A Possible Path to ASI

A Possible Path to ASI

The conversation around AGI and ASI is louder than ever—but the definitions are often abstract, technical, and disconnected from what actually matters. In this episode, I break down a human-centered way of thinking about these terms, why they’re important, and a system that could help us get there.

I talk about:

• A Better Definition of AGI and ASI
Instead of technical abstractions, AGI is defined as the ability to perform most cognitive tasks as well as a 2022 U.S.-based knowledge worker. ASI is intelligence that surpasses that level. Framing it this way helps us immediately understand why it matters—and what it threatens.

• Invention as the Core Output of Intelligence
The real value of AGI and ASI is their ability to generate novel solutions. Drawing inspiration from the Enlightenment, we explore how humans innovate—and how we can replicate that process using AI, automation, and structured experimentation.

• Scaling the Scientific Method with AI
By building systems that automate idea generation, recombination, and real-world testing, we can massively scale the rate of innovation. This framework—automated scientific iteration—could be the bridge from human intelligence to AGI and beyond.

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Chapters:

00:00 - Why AGI and ASI Definitions Should Be Human-Centric
01:55 - Defining AGI as a 2022-Era US Knowledge Worker
03:04 - Defining ASI and Why It’s Harder to Conceptualize
04:04 - The Real Reason to Care: AGI and ASI Enable Invention
05:04 - How Human Innovation Happens: Idea Collisions and Enlightenment Lessons
06:56 - Building a System That Mimics Human Idea Generation at Scale
09:00 - The Challenge of Testing: From A/B Tests to Biotech Labs
10:52 - Creating an Automated, Scalable Scientific Method With AI
12:50 - A Timeline to AGI and ASI: Predictions for 2027–2030

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A Conversation with Jason Kikta from Automox

A Conversation with Jason Kikta from Automox

In this sponsored episode of Unsupervised Learning, we talked to Jason Kikta. Jason is the CISO and Senior VP of Product at Automox, and our conversation covered: - Endpoint Management- IT and Security Overlap- Patching Strategies- Cloud-Based Solutions- Configuration Drift- Policy Articulation- Automation and AI- IT Operations Challenges- Future Product Features- and other topics. You can check out Automox at: https://automox.com.  Become a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

22 Jan 202445min

UL NO. 415: It's Raining 9+ CVEs, 40% Job Loss from AI, Invisible Prompt Injection…

UL NO. 415: It's Raining 9+ CVEs, 40% Job Loss from AI, Invisible Prompt Injection…

[updated: apologies, we had the wrong audio file initially] Taiwan chooses democracy, 10,000 hours debunked, Data/Display/AI/AR, and much more… 📢Sponsored by Automox: Brace yourself for any IT calamity with Automox! 🛡️ Tune into the Autonomous IT podcast and join experts discussing Patch Tuesday insights, mitigation strategies, and CVE remedies. Connect with IT pros and stay ahead of the game. 🎧 Listen now on Spotify, Apple, or your favorite podcast platform! Read today's episode hereBecome a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

19 Jan 202421min

UL NO. 414: LastPass Settings Upgrade, Boosting ChatGPT Output, AI Adding Societal Transparency

UL NO. 414: LastPass Settings Upgrade, Boosting ChatGPT Output, AI Adding Societal Transparency

ChatGPT prompting upgrades, CrewAI agent framework, people down on Democracy… 📢 Sponsored by Kolide: Concerned about data breaches and hacks? 🔒 Discover Kolide, the device trust solution that secures your company's devices and credentials, making phishing attempts useless to hackers. See it in action at www.kolide.com/unsupervisedlearning View today's episode online here: https://danielmiessler.com/p/ul-414Become a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

10 Jan 202425min

UL NO. 413: 7 Things to Expect from AI in 2024+, Xi Going Stalin, SSH's Terrapin…

UL NO. 413: 7 Things to Expect from AI in 2024+, Xi Going Stalin, SSH's Terrapin…

Xi purges detractors, my thoughts on chaos and 2024, my predictions for what we'll build with AI in 2024, macro D, and much more… Read online here.Become a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

6 Jan 202424min

A Conversation with Gabe Bernadett-Shapiro on AI

A Conversation with Gabe Bernadett-Shapiro on AI

👥 This conversation is between Daniel Miessler, founder of Unsupervised Learning, and Gabriel Bernadett-Shapiro, an expert on AI Safety and Threat Intelligence.  🧠 TOPICS 00:00:00 Intros 00:04:50 Acels vs. Decels/Boomers 00:08:10 Accelerationists' Optimism for AGI 00:11:02 AGI vs. ASI Discussion 00:14:22 AI Development Debate 00:18:45 Data Retrieval with LLMs 00:27:21 Bottom-Up Automation Strategy 00:34:56 Data Availability Problem Solving 00:42:07 Threat Intel Task Automation 00:49:32 Auto Analyst Tool Demo 01:02:14 Applying AI to Threat Intelligence   🔎 Gabe: X:   / gabeincognito   LinkedIn:   / gabebs     🔎 Daniel: Web: danielmiessler.com X:   / danielmiessler.com   LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/danielmiesslerBecome a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

21 Dec 202337min

UL NO. 412: OpenAI's Prompt Guide, My Neovim Overhaul, The UL Character Sheet, And…

UL NO. 412: OpenAI's Prompt Guide, My Neovim Overhaul, The UL Character Sheet, And…

Also: Ubiquity Cross-Pollination, Passcode Laws, China's AI Influence Network, Bodycam Shenanigans, And One Year Independent!Become a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

20 Dec 202329min

UL NO. 411: ChatGPT Repeat Vuln, A UL AI Course!, Revenge Code Deletion

UL NO. 411: ChatGPT Repeat Vuln, A UL AI Course!, Revenge Code Deletion

Sneaky ChatGPT Data Leaks, A New Ground-Based Telescope, Companies Leaving Austin, More… 📢Sponsored by Automox: Brace yourself for any IT calamity with Automox! 🛡️ Tune into the Autonomous IT podcast and join experts discussing Patch Tuesday insights, mitigation strategies, and CVE remedies. Connect with IT pros and stay ahead of the game. 🎧 Listen now on Spotify, Apple, or your favorite podcast platform! Read today's episode hereBecome a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

14 Dec 202319min

UL NO. 410: The Immigration/Identity Security Risk, Super Soldier Pentagon Talk, Okta&Me Updates, Teachable Agents

UL NO. 410: The Immigration/Identity Security Risk, Super Soldier Pentagon Talk, Okta&Me Updates, Teachable Agents

Meta bans AI-generated Political Ads, Google's new RETVec Anti-spam tool, a casual convo on Super Soldiers, and more… 📢Sponsored by Kolide🔒 Secure your world with device trust – manage all OS, empower employees to fix their own security issues. Say goodbye to vulnerable credentials. 📢Sponsored by: Panoptica.app - Simplify container deployment, monitoring, and securityBecome a Member: https://danielmiessler.com/upgradeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

6 Dec 202325min

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