Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Jay Bryson & David Rosenberg

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 22nd, 2025Featuring:1) Ed Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist at Yardeni Research, joins for an extended discussion the equity rally, his S&P target, and Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Policymakers are grappling with inflation above their 2% goal and a labor market showing signs of weakness, with a high degree of uncertainty about how these factors will evolve, according to Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.2) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins for an extended discussion about Congressional priorities as leaders soon return to Congress and the outlook for tariff policy heading into the fall. Making matters harder for policymakers is this week's PCE inflation gauge, which is forecast to show the personal consumption expenditures price index rose 2.9% in July from a year ago, the fastest annual pace in five months.3) Gennadiy Goldberg, Head of US Rates Strategy at TD Securities, joins to discuss the interest rate path post-Jackson Hole. The Federal Reserve's Jackson Hole symposium was a tense affair, with Chair Jerome Powell signaling an interest-rate cut as soon as the next policy meeting in September, despite clear divisions among policymakers.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insider story on a Harvard professor's concern about AI and a WSJ story on saving to support children financially when they reach their 30s.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

25 Aug 37min

- Bruce Kasman, Chief Economist at JPMorgan- Jean Boivin, Head: Investment Institute at BlackRock- Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at the Cato Institute- Betsey Stevenson, Professor: Public Policy & Economics at the University of Michigan Bruce Kasman, Chief Economist at JPMorgan, discusses the outlook for the US economy and inflation. Jean Boivin, Head: Investment Institute at BlackRock, discusses US market and economic risks in 2025 and the outlook for economic growth in the US and abroad. Betsey Stevenson, Professor: Public Policy & Economics at the University of Michigan, previews Jackson Hole and Jay Powell's final Jackson Hole speech as Fed Chair. Alex Nowrasteh, VP: Economic & Social Policy Studies at the Cato Institute, talks about the Trump administration's economic and political priorities.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

22 Aug 26min

Bloomberg's Tom Keene, Lisa Abramowicz and Michael McKee discuss remarks from Fed Chair Jay Powell following his speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on a special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance.They speak with: Jim Bullard, Former St. Louis Fed President Kate Moore, Citi Wealth CIO Rich Clarida, Former Fed Vice ChairFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell carefully opened the door to an interest-rate cut in September, pointing to rising risks for the labor market even as worries over inflation remain.“The stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance,” Powell said in remarks prepared for the Fed’s annual conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Friday. “Nonetheless, with policy in restrictive territory, the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance.” Following Powell’s remarks investors boosted bets that the Federal Open Market Committee would cut rates at their Sept. 16-17 meeting. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

22 Aug 36min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 21st, 2025Featuring:1) Bloomberg Surveillance host Tom Keene joins from Jackson Hole to preview Jay Powell's speech. The Federal Reserve's annual conference began Thursday evening with a dinner for central bankers, economists, and journalists. Chair Jerome Powell will speak Friday at 10 a.m. New York time, and investors will be listening for any hint of what policymakers may do at their September meeting.2) Kristina Hooper, Chief Market Strategist at Man Group, joins to talk about markets walking on eggshells ahead of Jackson Hole and discusses the long-term outlook for the 10-year yield. US stock futures paused this week’s run of losses ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole address, with markets scaling back bets on imminent rate cuts.3) Karen Manna, Investment Director at Federated Hermes, talks about ongoing pressure on the Fed and Fed independence as all eyes remain on Jackson Hole. Fed watchers and investors will be listening for any hint of what policymakers may do at their September meeting. The US central bank may be on the cusp of again lowering interest rates, after keeping them on hold this year to gauge how tariffs would impact the economy. Powell could indicate this week if his colleagues are leaning one way or the other. With inflation above the Fed’s 2% target at the same time that hiring is cooling, officials have so far been divided on how soon cuts can come.4) RaeAnne Mitrione, Partner at Callan Family Office, discusses the market pricing in Fed easing as consumers remain resilient and inflation remains uncertain. Market pricing shows investors expect a rate cut in September, followed by at least one more later this year. President Donald Trump, a frequent critic of the Fed, has demanded that Powell and his colleagues lower rates significantly, with some in the administration calling for an outsize half percentage point cut next month.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

22 Aug 28min

- Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City- Betsy Duke, former Federal Reserve Governor- Claudio Irigoyen, Head: Global Economics Research at Bank of America- John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co. Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, sits down with Bloomberg's Michael McKee for an extended discussion, covering topics that include Fed independence, the labor market, and the Fed's position on inflation. Betsy Duke, former Federal Reserve Governor, discusses Fed independence and the Trump administration's pressure to oust Fed governor Lisa Cook. Claudio Irigoyen, Head: Global Economics Research at Bank of America, discusses the US economic and market outlook amid uncertainty surrounding labor and inflation. John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer & Co., discusses his outlook for the S&P and 2025 and the bull case for equities.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

21 Aug 34min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 20th, 2025Featuring:1) Michael McKee, International Economics & Policy correspondent from Bloomberg News, joins from Jackson Hole. Traders are staying cautious ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday for guidance on the path for interest rates. Overshadowing Powell's speech is an attempt by the Trump administration to oust Fed governor Lisa Cook as it looks to reshape the FOMC.2) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, on the latest DC headlines and how President Trump's next priority appears to be reshaping the Fed. President Trump's campaign to oust Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook would give him the opportunity to exert more influence over the US central bank by securing a majority on its seven-member board of governors. If Cook were to depart, it would pave the way for four of the seven slots on the Fed's Board of Governors to be filled by Trump appointees.3) Kara Murphy, CIO at Kestra Investment Management, brings us into the market open and discusses the "Rip van Winkle" Q2 and the outlook for markets and earnings growth. US stock futures pointed to more weakness for tech shares on Thursday after days of selling as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s gathering at Jackson Hole.4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including a Business Insiders story on older Americans looking for work and a WSJ story on a 9-9-9 rule in baseball.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

21 Aug 23min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with David Rosenberg & Michael McKee Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

20 Aug 3min

Featuring: -Howard Marks, Co-Chairman of Oaktree Capital Management-Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James Chief Economist-Eric Freedman, US Bank CIOSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

20 Aug 26min