US-China Trade Truce, Cooling CPI, and Crypto Legislation: PALvatar Market Recap, June 11 2025

“You don’t buy when there’s ‘blood in the streets,’” notes Darius Dale. “You buy when there’s a catalyst to clean it up.” U.S. equity indexes are bleeding today, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average sliding below the 30,000 mark. The question is, what is that catalyst, and when will it reveal itself? Darius, the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to answer that question and to talk about today’s price action in the aftermath of the Federal Reserve’s biggest rate hike since 1994. According to Darius, “This trending volatility won’t end until the liquidity cycle inflects and speeds up the growth cycle bottom.” Mortgage rates have already exploded past 6%, a sign tighter monetary policy is already impacting consumers. How far will the Fed go to catch inflation? “Inflation KILLS societies,” says Darius. We also hear from Mark Ritchie II about how to manage risk in a volatile environment. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3mRtaSP. Watch the full Real Visionaries interview featuring Mark Ritchie II here: https://rvtv.io/3O6f2RS. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

16 Juni 202239min

The Federal Open Market Committee announced the biggest increase to the federal funds rate in a quarter century, the Bank of Japan stepped up its “yield curve control” efforts, and the European Central Bank met on an emergency basis to address Italy and “fragmenting” bond yields, as monetary policymakers continue to struggle with a crazy, mixed-up macro environment. U.S equity indexes held onto solid gains following the Fed’s announcement of a 75-basis-point rate hike, and yields on 2-year, 10-year, and 30-year government bonds declined. Seeking credibility, the Fed said it’s “strongly committed” to returning inflation to its 2% target. Joseph “The Fed Guy” Wang joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to discuss what today’s moves by the BoJ, the ECB, and the Fed mean for markets and the economy. We also share a segment from today's Crypto Unwrapped episode about Bitcoin, Ethereum, and recent price action in that volatile space. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3mNNFzO. Watch the full Crypto Unwrapped episode here: https://rvtv.io/3xT3viR. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Juni 202236min

The producer price index was up 0.8% month over month and 10.8% on an annual basis in May, and Wall Street economists are racing to update forecasts for this week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting to include a 75-basis-point rate hike. Stocks were mixed at midday, as prices of energy commodities continue to surge. Tony Greer, founder of TG Macro and editor of The Morning Navigator, joins Real Vision’s Maggie Lake to explain why a fire at a Texas LNG plant caused U.S. natural gas prices to sag but European prices to surge. Tony also talks about the implications of longer-term supply constraints in the energy market. We also share a segment from today’s Real Visionaries episode where top traders share actionable strategies for trading amid today’s volatility. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3xOBGbq. Watch the full Real Visionaries conversation featuring Mark Minervini, Jared Dillian, and Mark Ritchie II here: https://rvtv.io/3MSn2UZ. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

15 Juni 202236min

“I'm genuinely spooked,” Jared Dillian tweeted late Sunday night, as Asian markets opened sharply lower and U.S. equity futures pointed to a bleak Monday open on Wall Street, “and I don't spook easily.” Two hours shy of the close, every stock in the S&P 500 is down for the day, and that index is in “official” bear market territory. The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note has surged past the 10-year, a dramatic inversion that’ll surely fuel talk of recession. Dillian, the editor of The Daily Dirtnap, is not waiting around to position for that eventuality and a bear market too: “70% of my portfolio is gold and bonds.” Dillian joins Real Vision’s Ash Bennington to talk about today’s price action. And our expert on the ground in Asia, Weston Nakamura, drops in for an update on a critical aspect of the global financial system ahead of this week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting. We also share a segment from today’s Cryptoverse Breaking News about the crashing crypto market. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3OdWgaM. Watch the full Cryptoverse Breaking News segment here: https://rvtv.io/3txRgpg Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

14 Juni 202234min

Here’s a full-length episode from Real Vision's original series, The Next Big Trade - be sure to subscribe. Paul Hodges of The pH Report and New Normal Consulting joins Harry Melandri for a fascinating conversation on global macro. Hodges believes investors must stop paying attention to every move the Federal Reserve makes and must start paying attention to the fundamentals of equity analysis again. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

12 Juni 20221h 1min

Here’s a full-length episode from Real Vision's original series, My Life in 4 Trades - be sure to subscribe. Jared Dillian’s journey is as unconventional as it is compelling. From serving in the U.S. Coast Guard to trading over a billion dollars a day on Wall Street, Dillian has seen and done more than most ever will. Dillian joins Maggie Lake to discuss some of his best and worst trades, and he explains his theory that every trader, in one way or another, is an artist. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

11 Juni 202251min

The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Friday that the consumer price index increased 8.6% from a year ago and 1% from a month ago in May. Both readings exceeded expectations and re-centered for the Federal Reserve and the White House the problem of fixing 40-year-high inflation. According to Peter Boockvar, the CIO of Bleakley Advisory Group, "The odds of 50 basis points at the September meeting of the FOMC are back to 100%." Not coincidentally, the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index plumbed an all-time low in May. Boockvar joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about today’s CPI report, the market’s reaction, and whether the Fed will be able to tame inflation and manage a “soft landing” for the economy at the same time. We also hear from Kyle Bass and Wil VanLoh about how money-printing and war have contributed to this historic inflation surge. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3O60H7h. Watch the full conversation featuring Kyle Bass and Wil VanLoh here: https://rvtv.io/3NEKq9v. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

11 Juni 202241min

The three major U.S. equity indexes traded lower for a second consecutive day, as investors look forward to Friday’s release of consumer price index data for May. The European Central Bank is accelerating its own tightening scheme, as inflation’s grip on policymakers remains tight. Initial claims for unemployment insurance showed the biggest increase since July 21, a sign the labor market may be cooling. Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins Real Vision’s Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about choppy price action, how he’s positioning himself ahead of Friday’s CPI release, what he sees the Federal Reserve doing about it, and why he’s trimming his long exposure. We also hear from Simon Mikhailovich about getting back to fundamentals and looking at things like balance sheets when it comes to making investment decisions. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3xi5lIK. Watch the full video featuring Simon Mikhailovich here: https://rvtv.io/3QbSHnm. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

10 Juni 202240min