A $10 Trillion Opportunity in US Reshoring

A $10 Trillion Opportunity in US Reshoring

After decades of offshoring, the pendulum for US manufacturing is swinging back toward domestic production. Our US Multi-Industry Analyst Chris Snyder looks at what’s behind this trend.


----- Transcript -----


Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I’m Chris Snyder, Morgan Stanley’s US Multi-Industry Analyst. Today I’ll discuss the far-reaching implications of shifting industrial production back to the United States.

It’s Friday, October 25th, at 10am in New York.

Global manufacturing is undergoing a seismic shift, and the United States is at the epicenter of this transformation. After decades of offshoring and relying on international supply chains, the pendulum is swinging back toward domestic production. This movement – known as reshoring – is not just a fleeting trend but a strategic realignment of manufacturing capabilities that is indicative of the “multipolar” theme playing out globally.

In fact, we believe the US is entering the early innings of re-Industrialization – a multi-decade opportunity that we size at $10 trillion and think has the potential to restore growth to the US industrial economy following more than 20 years of stagnation.

The reshoring of manufacturing to the US is fueled by a combination of factors that are making domestic production both viable and lucrative. While the initial sparks were ignited by policy changes, including tariffs and trade agreements, the COVID-19 pandemic laid bare the risks of elongated supply chains and over-dependence on foreign manufacturing.

Meanwhile, the diffusion of cutting-edge technologies, such as automation, artificial intelligence, and advanced robotics, has diminished the cost advantages of low-wage countries. The US -- with its robust tech sector and innovation ecosystem -- is uniquely positioned to leverage technology to revitalize its manufacturing base.

Who are the direct beneficiaries? High-tech sectors, such as semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, and advanced manufacturing systems, are likely to be the biggest winners. Traditional industrial sectors, such as automotive and aerospace, are also seeing a resurgence. Finally, companies that invest in more sustainable manufacturing processes stand to gain from both policy-driven incentives and a growing market demand. All told, these businesses should see shorter supply chains, reduced legal and tariff costs, and a more resilient operational structure.

As for the broader US economy? We think the implications are pretty profound. In altering the US industrial landscape, reshoring promises not only to boost GDP growth, but it could also stabilize and potentially reverse the trade deficits that have plagued the US economy for years.

Thanks for listening. If you enjoy the show, please leave us a review wherever you listen and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or colleague today.

Avsnitt(1506)

Michael Zezas: The Fed Rate Cut Debate for Bond Investors

Michael Zezas: The Fed Rate Cut Debate for Bond Investors

On today’s podcast, Head of Public Policy and Municipal Strategy Michael Zezas considers the debate between the consensus view of a potential 25 basis point Fed rate cut vs a 50 basis point cut.

24 Juli 20192min

Mike Wilson: Weighing a Potential Fed Rate Cut

Mike Wilson: Weighing a Potential Fed Rate Cut

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says what matters for markets now isn't how much the Fed or other central banks could cut—but why they would cut.

22 Juli 20193min

Andrew Sheets: 3 Consensus Views Worth Questioning

Andrew Sheets: 3 Consensus Views Worth Questioning

On today’s podcast, Chief Cross-asset Strategist Andrew Sheets digs into three key debates around central bank policy expectations, valuations and investor sentiment.

19 Juli 20194min

Michael Zezas: 2020 Election: How Likely Is Medicare-for-All?

Michael Zezas: 2020 Election: How Likely Is Medicare-for-All?

On today’s podcast, Head of U.S. Public Policy research Michael Zezas asks “Would a Democratic presidential win mean the end of the road for private health care insurance?

17 Juli 20192min

Mike Wilson: For the S&P 500, Breaking Out Is Hard to Do

Mike Wilson: For the S&P 500, Breaking Out Is Hard to Do

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says a sustained breakout above 3,000 has eluded the S&P 500. Will the Fed’s potential rate cut be the catalyst?

15 Juli 20194min

Andrew Sheets: A Second (and Third) Opinion for Equity Markets

Andrew Sheets: A Second (and Third) Opinion for Equity Markets

On this episode, Chief Cross-Asset Strategist Andrew Sheets examines the models for stock performance, and how they are all leading to a similar conclusion.

12 Juli 20194min

Michael Zezas: Healthcare Reform - Here We Go Again?

Michael Zezas: Healthcare Reform - Here We Go Again?

On today’s podcast, as the 2020 Election nears, healthcare reform is a central debate once again. Head of U.S. Public Policy Michael Zezas shares potential outcomes for patients—and investors.

10 Juli 20192min

Mike Wilson:  3 Summer Surprises Investors Could Be Missing

Mike Wilson: 3 Summer Surprises Investors Could Be Missing

On today’s podcast, Chief Investment Officer Mike Wilson says markets are typically savvy on how and when to price news events. But are markets overlooking some potential bad news?

8 Juli 20193min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

framgangspodden
badfluence
varvet
uppgang-och-fall
rss-borsens-finest
rss-jossan-nina
rss-svart-marknad
avanzapodden
lastbilspodden
fill-or-kill
rss-dagen-med-di
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
borsmorgon
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
24fragor
kapitalet-en-podd-om-ekonomi
rikatillsammans-om-privatekonomi-rikedom-i-livet
rss-en-rik-historia
bathina-en-podcast
tabberaset