Does Anyone Want to Talk About Stagflation?

Does Anyone Want to Talk About Stagflation?

Not since March 2000 has the Federal Open Market Committee announced a 50-basis-point increase to the federal funds target rate. Now, the FOMC is a day away from doing just that. And traders are pricing in near-even-money odds of a 75-basis-point hike in June. The FOMC is also expected to introduce its plan to reduce the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet on Wednesday, a process with its own implications for interest rates. U.S. equity indexes held solid gains late Tuesday. Factory orders for March rose a better-than-expected 2.2%, job openings reached an all-time high of 11.5 million, and U.S. natural gas prices hit a 13-year high on growing concern supply will fall short of demand this summer. The data suggest the Fed has room to do what it needs to do to fight inflation. But, as Warren Pies notes, “Oil is driving this market…” And there are structural factors at play that could make the central bank’s job impossible. Pies, founder of 3Fourteen Research, joins Real Vision’s Weston Nakamura to talk about today’s price action, tomorrow’s decision by the FOMC, and the prospect of stagflation afflicting the economy. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3kEtIKN Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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The Knock-On Effect #23 - Are Bear Markets Actually Good?

The Knock-On Effect #23 - Are Bear Markets Actually Good?

Real Vision’s Ash Bennington joins Alex to reflect on a trope frequently heard in the cryptocurrency world these days: “The best projects are built in bear markets.” Plus: The differences between cry...

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The Knock-On Effect #22 - Why the trucker shortage matters, part 2

The Knock-On Effect #22 - Why the trucker shortage matters, part 2

How does the recent mandate to electronically log trucker hours impact the labor force, Amazon and U.S. consumers? Justine and Alex speak with Will Pletcher, president of transportation company MCAH L...

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The Knock-On Effect #21 - Why does the growth of China's billionaire class mean wine bottles will get a lot more complicated?

The Knock-On Effect #21 - Why does the growth of China's billionaire class mean wine bottles will get a lot more complicated?

If the trade war winds down, why might we see more security measures on wine bottles? Alex and Justine discuss, touching on nail-biting auctions, vineyard pests and new uses for the blockchain. Learn ...

26 Okt 201840min

The Knock-On Effect #20 - Why might our honey obsession lead to more mini-robotic drones?

The Knock-On Effect #20 - Why might our honey obsession lead to more mini-robotic drones?

How does the health food craze contribute to the production of drones? Justine and Alex discuss, touching on global smuggling rings, food fakery and sauerkraut flavored honey. Learn more about your ad...

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The Knock-On Effect #19 - Elections, Payday Loans & Stolen Goods

The Knock-On Effect #19 - Elections, Payday Loans & Stolen Goods

If the Republicans maintain control of Congress, why might it become easier to buy stolen goods by accident? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on wordy regulations, the emotional reaction to wea...

12 Okt 201847min

The Knock-On Effect #18 - Why will trucking surveillance lead to problems for holiday shoppers?

The Knock-On Effect #18 - Why will trucking surveillance lead to problems for holiday shoppers?

Why does a recent mandate for increased workplace surveillance spell trouble for retailers? Justine and Alex discus — also touching on implanted microchips, byzantine trucking regulations, and Alex’s ...

5 Okt 201845min

The Knock-On Effect #17 - Why does increased NASA funding mean Qatar could lose an honor?

The Knock-On Effect #17 - Why does increased NASA funding mean Qatar could lose an honor?

Who stands to profit from the next era of space exploration? Alex, Justine and Roger discuss, touching on international space law, libertarians on Mars, and Justine's favorite intergalactic snack food...

28 Sep 201830min

The Knock-On Effect #16 - Online ads and grocery store shifts?

The Knock-On Effect #16 - Online ads and grocery store shifts?

What impact will the growth of online advertising have on your local grocery store? Justine, Alex and Roger discuss — also touching on cookie wars, mysterious Senate hearing testimony, and Roger’s fav...

21 Sep 201840min

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