David Hand: How Dark Data Makes AI and LLMs Dangerously Unreliable

David Hand: How Dark Data Makes AI and LLMs Dangerously Unreliable

David Hand, a professor of statistics, explains how ChatGPT and other large language models hide behind dark data, leading to misleading outputs. He also critiques the peer‑review process and the perils of partial truths in scientific modeling.- 00:00:00 - Introduction- 00:01:34 - What is Dark Data? (missing data matters more than what you have)- 00:07:03 - The perils of "changing definitions"- 00:09:15 - David on writing and his selective process- 00:20:15 - Theory-driven vs. data-driven models (& the constitution of LLMs)- 00:32:08 - The dilemma of partial truths- 00:34:40 - The "File Drawer Problem" & its adverse effects on clinical trials- 00:39:09 - Regression to the mean (how random variations lead to misleading conclusions)- 00:44:12 - Publication bias- 00:48:03 - Open-access models and their pitfalls- 00:54:06 - Why LLMs are simultaneously brilliant & stupid- 01:03:40 - David’s daily routine- 01:06:24 - The mean vs. median- 01:11:07 - Every type of "Dark Data" listed (watch this first!)SPONSORS:- Patreon: https://patreon.com/curtjaimungal- Crypto: https://tinyurl.com/cryptoTOE- PayPal: https://tinyurl.com/paypalTOE- Twitter: https://twitter.com/TOEwithCurt- Discord Invite: https://discord.com/invite/kBcnfNVwqs- iTunes: https://podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast...- Pandora: https://pdora.co/33b9lfP- Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4gL14b9...- Subreddit r/TheoriesOfEverything: https://reddit.com/r/theoriesofeveryt...- TOE Merch: https://tinyurl.com/TOEmerchRESOURCES:- YouTube Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=41JBrC5e5tA- Dark Data: https://amzn.to/446Fou1- The Improbability Principle: https://amzn.to/3DOn1iX Theories of Everything with Curt Jaimungal features long-form, technically detailed interviews with leading researchers in physics, mathematics, consciousness, and philosophy, exploring topics at the level of active research. For academics, graduate students, and anyone seeking depth beyond popular science. SPONSOR: I subscribe to The Economist for their science and tech coverage. As a TOE listener, get 35% off! No other podcast has this: https://economist.com/TOE FOLLOW: Substack | Spotify | YouTube | Twitter Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Ivette Fuentes: Quantum Gravity Predictions We Can Test Today

Ivette Fuentes: Quantum Gravity Predictions We Can Test Today

Professor Ivette Fuentes makes impossible physics testable, with verified predictions on the Casimir effect and quantum vacuum. Now she's building a "third way" to quantum gravity, a surprisingly simp...

10 Nov 20251h 9min

Curt Jaimungal: Can Physics Explain Its Own Laws?

Curt Jaimungal: Can Physics Explain Its Own Laws?

Why do physical laws have their specific form? Host Curt Jaimungal shows this question is a philosophical knot, because any "explanation" must itself stand on a law. Sponsors: - As a listener of TOE ...

5 Nov 202518min

Roger Penrose: Why The Big Bang Was Not The Beginning

Roger Penrose: Why The Big Bang Was Not The Beginning

Nobel laureate Sir Roger Penrose dismantles standard cosmology, arguing the Big Bang wasn't the beginning and quantum mechanics is fundamentally wrong. He then connects a real, gravitational wave func...

3 Nov 20251h 58min

Aaron Schurger: Neuroscience Does Not Threaten Free Will

Aaron Schurger: Neuroscience Does Not Threaten Free Will

The Libet experiment didn't kill free will, says professor of neuroscience Aaron Schurger; the brain's "readiness potential" is simply stochastic neural noise. We then tackle consciousness's role in i...

30 Okt 20251h 32min

Curt Jaimungal: Why I Don't Buy the Simulation Hypothesis (Nor Materialism)

Curt Jaimungal: Why I Don't Buy the Simulation Hypothesis (Nor Materialism)

Curt Jaimungal dismantles both the simulation hypothesis and materialism using consciousness arguments.One week ago, I (Curt Jaimungal) was invited to Niagara University to give the Peggy and John Day...

21 Okt 202557min

Yakir Aharonov: The Future Propagates Backward in Quantum Theory

Yakir Aharonov: The Future Propagates Backward in Quantum Theory

Yakir Aharonov argues quantum reality requires future states to propagate backward in time.Physicist Yakir Aharonov argues that the standard story of quantum mechanics is wrong, proposing a time-symme...

13 Okt 202550min

David Deutsch: Einstein Would Fail Modern Grant Applications

David Deutsch: Einstein Would Fail Modern Grant Applications

David Deutsch argues that Einstein would struggle to secure modern research grants, exposing how funding systems favor incremental work over bold, fundamental ideas. He connects this bias to quantum c...

6 Okt 20252h 18min

Wayne Myrvold: Entropy Isn't Real; It's What You Don't Know

Wayne Myrvold: Entropy Isn't Real; It's What You Don't Know

Wayne Myrvold reinterprets thermodynamics as a resource theory, arguing that the slogan “entropy always increases” follows from the second law rather than defining it. The conversation contrasts Gibbs...

29 Sep 20252h 5min

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