Trump’s 100% Tariff, Strong Jobs Data, and Q1 GDP Contraction: PALvatar Market Recap, May 05 2025

Trump’s 100% Tariff, Strong Jobs Data, and Q1 GDP Contraction: PALvatar Market Recap, May 05 2025

🔥 Get Raoul Pal's FREE PDF report https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe. ⬜ Welcome to Palvatar Market Recap, your go-to daily briefing on the latest market movements, global macro shifts, and crypto trends—powered by Raoul Pal’s AI avatar, Palvatar. ⬜ In today’s update, Palvatar covers major macro shifts following President Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on all foreign films, fueling fears of rising protectionism. Strong U.S. job growth contrasts with an unexpected Q1 GDP contraction, adding complexity to the economic outlook. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions are driving investors toward safe-haven assets, boosting demand for the Japanese yen and gold. Tune in for a data-packed snapshot of global market sentiment. 🔹 Why tune in? Stay ahead of market-moving developments with concise, data-driven insights. 🔹 Who should listen? Traders, investors, and macro enthusiasts looking for real-time market intelligence. 🍌 Get your Banana Zone swag at the Real Vision merch store: https://shop.realvision.com Unlock the potential to showcase your brand to our global audience. Contact us at partnerships@realvision.com for advertising inquiries. Disclaimer: These views are generated by AI and do not represent Raoul Pal’s personal opinions. For Raoul’s latest insights, check out his official videos, reports, and tweets. Connect with Raoul: Twitter (X): https://twitter.com/RaoulGMI Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/raoulgmi/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/raoul-pal-real-vision/ Connect with Real Vision™ Online: Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Web: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Avsnitt(2043)

Why a Post-Lockdown China Is Raising Red Flags for India

Why a Post-Lockdown China Is Raising Red Flags for India

Andreas Steno Larsen explains why China’s reopening is a negative for last year’s market darling, India. Plus, he gives an update on U.S. dollar liquidity and a sneak peek into his new show, Buy-side Meets Sell-side, available to Plus members starting on Friday. Recorded on January 31, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

18 Feb 202323min

How Aggressive Does the Fed Need to Get?

How Aggressive Does the Fed Need to Get?

U.S. stocks are sliding into the weekend, as investors contemplate the risk of sticky inflation and soaring U.S. Treasury yields. Dr. Komal Sri-Kumar, president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, joins Maggie Lake to break down the latest price action and discuss the monumental task facing the Fed. This is another extended Friday edition of the show, and in Part 2 Dr. Sri-Kumar will explain what’s driving central bank decisions around the globe. That will be available only to Real Vision members.We’ll also hear an update from Andreas Steno Larsen on global liquidity, and why he thinks liquidity may have already bottomed. You can watch that entire Steno’s Signals episode here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

17 Feb 202337min

The Battle Against Inflation is Far From Over

The Battle Against Inflation is Far From Over

U.S. producer prices (PPI) rose 0.7% in January, calling into question the prevailing disinflation narrative for the second time this week. Maggie Lake is joined by Peter Boockvar, the CIO of Bleakly Advisory Group, to help break down all the latest inflation data and discuss the Fed’s chances at navigating any sort of soft landing. We’ll also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen on why it’s so important to pay attention to the NFIB price plan survey when it comes to pricing pressure. You can watch that full interview here: https://rvtv.io/3Itusiw Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

16 Feb 202336min

Is the Options Market Calling Off Recession?

Is the Options Market Calling Off Recession?

U.S. retail sales numbers came in much stronger than expected after yesterday’s still-sticky inflation print. The stock market remains range-bound as investors consider the next directional catalyst. Imran Lakha, founder of Options Insight, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for a look under the hood at what’s driving the price action. Imran is an options expert, so he’ll share why volatility has collapsed of late, what bonds and gold are signaling, and how traders are positioning into March. We’ll also hear from Damian Horner and Roger Hirst on the delicate balance between unemployment and recession. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3YJ06h4 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Feb 202336min

Are Markets Too Complacent About Inflation?

Are Markets Too Complacent About Inflation?

U.S. inflation rose 6.4% YoY last month, down from 6.5% in December but above expectations while monthly inflation rose 0.5% — the biggest increase in 3 months. Stocks largely shrugged in response, as markets remain relatively unchanged. Elsewhere, oil futures are down after the U.S. government announced it would release more crude from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve to help alleviate concerns over Russian production cuts. Maggie Lake is joined by Tony Greer, the editor of the Morning Navigator and founder of TG Macro, to assess the market’s CPI response and discuss the latest developments in energy markets. Plus, we’ll give you a look at Raoul Pal’s interview with David Dredge, who explains how he profits off of unexpected market events. You can watch that entire interview here: https://rvtv.io/3RSMmhO Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Feb 202336min

Markets Turn Their Gaze to CPI

Markets Turn Their Gaze to CPI

U.S. equities pushed higher as investors look ahead to tomorrow morning’s U.S. CPI print. Ash Bennington sits down with Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading Group, to discuss today’s price action and how Dave is positioning ahead of the January inflation data. Plus, Weston Nakamura will join the show with an update on what a new governor at the BOJ means for global markets, why the yen is slipping against the dollar, and how he’s trading navigating global markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

13 Feb 202338min

Beer with Tony Greer

Beer with Tony Greer

In this 90-minute AMA-style show, the Morning Navigator’s editor, Tony Greer, will answer your questions directly and offer unique insights about the current macro landscape. It’s your chance to get a unique moment with TG and learn what drives his thoughts on the markets. Grab a beer or a drink and tune in for a relaxed and conversational experience with Tony, while learning from one of the industry’s leading analysts. Live streamed on February 8, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Feb 20231h 32min

Why You Shouldn't Get Too Comfortable Holding Risk Assets

Why You Shouldn't Get Too Comfortable Holding Risk Assets

Following a speech last week by FOMC member Christopher Waller, Andreas Steno Larsen presents what he calls the “Waller Rule,” which suggests that QT will either need to slow or pause if USD reserves become equal to 10-11% of U.S. GDP. He then breaks down why this potential scenario might be bad news for risk assets in the second half of 2023. Recorded on January 24, 2023. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

11 Feb 202324min

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