Is This the End of the US Exceptionalism Trade?
Odd Lots17 Apr 2025

Is This the End of the US Exceptionalism Trade?

For years and years now, there has been one winning trade: Go long the US versus the rest of the world. Thanks to tech dynamism and general pro-growth US macro policies, American assets have far outstripped their global peers. Of course, there have been some bumps along the way, but they've usually been global bumps. The financial crisis in 2008-2009 was global. Covid was a shock for the entire world. But with Trump's tariffs, we are now looking at a story that has the potential to be US-specific, even if a trade war will be felt internationally. And so investors are asking the question of whether US exceptionalism has come to an end, and there may be better opportunities elsewhere. On this episode we speak with Ozan Tarman, vice chair of global macro at Deutsche Bank. He tells us what his clients are thinking about and the various scenarios whereby US assets continue to underperform. We also discuss the implications of the US becoming more EM-like in its politics, and its financial markets.

Read More: End of 'America First' Trade Is Boosting Europe's Markets
The World Is Finding a Plausible Alternative to Treasuries

Only Bloomberg.com subscribers can get the Odd Lots newsletter in their inbox — now delivered every weekday — plus unlimited access to the site and app. Subscribe at bloomberg.com/subscriptions/oddlots

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Det här avsnittet är hämtat från ett öppet RSS-flöde och publiceras inte av Podme. Det kan innehålla reklam.

Avsnitt(1275)

A Goldman M&A Banker Helped Bring the Olympics to Los Angeles

A Goldman M&A Banker Helped Bring the Olympics to Los Angeles

We're in an era of megadeals, with Goldman Sachs reporting a record year for big deal volumes as companies scramble to compete with AI. Gene Sykes has seen multiple deal cycles come and go over his mu...

19 Sep 32min

There's a Mind-Boggling Number of Rich People in America

There's a Mind-Boggling Number of Rich People in America

In 2014, the economists Owen Zidar and Eric Zwick were asked by the Treasury to conduct a study on the tax burden of private business owners. It was tricky to figure out how much these sorts of busine...

18 Sep 59min

What Francis Fukuyama Is Seeing at 'The End of History'

What Francis Fukuyama Is Seeing at 'The End of History'

Francis Fukuyama's essay “The End of History?” was published in the summer of 1989, a few months before the fall of the Berlin Wall. The essay's argument — that liberal democracy would not only defeat...

17 Sep 54min

OpenAI President Greg Brockman on Doing Business in the Wake of Hugging Face

OpenAI President Greg Brockman on Doing Business in the Wake of Hugging Face

According to OpenAI President Greg Brockman, the models that escaped their sandbox and hacked into Hugging Face's servers had yet to go through alignment training. That they were able to break free of...

14 Sep 1h 2min

Robert Friedland on the World's Monumental Shortage of Copper

Robert Friedland on the World's Monumental Shortage of Copper

Copper demand is booming, with the metal surging another 15% this year. Copper demand has always been tightly linked to economic activity, but now it's in overdrive, thanks to data centers, electric c...

12 Sep 1h 9min

Why Bridgewater's CIO Says AI's Human Extinction Risk Is Real

Why Bridgewater's CIO Says AI's Human Extinction Risk Is Real

Greg Jensen was one of the earliest backers of both OpenAI and Anthropic, and at Bridgewater Associates, where he is the managing chief investment officer, he leads the hedge fund’s AI strategy. As an...

11 Sep 1h 5min

The Rise of Organized Retail Crime at Big Box Stores

The Rise of Organized Retail Crime at Big Box Stores

If you walk into a local pharmacy in New York City, more likely than not, lots of the merchandise is locked behind closed doors as a measure to mitigate shoplifting. So how big is the “retail shrink” ...

10 Sep 52min

Why Money Launderers Love $100 Bills

Why Money Launderers Love $100 Bills

Hardly anyone nowadays seems to carry much cash, never mind carrying around a bunch of $100 bills. So why does the amount of physical cash in circulation — especially big denominations like the $100 b...

7 Sep 54min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

framgangspodden
varvet
rss-jossan-nina
rss-borsens-finest
svd-tech-brief
24fragor
avanzapodden
uppgang-och-fall
badfluence
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
lastbilspodden
fill-or-kill
rss-dagen-med-di
rikatillsammans-om-privatekonomi-rikedom-i-livet
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
rss-wallnor-pm
tabberaset
bilar-med-sladd
borsmorgon
kapitalet-en-podd-om-ekonomi