Bloomberg Surveillance TV: August 6th, 2025

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & David GuraJune 3nd, 2025Featuring:1) Tina Fordham, founder at Fordham Global Foresight, on how geopolitics are never 'going back to normal' 2) Chris Harvey, Chief US Equity Strategist at Wells Fargo, on markets. Stock futures are lower after the weekend brought more tariff drama, with China and the US accusing each other of violating a trade deal concluded just a few weeks ago. There’s also bearish comments on the dollar: Morgan Stanley expects the currency to slump 9% by mid-2026.3) Tom Porcelli, Chief US Economist at PGIM Fixed Income on how the Fed is on the sidelines, for now. But as economic activity slows this year, we expect the Fed will ease in H2.4) Evan Osnos, author and New Yorker staff writer, on his new book "The Haves and Have-Yachts"See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

3 Juni 40min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Jordan Rochester & Sharon Miller. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

2 Juni 4min

- Brandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association- Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates- Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America- Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global InvestmentsBrandon Farris, Vice President: Energy & Resources Policy at the Steel Manufacturers Association, joins to discuss President Trump saying he will double steel tariffs and how that could affect consumers and businesses. Kate Kalutkiewicz, Senior Managing Director: Trade Practice & McLarty Inbound at McLarty Associates, discusses the latest on the US-led trade war and whether talks with China are stalling. Aditya Bhave, Senior US Economist at Bank of America, offers his outlook for the US economy and potential for a recession in 2025. Victoria Fernandez, Chief Market Strategist at Crossmark Global Investments, discusses her outlook for equities in 2025 and whether there could be more choppiness in the summer months.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

2 Juni 27min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 2nd, 2025Featuring:1) Stephen Stanley, Chief Economist at Santander, joins for an extended conversation on the outlook for the US economy, lower consumer spending, and potential for a shallow recession in the US. Global stocks started the new month under pressure due to a flare-up in global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold is heading for its biggest gain in almost four weeks as geopolitical and trade tensions revived demand for haven assets.2) Kathy Jones, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Charles Schwab, discusses bond market warnings and why the Fed won't be coming to the rescue any time soon. The dollar fell 0.5%, extending a streak of five monthly losses, while Treasury yields rose across the curve, with the 10-year rate up four basis points to 4.44% in the early part of the morning as risk appetite dissipates.3) Maya MacGuineas, President of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, talks about the House bill "debt fiasco" and why markets haven't fully awaken to the debt and deficit problem in the US. It comes as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the US "is never going to default" as the deadline for increasing the federal debt ceiling approaches. Bessent declines to specify an "X date" for when the Treasury will run out of cash, but says the goal is to bring the deficit down over the next four years.4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, talks about President Trump threatening an increase to steel and aluminum tariffs, how the tax bill could be transformed in the Senate, and other DC headlines. Uncertainty prompted by President Donald Trump’s trade agenda picked up after China and the US accused each other of violating a trade deal concluded last month. Trump also said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Meanwhile, Ukraine staged a dramatic series of strikes across Russia, deploying drones hidden in trucks deep inside the country to hit strategic airfields.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on Gen Z's interest in chain restaurants and a Business Insider story on AI already taking human jobs.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

2 Juni 26min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Seema Shah & Greg Boutle. Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

30 Maj 4min

- Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel- Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research- Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board- Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United AirlinesLindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, reacts to PCE and discusses her outlook for markets and the US economy. Neil Dutta, Head: US Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research, discusses the potential for more rate cuts than are currently being priced into the market. Dana Peterson, Chief Economist at The Conference Board, talks about recent findings on the outlook of CEOs for business in the US and overall sentiment about the economy. Andrew Nocella, Chief Commercial Officer at United Airlines, talks about his outlook for the company and industry this year.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

30 Maj 28min

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF.Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyMay 30th, 2025Featuring:1) Greg Boutle, Head of US Equity & Derivative Strategy at BNP Paribas, Aoifinn Devitt, Chief Global Strategist at Moneta, and Ira Jersey, Chief US Interest Rates Strategist with Bloomberg Intelligence. react to PCE. April’s so-called core personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes food and energy items, rose 0.1% from March. From a year ago, it advanced 2.5%, Bureau of Economic Analysis data out Friday showed. Both readings were in line with economists’ forecast.2) Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, joins to talk about any potential upheaval that could come as continued on-again, off-again tariffs. The Trump administration is exploring alternative options to pursue tariffs, including using other legal authorities, but these options may be more complicated and time-consuming, and could take months to execute. As a result, traders are reassessing their appetite for riskier assets amid concerns over weaker growth and fiscal strain.3) Pat Haskell, Head: Muni Bond Group at BlackRock, on muni performance through 2025 and how munis function as a safe haven amid tariff uncertainty. Investors are also parsing data for clues on how the policies are affecting the economy amid concerns over weaker growth and fiscal strain.4) Lindsey Piegza, Chief Economist at Stifel, brings us into the market open and talks about the outlook for inflation in the US after today's PCE report. Meanwhile in Washington, President Trump pushed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to lower interest rates at their first in-person meeting since the president's inauguration. Powell stressed that the path of policy will depend on incoming economic information.5) Phillip Diehl, President of US Money Reserve and 35th Director of the US Mint, talks about recent fluctuations in gold prices and gold buying trends among consumers. Gold fell, putting it on track for an almost 2% weekly loss, amid a technical pullback in prices ahead of key US economic data. Despite the declines, bullion's haven appeal remains intact due to uncertainties surrounding Trump's tariff agenda and tensions with China.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

30 Maj 54min

Tom Keene breaks down the Single Best Idea from the latest edition of Bloomberg Surveillance Radio. In this episode, we feature conversations with Wendy Schiller & Anastasia Amoroso Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACFSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

29 Maj 4min