SI346: Is the Trend Still Your Friend ft. Rob Carver

This episode is all about understanding the nuances of trend-following and how current market dynamics are shaking things up. Together with Rob Carver, we discuss the turbulence that hit financial markets in April and how that affected Trend Followers, as well as how Rob navigated the last 12 months as a trend follower. Plus, we explore the intriguing topic of safe haven assets, questioning if traditional choices like U.S. treasury bonds still hold up under pressure. We also explore a paper that the discuss the pros and cons of simplicity over complexity in strategy design.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:40 - What has caught our attention recently?

06:59 - Society is going crazy

09:47 - Industry performance update

16:22 - How to capture the bounce in trailing stops

23:20 - Industry performance numbers

25:18 - Q1, Niall: What books would you recommend for a young quant entering the CTA space today?

29:05 - Reviewing Rob's annual trend following performance

36:26 - Should we start to rethink our approach to drawdowns?

40:45 - How do we stop investors from projecting market expectations to trend following performance

44:16 - How Rob defines slippage

50:12 - What if we base our trend system on one indicator?

54:18 - Does this trend following thing still work?

58:56 - Getting to know the founders of trend following

01:01:09 - Rob's approach to leveraged ETFs

01:07:27 - What is up for next week?

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