Top Traders Unplugged21 Maj 2025

GM82: The Surprising Success of the U.S. Economy ft. Elroy Dimson & Kiran Ganesh

America's recent economic performance has been a surprise, as it's managed to outperform many other markets over the last quarter century. We review the insights from the Global Investment Returns Yearbook, discussing how the US has thrived and what that means for future investment strategies. Our guests, Elroy Dimson and Kiran Ganesh, share their expertise on market trends, the importance of diversification, and the implications of recent economic shifts. We also explore the complexities of factors like equity risk premium and the evolving role of bonds in an investment portfolio. Join us as we explore these themes and consider what’s next for investors in a changing global landscape. You can read the Global Investment Returns Yearbook here.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

02:19 - Introduction to Elroy Dimson and Kiran Ganesh

09:21 - What kind of feedback do they get from clients?

13:04 - Stocks for the long run?

17:41 - Is the US losing its grip on its economy?

24:08 - Are indicies becoming more crucial for portfolios?

25:39 - Ranking equity markets according to risk

27:22 - How often should we expect economic collapses?

29:13 - The surprising outcomes of bonds

34:00 - Bonds - are we returning to 1999?

38:31 - Which asset classes are the optimal inflation hedges?

40:47 - Where do most of their returns come from?

41:56 - How they approach the evolving interest rate landscape

43:49 - The state of Bitcoin and alternative assets

49:59 - Key insights to factor investing

54:38 - Is value investing becoming structurally more challenged?

55:48 - Performance expectations in the major asset classes

57:36 - Advice for constructing a solid long term portfolio

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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

3. Other Resources that can help you

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