Vested Interest #24: Prediction Markets Special

This episode of Vested Interest delves into the burgeoning prediction markets space, examining its intersection with finance, gambling, and information economics, and how traditional real money gaming operators are entering this arena. Pierre, Benjie and Lloyd analyze the potential for prediction markets to reshape betting and decision-making, while also considering regulatory challenges and the competitive landscape.

⏰ Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro

00:43 - Sponsors

03:00 - The rise of prediction markets in finance and betting

06:30 - Gambling vs. speculation: Where do we draw the line?

09:30 - FanDuel, Kalshi, Robinhood: Collision or coexistence?

13:30 - Why regulated operators are watching prediction markets closely

16:00 - What regulators should be worried about

18:40 - Who will win: Platforms, products, or distribution power?

22:30 - M&A and partnerships: Survive now, win later

24:00 - Risks, regulation gaps, and gray zones

26:30 - Can sports betting, sweepstakes, and prediction coexist?

29:10 - Why no one wants to be the “casino of prediction markets”

31:30 - What investors want—and what makes them nervous

34:30 - The future: Prediction markets as a mainstream product

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