Can the Fed "Catch Up" Without Tanking the Economy?

Can the Fed "Catch Up" Without Tanking the Economy?

The April nonfarm payroll figure topped consensus forecasts, and the unemployment rate held at 3.6%. A slight retreat in the labor force participation rate surprised, but, overall, more evidence of a tight labor market should brace a Federal Reserve as it effects an aggressive tightening cycle. That’s despite the fact that, when it comes to growth, we’re looking at “three straight quarters of almost nothing besides inventory along with a growing catalog of economic data more like Q1 GDP than anything.” So observes Jeffrey Snider, Head of Global Research at Alhambra Investments. Meanwhile, the threat of global recession amid war in Eastern Europe and rising geopolitical tensions augurs a new world order. We hear from Peter Zeihan and Dee Smith. Is the Fed hiking rates into a downturn? How is the market responding to the central bank’s rapid tone shift? And what will investors do should the situation devolve into a real collateral crisis? Snider joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about whether the Fed is up to the challenges it faces. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3ylWN5I. Watch the full interview with Peter Zeihan and Dee Smith here: https://rvtv.io/3kJBIKy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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The Knock-On Effect #23 - Are Bear Markets Actually Good?

The Knock-On Effect #23 - Are Bear Markets Actually Good?

Real Vision’s Ash Bennington joins Alex to reflect on a trope frequently heard in the cryptocurrency world these days: “The best projects are built in bear markets.” Plus: The differences between cry...

9 Nov 201832min

The Knock-On Effect #22 - Why the trucker shortage matters, part 2

The Knock-On Effect #22 - Why the trucker shortage matters, part 2

How does the recent mandate to electronically log trucker hours impact the labor force, Amazon and U.S. consumers? Justine and Alex speak with Will Pletcher, president of transportation company MCAH L...

2 Nov 201834min

The Knock-On Effect #21 - Why does the growth of China's billionaire class mean wine bottles will get a lot more complicated?

The Knock-On Effect #21 - Why does the growth of China's billionaire class mean wine bottles will get a lot more complicated?

If the trade war winds down, why might we see more security measures on wine bottles? Alex and Justine discuss, touching on nail-biting auctions, vineyard pests and new uses for the blockchain. Learn ...

26 Okt 201840min

The Knock-On Effect #20 - Why might our honey obsession lead to more mini-robotic drones?

The Knock-On Effect #20 - Why might our honey obsession lead to more mini-robotic drones?

How does the health food craze contribute to the production of drones? Justine and Alex discuss, touching on global smuggling rings, food fakery and sauerkraut flavored honey. Learn more about your ad...

19 Okt 201836min

The Knock-On Effect #19 - Elections, Payday Loans & Stolen Goods

The Knock-On Effect #19 - Elections, Payday Loans & Stolen Goods

If the Republicans maintain control of Congress, why might it become easier to buy stolen goods by accident? Alex and Justine discuss, also touching on wordy regulations, the emotional reaction to wea...

12 Okt 201847min

The Knock-On Effect #18 - Why will trucking surveillance lead to problems for holiday shoppers?

The Knock-On Effect #18 - Why will trucking surveillance lead to problems for holiday shoppers?

Why does a recent mandate for increased workplace surveillance spell trouble for retailers? Justine and Alex discus — also touching on implanted microchips, byzantine trucking regulations, and Alex’s ...

5 Okt 201845min

The Knock-On Effect #17 - Why does increased NASA funding mean Qatar could lose an honor?

The Knock-On Effect #17 - Why does increased NASA funding mean Qatar could lose an honor?

Who stands to profit from the next era of space exploration? Alex, Justine and Roger discuss, touching on international space law, libertarians on Mars, and Justine's favorite intergalactic snack food...

28 Sep 201830min

The Knock-On Effect #16 - Online ads and grocery store shifts?

The Knock-On Effect #16 - Online ads and grocery store shifts?

What impact will the growth of online advertising have on your local grocery store? Justine, Alex and Roger discuss — also touching on cookie wars, mysterious Senate hearing testimony, and Roger’s fav...

21 Sep 201840min

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