-on Effect #1 - Protectionism and Red Velvet Cake

The Knock-on Effect #1 - Protectionism and Red Velvet Cake

In this inaugural episode of “The Knock-On Effect,” Justine and Roger try to convince Alex that a U.S. crackdown on free trade could lead American red velvet cakes to turn pink. Yes, really. Plus, Ale...

18 Maj 201826min

Adventures in Finance 66 - Collective Wisdom: The best pieces of advice ever received by Real Vision contributors

Adventures in Finance 66 - Collective Wisdom: The best pieces of advice ever received by Real Vision contributors

What’s the single best piece of advice you’ve ever received, and how have you applied it over the course of your investment career? In this episode of the “Adventures in Finance” series, eight of our ...

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Adventures in Finance 65 - A Revolution is underway: Stock markets, oil, bonds and Real Vision

Adventures in Finance 65 - A Revolution is underway: Stock markets, oil, bonds and Real Vision

Real Vision’s CEO and macro-economist, Raoul Pal, offers his latest thoughts on the bond market, the dollar, oil and the business cycle as well as an update on what the future holds for Real Vision. I...

4 Maj 20181h 6min

Adventures in Finance 64 - Crossing the Rubicon? The Bond Market’s Big Move

Adventures in Finance 64 - Crossing the Rubicon? The Bond Market’s Big Move

With the 10-year yield peaking above 3% this week, is the low finally in for the 10-year yield? How high is it liable to rise? How might the Fed and inflation play into this? And what could it all mea...

27 Apr 201858min

Adventures in Finance 63 - Reality Check? The Case for Stocks

Adventures in Finance 63 - Reality Check? The Case for Stocks

After a treacherous few months for equities, investor sentiment appears to have turned relatively ursine. But is the reality that stocks will continue to rise in the short-term at least? Neil Azous of...

20 Apr 201854min

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