164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

164: Expectancy vs. Win Rate: What Really Matters

In this episode of the Stock Market Options Trading Podcast, Eric dives into the concept of expectancy—a key metric that blends win rate, average win size, and average loss size into one number that helps traders understand whether a strategy has a real edge over the long run.

We break down why a high win rate alone doesn’t guarantee profits (think 98% win rate ads…), and how expectancy provides better context by showing how much you can expect to make or lose per trade on average. Eric also shares updates inside Alpha Crunching: the Trade Ideas tab now includes expectancy alongside win rate, giving subscribers deeper insight when sorting potential setups for the week.

You’ll also hear about future enhancements—like adding average win and loss values—so traders can better gauge risk-reward and decide which setups fit their personal style.

👉 Try Alpha Crunching for yourself and get 50% off your first month here: https://alphacrunching.com

Avsnitt(177)

177: How I’m Trading This Volatile SPX Market Right Now

177: How I’m Trading This Volatile SPX Market Right Now

Before we jump in — if you want to see the tools mentioned in this episode in action, including the 0DTE Trend Spread Engine and the 1DTE Bias indicator, visit AlphaCrunching.com to learn more and joi...

9 Mars 15min

176: Fine-Tuning Your Credit Spread Entries

176: Fine-Tuning Your Credit Spread Entries

👉 Read the Trend Spread Engine article here:https://www.alphacrunching.com/blog/spx-0dte-options-trading-using-the-trend-spread-engine-to-find-high-probability-intraday-windowsIn this episode, I expa...

17 Feb 8min

175: Breakeven Iron Condor Strategy (7DTE)

175: Breakeven Iron Condor Strategy (7DTE)

In this episode, I’m joined by Brian Terry to break down a breakeven iron condor strategy he’s actively trading right now.Brian walks through how he enters the call side and put side separately, targe...

28 Jan 21min

174: How To Trade Earnings Using Earnings-Watcher.com

174: How To Trade Earnings Using Earnings-Watcher.com

Earnings season can be one of the biggest drivers of volatility in the stock market—and understanding how stocks behave around earnings is critical for options traders.In this episode, I’m joined by D...

12 Jan 35min

173: What the 0DTE Trend Spread Engine Is Already Revealing

173: What the 0DTE Trend Spread Engine Is Already Revealing

In this episode, we review some early backtest results from AlphaCrunching.com's newly launched 0DTe Trend Spread Engine (TSE).We're only 3 weeks into the stats but taking 0DTE trend spreads during th...

5 Jan 14min

172: The 0DTE Trend Spread Engine: Building in Public

172: The 0DTE Trend Spread Engine: Building in Public

In this episode, Eric breaks down the core ideas behind the 0DTE Trend Spread Engine (TSE) and how it fits into the broader Alpha Crunching philosophy of trading probabilities, not predictions.The TSE...

19 Dec 202517min

171: Stock Market Update and Economic Events This Week

171: Stock Market Update and Economic Events This Week

In this episode, we'll cover the key levels based on options positioning and the large range the S&P500 has been in since October. We'll review the Fed's dual mandate and why so much attention is paid...

8 Dec 202511min

170: SPX Iron Condor Setup

170: SPX Iron Condor Setup

In this episode, I’m walking through an SPX Iron Condor setup I’m pricing out as volatility continues to rise and the market dips below key moving averages.Here's the link the video version: https://y...

6 Nov 20253min

Populärt inom Business & ekonomi

badfluence
framgangspodden
varvet
rss-jossan-nina
rss-borsens-finest
rss-svart-marknad
uppgang-och-fall
avanzapodden
svd-tech-brief
fill-or-kill
rss-den-nya-ekonomin
rss-dagen-med-di
lastbilspodden
borsmorgon
ekonomiekot-extra
dynastin
rss-kort-lang-analyspodden-fran-di
rss-inga-dumma-fragor-om-pengar
bathina-en-podcast
market-makers