A Green Light for Fed Easing? ft. Warren Pies & Andreas Steno

A Green Light for Fed Easing? ft. Warren Pies & Andreas Steno

🔥 Get FREE ACCESS to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/467wxee Andreas Steno Larsen, founder and CEO of Steno Research, welcomes Warren Pies, founder and lead strategist at 3Fourteen Research, to examine where we're at in terms of inflation, Fed policy, and broader macro implications. They also dig into the construction cycle, commodities markets, the U.S. Dollar, and risk assets. This episode is brought to you by TOKEN2049 Singapore. Join over 20,000 attendees for the world’s largest crypto event: TOKEN2049 Singapore from 18 to 19 September. Balaji Srinivasan, Solana’s Anatoly, Arthur Hayes, and over 250 others will hit the stage, as TOKEN2049 takes over the iconic Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. With over 500 side events during TOKEN2049 Week, Singapore will transform into a crypto hub from 16 to 22 September, capped off by AFTER 2049, and the Formula 1 Grand Prix race weekend. Everyone will be there – this is the one event you can’t miss this year. 🔥 Visit www.realvision.com/token2049 for 15% off tickets, only with the code 'REALVISION’. Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Timestamps: (00:00) - Sponsor: Token2049 in Singapore. (01:03) - Introduction with Andreas Steno and Warren Pies. (01:37) - Discussion on the US economy and CPI report. (05:18) - Disinflationary tailwinds and shelter inflation. (10:11) - Goldman Sachs' prediction on rate cuts. (15:31) - Credit creation's role in bull markets. (17:11) - Sector rotation and Trump presidency impact. (17:50) - Political influence on market and tax policies. (18:49) - Spending and deficits impact on markets. (19:52) - Potential impacts of extending tax cuts. (20:28) - Construction cycle and employment trends. (21:36) - Multi-family and single-family housing trends. (22:07) - Housing employment model as economic indicator. (23:12) - Emerging slack in residential construction labor. (24:21) - Rate cuts' impact on real estate market. (25:22) - Controlled return of housing supply. (26:00) - Homebuilding stocks and inflation prints. (27:01) - Real estate market affordability and millennial demand. (27:41) - Divergence between gold and oil. (28:13) - Commodity super cycle thesis. (28:47) - Gold's role as a monetary commodity. (29:51) - Oil market dynamics and OPEC's influence. (30:56) - OPEC's actions and oil prices. (31:30) - Saudi Arabia's investment cuts and OPEC strategies. (32:35) - Long-term sustainability of OPEC's influence. (33:03) - Potential outcomes of a price war. (34:03) - Political influence on energy investments. (40:39) - Gold as a safe haven. (44:52) - Historical earnings growth in bull markets. (48:43) - Closing remarks and macro deep dive outlook. About Real Vision™: We arm you with the knowledge, the tools, and the network to succeed in your financial journey. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Adventures in Finance 10 - Carson Block: Short-selling Legend and Market Vigilante

Carson Block, Founder of Muddy Waters Research, single-handedly dismantles fraudulent companies and his research can cause stocks to plummet 90% in market cap. As one of the world's preeminent short-sellers, Carson shares his incredible story and process for identifying fraudulent targets. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Dr. Steve Keen, professor of economics at Kingston University London, fesses up to misjudging the Australian real estate bubble. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Adventures in Finance 9 - Reflation: American Dream or Political Nightmare?

Deconstruct the Trump Reflation Trade as unsightly political realities emerge from the shadows. In 'Things I Got Wrong', David Hay, CIO of Evergreen Gavekal, confesses to underestimating central bank firepower and the usefulness of extreme market sentiment readings. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 8 - Over the Barrel: A Journey From Boom to Bust

Adventures in Finance 8 - Over the Barrel: A Journey From Boom to Bust

The repercussions of a boom-bust energy cycle and massive infrastructure investment means a supply glut and potentially lower oil prices for much longer than anyone expects. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Michael Lewitt sets aside his ego and trusts in the machines and artificial intelligence. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 7 - The Triggering: Article 50 and Brexit

Adventures in Finance 7 - The Triggering: Article 50 and Brexit

Uncertainty reigns, as political and economic forces build before the historic negotiations which could alter the shape of Great Britain and the EU forever. In 'Things I Got Wrong', Bill Fleckenstein, CEO of Fleckenstein Capital discusses the mistakes he made in underestimating the folly and largesse of Central Bankers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 6 - Satellites, Big Data and Finance

Adventures in Finance 6 - Satellites, Big Data and Finance

Explore how satellite imagery data is being utilized to drive financial insights, with advice from James Crawford, CEO of Oribital Insights. In ‘The Things I Got Wrong’, Jawad Mian, Founder of Stray Reflections, sits down to share his slip-ups about silver and managing your ego. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 5 - China’s One Belt One Road

Adventures in Finance 5 - China’s One Belt One Road

Unearth unprecedented investment opportunities in China’s One Belt One Road strategy – something we haven’t seen since the BRICS. Plus, Ben Hunt, Chief Investment Strategist at Salient Partners shares what he got wrong about Europe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 4 - Analyzing Cyclical Market Behavior

Adventures in Finance 4 - Analyzing Cyclical Market Behavior

Understand how to leverage financial cycles & forecast future markets with veteran investor Robin Griffiths. Also on this week, Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, tells us his misjudgments’ on gold and being a true contrarian. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Adventures in Finance 3 - Opportunities in German Real Estate

Adventures in Finance 3 - Opportunities in German Real Estate

Uncover the huge untapped potential in Germany’s real estate market and the interesting cultural and fundamental dynamics driving this opportunity. Mark Yusko, CEO and CIO of Morgan Creek Capital Management, also shares what he got wrong about volatility and leverage in 2008. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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