Uncertainty Surrounds Jay Powell & US Trade

Uncertainty Surrounds Jay Powell & US Trade

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.
Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 21st, 2025
Featuring:
1) Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, discusses her S&P 500 target and whether equity markets will continue to push through policy and Fed uncertainty. It also comes amid European Union envoys getting ready to meet to formulate a plan for measures to respond to a possible no-deal scenario with US President Trump. The US is now seen to want a near-universal tariff on EU goods higher than 10%, with limited exemptions, according to people familiar with the matter.
2) Bob Michele, CIO: Fixed Income at JPMorgan Asset Management, talks about whether the Fed's right to keep monetary policy unchanged and what the full impact of tariffs will be on US companies. Meanwhile, a new theory from Wall Street is zeroing in on a possible dismissal of Fed Chair Jay Powell. The theory behind this "macro trade" is that a new Fed chair would be more likely to fall in line with Trump's lobbying for lower interest rates, pushing down short-term yields and driving yields on long-term debt higher.
3) Frank Lee, Global Head of Tech Hardware and Semiconductor Research, talks about AI investment, the outlook for semiconductors, and the sustainability of CapEx growth for AI hyperscalers.
4) Jordan Rochester, Head: FICC Macro Strategy EMEA, joins to discuss the dollar-yen trade after the Japanese Prime Minister's election setback this weekend. Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba says he must fulfill his responsibility to the nation and its people as the biggest party in parliament. Ishiba raised the US trade talks, inflation, and security environment as pressing issues that must not be left to stagnate due to political instability.
5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including WSJ's story on Amazon quietly raised prices on low-cost products since President Trump's tariff announcement, as well as Business Insider's story on the 'Gen Z stare.'

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Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 20th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 20th, 2025

Featuring: -Howard Marks, Co-Chairman of Oaktree Capital Management-Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James Chief Economist-Eric Freedman, US Bank CIOSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

20 Aug 26min

Jackson Hole's Impact on the Economy, Markets React

Jackson Hole's Impact on the Economy, Markets React

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 20th, 2025Featuring:1) David Rosenberg, Founder and President Rosenberg Research & Associates, on how the bloom may be off the rose for markets. 2) Monica Guerra, Head: US Policy at Morgan Stanley, looks ahead to Jackson Hole and what we can expect to hear from Fed Chair Jay Powell. 3) Alicia Levine, Head of Investment Strategy and Equities at BNY, on how Trump's tariffs have quieted concerns about the deficit. 4) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US...including how makeup is the answer for Louis Vuitton and Chipotle wants to turn dorm rooms into burrito bowls.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

20 Aug 31min

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Terry Haines & Lori Calvasina

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Terry Haines & Lori Calvasina

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Terry Haines & Lori Calvasina. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

19 Aug 3min

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 19th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 19th, 2025

- Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods- Retired Lt. Gen. Robert Walsh, Geopolitical Intelligence Group Member at Academy Securities- Kit Juckes, Chief FX Strategist at Societe Generale- Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Investment Management Sarah Hunt, Chief Market Strategist at Alpine Saxon Woods, joins to discuss her outlook for US equities and the S&P. Retired Lt. Gen. Robert Walsh, Geopolitical Intelligence Group Member at Academy Securities, breaks down the latest talks between President Trump, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, and European leaders as a Putin-Zelenskiy summit could take place. Kit Juckes, Chief FX Strategist at Societe Generale, offers his outlook for the dollar and markets. Priya Misra, Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Investment Management, talks about signals from the bond market.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

19 Aug 24min

Staying Invested amid Market Risks

Staying Invested amid Market Risks

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 19th, 2025Featuring:1) Monica DiCenso, Head of Global Investment Opportunities at JPMorgan, joins to talk about the US equity outlook, geopolitical and tariff risks, and US exceptionalism. Investors are turning their attention to earnings from US consumer giants for clues on the impact of tariffs, according to the text.2) Jim Caron, CIO of Cross Asset Solutions at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, joins to talk markets blowing past tariffs post-Liberation Day and whether there's too much focus on risk rather than staying invested. Meanwhile, options traders are grabbing insurance to protect themselves from a potential plunge in technology stocks in the coming weeks, according to Bloomberg.3) Doug Kass, president and founder at Seabreeze Partners, offers his macro, tech, and AI outlooks. Money markets are currently betting the Fed will deliver its first rate cut for the year in September, as labor-market weakness outweighs inflation risks, with another move expected before year-end.4) Kristen Bitterly, Head: Wealth At Work at Citi Global Markets, talks asset allocation for long term investors and concern from clients amid a variety of market risks.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

19 Aug 29min

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Angela Stent

Single Best Idea with Tom Keene: Angela Stent

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature a conversation with Angela Stent. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

18 Aug 2min

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 18th, 2025

Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 18th, 2025

- Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro- Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities- Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson CenterClaudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, joins to discuss the outlook for markets and the labor market ahead of Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro, talks about the chances of a September rate cut as mixed data on inflation and the consumer come in. Gennadiy Goldberg, Head: US Rates Strategy at TD Securities, discusses the Fed's rate easing cycle and when it could begin. Kelly Grieco, Senior Fellow at the Stimson Center, breaks down the Trump-Putin summit and what's next for the war in Ukraine.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

18 Aug 29min

Ukraine Developments and Previewing Jackson Hole

Ukraine Developments and Previewing Jackson Hole

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyAugust 18th, 2025Featuring:1) Michael Darda, Chief Economist at Roth Capital Partners, joins to discuss the Fed's case for a rate cut and what he expects from Jackson Hole this week. Traders are staying cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s annual retreat at Jackson Hole later this week, with Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech keenly watched for guidance on a September interest-rate cut.2) Blake Gwinn, Head of US Rates Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, joins to discuss his rate cut call as traders prep for Jay Powell's Jackson Hole speech. Investor expectations for monetary easing next month fluctuated in recent days, pricing in more than a quarter-point cut at one point, amid mixed signals on inflation and the strength of US consumers.3) Angela Stent, Senior Fellow at the Brookings Institute, offers her analysis of the Trump-Putin summit and what Russian President Vladimir Putin gained from the meeting. President Trump and Vladimir Putin agreed that the US could offer security guarantees to Ukraine, according to Steve Witkoff, Trump's special envoy. The details of the security guarantees and any potential territorial concessions remain unclear, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio offering less certainty on the topic than Witkoff.4) Kona Haque, Head of Commodities Research at ED&F Man, discusses her note on the major moves in coffee prices and how tariffs will affect it, and offers her macro and oil outlook. Coffee remains highly volatile due to geopolitical and weather instability.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

18 Aug 28min

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