Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg

Are We Still Heading for a Recession? w/ David Rosenberg

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/41tyn6M. David Rosenberg, founder and president of Rosenberg Research, joins Ash Bennington to share his views on the current state of the economy, a growing disconnect between supply and demand, and what it means for the potential of a recession. David also discusses the bubble he sees forming in the stock market, and where he's spotting investment opportunities. Recorded on Thursday, June 20th. This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore on 18 to 19 September. 🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’. Timestamps: 00:00 - Sponsor: Token2049 01:01 - Introduction of David Rosenberg 01:37 - David's perspective on the current economy 02:18 - Comparison to the 2007 economic outlook 03:33 - Recession pressures and the business cycle 04:11 - Impact of fiscal stimulus on the economy 05:25 - Credit card debt and delinquency rates 06:41 - Changes in consumer behavior and credit card balances 07:53 - The role of excess savings and stimulus checks 08:27 - San Francisco Fed report on excess savings 09:02 - Consumer revolt against high prices 10:06 - Discrepancy between current economic conditions and the Fed's statements 11:23 - Historical comparisons to 2008 and recession signals 12:34 - Overstated non-farm payrolls and data revisions 13:37 - Signs of a potential recession in various economic sectors 14:13 - GDP growth and economic activity slowing down 15:17 - Lack of catalysts for re-acceleration in growth 16:26 - Importance of supply and demand in forecasting inflation 18:11 - Expectations for disinflation and Fed rate cuts 19:20 - Discussion on current trend growth and productivity gains 21:04 - Labor force participation and its impact on the economy 22:15 - Disconnect between productivity gains and aggregate demand 23:26 - Impact of housing and consumer behavior on the economy 24:34 - Global economic conditions and their effect on US exports 25:40 - Outlook on inflation and interest rates without a recession 26:16 - Increasing unemployment rate and its impact on wages 27:23 - Supply curve dynamics leading to disinflation 28:43 - Capacity growth in the industrial sector 29:18 - Expectations for inflation to reach the Fed's target 30:26 - Implications for asset prices and the stock market 31:39 - Concentration risk and the impact of high-performing tech stocks 33:33 - Concerns about excessive valuations and investor behavior 35:08 - Importance of thematic investing and capital preservation 36:50 - Sectors with growth potential: Aerospace, defense, utilities, and healthcare 38:57 - Trading down and frugality trends among consumers 40:14 - Staples and essential sectors as investment opportunities 41:37 - Utilities as a growth area due to climate change and infrastructure needs 43:17 - The role of gold and gold mining stocks in a disinflationary environment 44:56 - Impact of passive indexation on market distortions 46:41 - Risks of bubble bursts and historical parallels 48:02 - Potential market corrections and investor psychology 50:13 - Advice on profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing 51:57 - Importance of capital preservation and conservative investing 52:36 - Final thoughts on the current market cycle 53:47 - Importance of historical context in investing decisions 54:33 - Sentiment and psychology driving market behavior 55:52 - Recommendations for protective strategies in investing Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Avsnitt(2000)

Trump’s Tariffs, Gold’s Record, and Eurozone Inflation Dip: PALvatar Market Recap, April 1 2025

Trump’s Tariffs, Gold’s Record, and Eurozone Inflation Dip: PALvatar Market Recap, April 1 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar covers market reactions to the upcoming announcement of President Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. Despite recent sell-offs, global stocks and crypto bounced back, and gold hit a new record high. The Australian dollar strengthened after a steady interest rate decision, while Eurozone inflation dipped to 2.2% amid improving economic data. Meanwhile, Asian manufacturing showed mixed results, with China’s PMI signaling growth, though concerns over US tariffs loom. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s insights! 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

1 Apr 4min

Macro Monday: All Eyes on Trump Tariffs

Macro Monday: All Eyes on Trump Tariffs

Steno Research founder and CEO Andreas Steno Larsen is back with his co-host Mikkel Rosenvold, partner and head of geopolitics for Steno Research, to break down the volatile market environment, the impact of the incoming Trump tariffs, and why it's time to worry about China and Europe. 🔥 Arch Public: It’s a hedge fund in your pocket. Built for retail traders, designed to outperform Wall Street. Try it for free at https://realvision.com/arch 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. Music license ID: WJ6TRPVHFD About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Mars 32min

Trump’s Tariffs, Inflation Fears, and Gold’s Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, March 31 2025

Trump’s Tariffs, Inflation Fears, and Gold’s Surge: PALvatar Market Recap, March 31 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar covers global market turmoil ahead of President Trump’s tariff announcement, with Asian and European indices tumbling. Inflation concerns intensify as core PCE hits 2.8%, raising doubts about Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, China’s PMI shows resilience, but geopolitical tensions loom. As investors seek safety, gold surpasses $3100 per ounce. Stay tuned for more market insights tomorrow. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

31 Mars 3min

U.S. Core PCE Inflation, ECB Rate Cut Prospects, and Gold’s Record Highs: PALvatar Market Recap, March 28 2025

U.S. Core PCE Inflation, ECB Rate Cut Prospects, and Gold’s Record Highs: PALvatar Market Recap, March 28 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar breaks down the latest U.S. core PCE inflation data, which came in higher than expected, casting doubt on near-term Fed rate cuts. Meanwhile, weaker-than-expected inflation figures in France and Spain strengthen the case for more ECB easing. In commodities, gold prices hit record highs as investors hedge against economic uncertainty and upcoming U.S. tariffs. Stay tuned for key market insights! 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

28 Mars 3min

Trump’s Auto Tariffs, U.S. GDP Revision, and China’s Industrial Struggles: PALvatar Market Recap, March 27 2025

Trump’s Auto Tariffs, U.S. GDP Revision, and China’s Industrial Struggles: PALvatar Market Recap, March 27 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar dives into the market’s reaction to President Trump’s newly announced 25% tariff on imported automobiles, raising concerns over inflation and global trade. U.S. jobless claims dropped slightly, while Q4 GDP was revised up to 2.4%. Meanwhile, China’s industrial profits declined despite stimulus efforts, and the Eurozone saw stronger lending growth. Stay tuned for more insights in tomorrow’s recap! 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

27 Mars 3min

Trading the Markets: Ep. 2 | Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki

Trading the Markets: Ep. 2 | Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki

🔥 *Get Raoul Pal's FREE Report to Unf*ck Your Future* https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe It's time to talk Trade Ideas... ⬜ Real Vision's Kris Bullock and Bijan Maleki are back to break down their favorite trades found on the Real Vision site before taking questions from the audience. Tune in every Wednesday at 1pm ET LIVE on Real Vision, YouTube and X. 📣 Today’s sponsor is Plus500 US. Take your trading to the next level with cross-market contracts, from precious metals to key indices, and more. Whether you’re a seasoned trader in the Futures arena or brand new, Plus500’s user-friendly trading platform offers you the advanced tools, market insights, and quick execution you’ve been looking for. 👉 Get started with Plus500 for as little as $100 at https://us.plus500.com. Trading in futures involves the risk of loss. 🔥 Arch Public: It’s a hedge fund in your pocket. Built for retail traders, designed to outperform Wall Street. 🔥 Arch Public is doing a HUGE giveaway to end the month of March! We want to see you at The Bitcoin Conference in Vegas May 27-29. We are giving away TWO Industry Passes and an invitation to Arch Public’s Invitation Only Dinner in Vegas. Here’s how you make yourself eligible for our giveaway: ⬜ 1. Download our FREE Bitcoin Algorithm right now at https://realvision.com/arch. ⬜ 2. Follow @tryarchpublic on X. Over the next week we will choose a winner and announce The Bitcoin Conference package in full! See you in Vegas! Elevate your brand with Real Vision. Connect with us at partnerships@realvision.com to explore advertising possibilities. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, tools, and network to succeed on your financial journey. Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Website: https://www.realvision.com/join Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Linkedin: https://rvtv.io/linkedin 👉 Join our Discord channel and meet like-minded people: discord.com/invite/kYQY2Nd45Y Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf #bitcoin #btc #cryptonews #sbr #bitcoinreserve #altseason #alts #altcoins #trump #markets #cryptorally #ethereum #eth #ether #sui #solana #sol #cardano #ada #xrp #usjobs #inflation #fed #powell #rates #economy #cpi #ppi #aicoins #aiagents #ai #bullish #bearish #macro #etf #ethetf #btcetf #senate #congress #sec #rektvision #stablecoins #usdt #usdc #usd #epik #mando #osf #rektguy #memes #rekt #memecoins #nft #nfts #macro #economy #investing #useconomy #sp500 #nasdaq #stocks #equities #unemployment #rates #l1s #raoulpal #realvision #aixbt #pumpfun #soletf #sec #rates #xrpetf #memecoins Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Mars 30min

UK Budget Cuts, US Tariff Uncertainty, and Market Reactions: PALvatar Market Recap, March 26 2025

UK Budget Cuts, US Tariff Uncertainty, and Market Reactions: PALvatar Market Recap, March 26 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar covers key global market events. The UK Spring Statement brings significant welfare cuts, while UK inflation dips below expectations. In the US, looming tariffs spark market volatility, and consumer confidence hits a four-year low. Commodities feel the pressure with rising copper prices and falling oil inventories, fueled by geopolitical tensions. Tune in for more updates on the economic landscape. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

26 Mars 3min

Trump’s Tariff Plans, India-U.S. Trade Deal, and Eurozone Growth: PALvatar Market Recap, March 25 2025

Trump’s Tariff Plans, India-U.S. Trade Deal, and Eurozone Growth: PALvatar Market Recap, March 25 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar breaks down the market reaction to Trump’s tariff announcements, which lifted U.S. stocks but left global markets mixed. India is considering cutting tariffs on U.S. imports to secure trade benefits, while Germany’s Ifo Business Climate index hit an 8-month high. Meanwhile, the Eurozone’s PMI shows signs of recovery, with manufacturing slowly climbing out of contraction. Stay tuned for more insights in tomorrow’s recap! 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: 🔥 https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

25 Mars 3min

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