Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities

Tariffs & Q2 Growth Shock | Trade Maven Brad Setser on Trump’s Tariff Warpath, China’s Balance of Payments, and “Self-Induced Recession” Probabilities

This Monetary Matters episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about VanEck Uranium & Nuclear ETF: http://vaneck.com/NLRJack Brad Setser is an expert on global trade and capital flows, having served as senior advisor to the United States Trade Representative from 2021 to 2022. The Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) joins Monetary Matters to explain why he thinks President Trump’s tariffs are likely to cause a growth shock in the second quarter. Recorded on March 20, 2025 Brad Setser piece on China’s Balance of Payments: https://www.cfr.org/blog/iphone-imf-and-chinas-balance-payments “The Evolution of Global Trade in 2024”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/evolution-global-trade-2024 Follow VanEck on Twitter https://x.com/vaneck_us Brad Setser on Twitter https://x.com/Brad_Setser Brad Setser on CFR: https://www.cfr.org/expert/brad-w-setser Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

Avsnitt(248)

Navigating the SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Disruption is Mispriced | Deiya Pernas | Pernas Research

Navigating the SaaS Apocalypse: Why AI Disruption is Mispriced | Deiya Pernas | Pernas Research

Monetary Matters listeners can save 20% on their first-year subscription to Pernas Research: http://pernasresearch.com/monetarymatters Software stocks have plummeted as the market prices in existen...

19 Apr 1h 1min

Banks' “Considerable” Exposure to Private Credit | Chris Whalen on Banks’ Loans to NBFIs, Plus CRE, Gold, and Payments

Banks' “Considerable” Exposure to Private Credit | Chris Whalen on Banks’ Loans to NBFIs, Plus CRE, Gold, and Payments

Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode, banking specialist Chris Whalen joins Jack to unpack the hidden risks within recent bank earn...

18 Apr 53min

Financial Repression, Pt. 1  | Professor Hanno Lustig on Hidden Taxes, Fiscal Sustainability, and Japan’s Debt Puzzle

Financial Repression, Pt. 1 | Professor Hanno Lustig on Hidden Taxes, Fiscal Sustainability, and Japan’s Debt Puzzle

Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, Stanford University finance professor Hanno Lustig dives deep into the hidd...

15 Apr 1h 30min

"I Don't Believe the Stagflation Narrative": How the Strong Consumer and AI Tailwinds Shape Sean Emory's Bullish Blueprint | Avory & Co

"I Don't Believe the Stagflation Narrative": How the Strong Consumer and AI Tailwinds Shape Sean Emory's Bullish Blueprint | Avory & Co

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&u...

14 Apr 1h 10min

"The Best Time to Invest": How AI Disruption is Reshaping Software Valuations | Ben Topor | Titan Capital Partners

"The Best Time to Invest": How AI Disruption is Reshaping Software Valuations | Ben Topor | Titan Capital Partners

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&u...

9 Apr 1h 2min

Private Credit “Doom” Narrative On Shaky Foundation? | Michael Haynes On Why Retail Outflows Are Real But Credit Foundations Are Solid

Private Credit “Doom” Narrative On Shaky Foundation? | Michael Haynes On Why Retail Outflows Are Real But Credit Foundations Are Solid

This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-m...

8 Apr 1h 8min

Why Emerging Markets are Finally Outperforming Developed Markets | Robert Koenigsberger | Gramercy

Why Emerging Markets are Finally Outperforming Developed Markets | Robert Koenigsberger | Gramercy

This episode is sponsored by Pictet Asset Management and its AI-enhanced equity ETFs. Pictet AI Enhanced US Equity ETF (PQUS):   https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqus/?utm_campaign=usetf&cid=2826077237&ut...

7 Apr 1h 9min

“Books Will Be Written” About This Shipping Market | Ed Finley-Richardson of Misadventures in Shipping on War-Induced Oil Tanker Mayhem, Squeeze for Asiabound Refined Products, and Persian Gulf “Feeding Frenzy” Scenario

“Books Will Be Written” About This Shipping Market | Ed Finley-Richardson of Misadventures in Shipping on War-Induced Oil Tanker Mayhem, Squeeze for Asiabound Refined Products, and Persian Gulf “Feeding Frenzy” Scenario

Listeners can get 20% off Misadventures in Shipping subscriptions through April 17th here: https://edfin.substack.com/monetary Subscription includes access to Substack research pieces and private ...

4 Apr 2h 34min

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