Goodbye Recession: Welcome to the 2025 Economic Boom

Goodbye Recession: Welcome to the 2025 Economic Boom

In this episode, Nik Bhatia sits down with Eric Wallerstein of Yardeni Research to dissect the forces driving today’s financial markets. They explore how rising interest rates and evolving monetary policy are reshaping recession expectations and the resilience of the corporate bond market, dive into the Fed’s cautious balance sheet management, the risks of private credit, and the impact of bond volatility on equity returns. The discussion highlights the effects of a strong dollar, the Treasury’s strategy to manage the yield curve, and the interplay between the Fed and Treasury in shaping future policy. Eric draws from his experience at the New York Fed to analyze how these factors influence stock market profit margins, the housing market, and the global economic outlook, offering key insights into the shifting dynamics of financial markets.

The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

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The Money Printer Is Back On with Lyn Alden

The Money Printer Is Back On with Lyn Alden

Nik welcomes back Lyn Alden for a wide-ranging conversation on AI's economic impact, the repricing of software stocks, and why the deficit only goes one direction. The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do ...

12 Apr 1h 1min

The Everything Bubble Is Over: Michael Howell’s Warning for 2026

The Everything Bubble Is Over: Michael Howell’s Warning for 2026

Nik welcomes back Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital for an urgent breakdown of the global liquidity cycle. Michael explains why the cyclical top is in, how oil, the MOVE index, and the dollar have...

1 Apr 1h 8min

RISE of the American Empire with Brent Johnson

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In this episode, Nik welcomes back Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital for a wide-ranging global macro conversation. Brent breaks down the dollar's behavior during geopolitical crises, the deglobalizati...

25 Mars 57min

The AI-Pentagon War That Every Bitcoiner Needs to Understand

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In this episode, Nik welcomes back Yaël Ossowski, Fellow at the Bitcoin Policy Institute, to break down the escalating standoff between Anthropic and the Pentagon. They examine how Claude was reported...

4 Mars 28min

Claude Eclipses Trump as the Most Important Force in Global Macro

Claude Eclipses Trump as the Most Important Force in Global Macro

In this episode, Nik breaks down why Anthropic's Claude has displaced Donald Trump as the single most important force driving global macro and financial markets, walking through the system-level evide...

28 Feb 44min

Individual Ownership Peaked in 2024 and What Comes Next for Bitcoin

Individual Ownership Peaked in 2024 and What Comes Next for Bitcoin

In this episode, Nik sits down with Sam Baker, Research at River, to break down River's second annual Bitcoin adoption report, covering how institutional ownership, registered investment advisors, sov...

24 Feb 39min

The Liquidity Signal That Called Bitcoin's Drop Is Still Red

The Liquidity Signal That Called Bitcoin's Drop Is Still Red

In this episode, Nik walks through our TBL proprietary liquidity index, explaining why the red signal flagged in late December and confirmed in January preceded Bitcoin's sharp decline below $70,000. ...

18 Feb 28min

Global Macro Update: Inflation Cools, Bond Yields Drop, & Bitcoin Reacts

Global Macro Update: Inflation Cools, Bond Yields Drop, & Bitcoin Reacts

In this episode, Nik breaks down Bitcoin’s bounce following a softer-than-expected CPI print and falling Treasury yields, analyzing the rollover in the 200-day moving average, the latest negative mini...

13 Feb 32min

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