Macro Lit Review 1: Highlights from Mid-2022 with George Selgin

Macro Lit Review 1: Highlights from Mid-2022 with George Selgin

George Selgin is a senior fellow and director emeritus of the Center for Monetary and Financial Alternatives at the Cato Institute. He is also the most frequent guest on Macro Musings, now appearing for his 12th time. In this episode, George and David identify and discuss their top three articles from the past few weeks related to macroeconomics and monetary policy. Specifically, George and Selgin discuss Lael Brainard's recent speech defending the Fed's prospects of issuing central bank digital currency, Janet Yellen's concession about the path that inflation has taken, the governmental accounting of Federal Reserve losses and whether they amount to a net taxpayer burden, why the Dollar remains firm as the dominant currency in global markets, how an orthodox corridor system defaults into a floor system during times of crisis, and much more.

Transcript for the episode can be found here.

George's Twitter: @GeorgeSelgin

George's Cato profile

David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth

Follow us on Twitter: @Macro_Musings

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Related Links:

*No, Fed, Unrealized Losses are Real Losses for Taxpayers* by Bill Nelson

*Preparing for the Financial System of the Future* speech by Lael Brainard at the 2022 U.S. Monetary Policy Forum

*What if the Federal Reserve Books Losses Because of its Quantitative Easing?* by Willam B. English and Donald Kohn

*From Burns to Powell*, a Macro Musings podcast episode with Guest Donald Kohn and host David Beckworth

*Treasury Secretary Concedes She Was Wrong on 'Path That Inflation Would Take'* By Kevin Liptak and Paul LeBlanc

*How Monetary Policy Got Behind The Curve And How To Get Back: A Policy Conference* Hoover Institution, Stanford University

*Jack Dorsey is Wrong. The Dollar is Still a Global Reserve Currency* by Mark Copelovitch

*A Model of Credit, Money, Interest, and Prices* by Saki Bigio and Yuliy Sannikov

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43 – Eswar Prasad on Chinese Monetary Policy – Past and Present

43 – Eswar Prasad on Chinese Monetary Policy – Past and Present

Eswar Prasad is the Tolani Senior Professor of Trade Policy and Professor of Economics at Cornell University and a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. He joins the show to discuss his new book, *Gaining Currency: The Rise of the Renminbi,* which examines the rise of China's currency, the renminbi (RMB), and its role in global finance. Prasad argues that the RMB is on the road to becoming a reserve currency, but it will not challenge the US dollar's dominance as a safe haven currency. David and Eswar also discuss China's interesting history as the first country with paper money and a fiat currency. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Eswar's Cornell homepage: http://prasad.dyson.cornell.edu/ Eswar's Brookings homepage: https://www.brookings.edu/experts/eswar-prasad/ David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Eswar's Twitter: @EswarSPrasad Related links: *Gaining Currency: The Rise of the Renminbi* by Eswar S. Prasad https://global.oup.com/academic/product/gaining-currency-9780190631055?cc=us&lang=en&

6 Feb 20171h 2min

42 – Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde on European Economic History and Macroeconomic Modeling

42 – Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde on European Economic History and Macroeconomic Modeling

Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde is a professor of economics and director of graduate studies of economics at the University of Pennsylvania. He joins the show to discuss both his extensive work in economic history as well as macroeconomic modeling. David and Jesus discuss the economic history of Germany in the 1920s and 1930s and the events that led to the rise of the Nazis as well as more recent events such as the struggles facing the Eurozone. They also discuss debates surrounding the usefulness of current-day macroeconomic models. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Jesus' webpage: http://economics.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/ David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Related links: "The econometrics of DSGE models" by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde http://economics.sas.upenn.edu/~jesusfv/econometricsDSGE.pdf "Computing DSGE Models with Recursive Preferences and Stochastic Volatility" by Dario Caldara, Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Juan Rubio-Ramirez, and Wen Yao https://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2012/201204/201204pap.pdf "The Trouble with Macroeconomics" by Paul Romer https://paulromer.net/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/WP-Trouble.pdf

30 Jan 20171h 2min

41 - Gauti Eggertsson on the Zero-Lower Bound and Liquidity Traps

41 - Gauti Eggertsson on the Zero-Lower Bound and Liquidity Traps

Gauti Eggertsson is a professor of economics at Brown University. Previously, he worked at the research departments at the International Monetary Fund and the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. He joins the show to discuss his work on the history of liquidity traps and extremely low and even negative interest rates. He and David discuss examples from the Great Depression to Japan in the 1990s to today. Gauti also shares his thoughts on the Fed's quantitative easing (QE) program and why it failed to return the economy back to normal. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Gauti's Brown University homepage: https://sites.google.com/site/gautieggertsson/home David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Related links: "The Zero Bound on Interest Rates and Optimal Monetary Policy" by Gauti Eggertsson and Michael Woodford https://www.brookings.edu/bpea-articles/the-zero-bound-on-interest-rates-and-optimal-monetary-policy/ "Great Expectations and the End of the Depression" by Gauti Eggertsson https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr234.pdf "The Fed's Dirty Little Secret" by David Beckworth http://people.wku.edu/david.beckworth/fed_dirty.pdf "Japan's Trap" by Paul Krugman https://www.princeton.edu/~pkrugman/japans_trap.pdf

23 Jan 20171h

40 - Anat Admati on Debt, Equity, and Financial Instability

40 - Anat Admati on Debt, Equity, and Financial Instability

Anat Admati is the George G.C. Parker Professor of Finance and Economics at Stanford University's Graduate School of Business and co-author of the book, *The Bankers' New Clothes: What's Wrong with Banking and What to Do About It.* She joins the show to discuss her book, which argues that America's banking system continues to be dangerously fragile even in the aftermath of the Dodd-Frank Act. Anat argues that banks take on too much leverage and that they should be required to hold more equity. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Anat's Stanford profile: https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/faculty/anat-r-admati David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Anat's Twitter: @anatadmati Related: *The Bankers' New Clothes: What's Wrong with Banking and What to Do About It* by Anat Admati and Martin Hellwig http://bankersnewclothes.com/ Anat's paper, "It Takes a Village to Maintain a Dangerous Financial System" http://bankersnewclothes.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/Takes-a-Village-May-2016.pdf

16 Jan 20171h 3min

39 - Allan Meltzer on the Monetarist Counterrevolution and Economic Reforms

39 - Allan Meltzer on the Monetarist Counterrevolution and Economic Reforms

In this week's special episode recorded in front of a live audience, David interviews the renowned monetary economist, Allan Meltzer. Meltzer, a professor of political economy at Carnegie Mellon University and one of the founders of the monetarist school of thought discusses his long career in academia and policy. David and Allan also discuss current central bank policy, both in the United States and abroad, and how monetary policy can become more rules-based. Finally, Allan also argues many of our current economic problems are real, not nominal, and he hopes a Trump Administration can address some of these woes. Note: this episode took place before the December 2016 interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Allan Meltzer's bio: http://tepper.cmu.edu/our-faculty-and-research/about-our-faculty/faculty-profiles/am05/meltzer-allan David's Twitter: @DavidBeckworth Related links: "A History of the Federal Reserve (Volumes I and II)" by Allan Meltzer (University of Chicago Press) http://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/H/bo3634061.html http://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/H/bo6887672.html "Keynes's Monetary Theory: A Different Interpretation" by Allan Meltzer (Cambridge University Press) https://www.amazon.com/Keyness-Monetary-Theory-Different-Interpretation/dp/0521022754

9 Jan 201753min

38 - Ylan Mui on the Fed Beat and Trumponomics

38 - Ylan Mui on the Fed Beat and Trumponomics

Ylan Mui covers White House economic policy for the Washington Post. Previously, she covered the Federal Reserve. Today, she joins the show to discuss what it is like to attend Fed press conferences and write on the technical nuances of Fed policy. David and Ylan also discuss what a Trump Administration might mean for economic issues ranging from trade to infrastructure spending to monetary policy. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ Ylan's archive: https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/ylan-q-mui/ David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Ylan's Twitter: @ylanmui

2 Jan 20171h

37 - Laura Birg and Anna Goeddeke on Christmas Economics

37 - Laura Birg and Anna Goeddeke on Christmas Economics

In this week's special episode, David discusses the economics of Christmas with Laura Birg, a post-doctoral researcher at the University of Goettingen, and Anna Goeddke, a professor of economics at the ESB Business School at Reutlingen University. Topics include the dead-weight loss of gift-giving, Christmas' effects on seasonal GDP, increases in alcohol consumption, and the effect of secularization on Christmas celebrations. [Note: We will be taking a break next week for the holidays, but we will be back the following Monday, January 2, with the Washington Post's Ylan Mui!] David's blog: macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Anna's VoxEU profile: http://voxeu.org/users/annagoeddeke0 Anna's Twitter: @annagoeddeke Laura's University of Goettingen profile: https://www.uni-goettingen.de/en/362254.html Related links: "Christmas Economics – A Sleigh Ride" by Laura Birg and Anna Goeddke (2014) https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2526055 "The Seasonal Cycle and the Business Cycle" by Robert Barsky and Jeffrey Miron (1988) http://www.nber.org/papers/w2688 "The Business Cycle Effects of Christmas" by YI Wen (2001) https://www.discuto.io/sites/default/files/christmas2010.pdf We Wish you a Merry Christmas Kevin MacLeod (incompetech.com) Licensed under Creative Commons: By Attribution 3.0 License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

19 Dec 201654min

36 - The Macroeconomics of Star Wars and Star Trek

36 - The Macroeconomics of Star Wars and Star Trek

In this week's special episode, David compares and contrasts the economics of the Star Wars and Star Trek universes. He is joined by Zachary Feinstein, an Assistant Professor at Washington University in St. Louis, and Manu Saadia, author of *Trekonomics.* Topics include the economic fallout from the destruction of the Death Star, the absence of money in Star Trek, and whether a universe can really eliminate scarcity. David's blog: http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com/ David's Twitter: @davidbeckworth Manu's *Trekonomics* website: https://trekonomics.tumblr.com/ (you can order the book, *Trekonomics,* here as well) Manu's Twitter: @trekonomics Zach's faculty profile: https://sites.wustl.edu/fictionomics/ Zach's Twitter: @FictionomicsWU Related links: "It's a Trap: Emperor Palpatine's Poison Pill" by Zachary Feinstein https://arxiv.org/pdf/1511.09054.pdf "The Case for the Empire" by Jonathan Last http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-case-for-the-empire/article/2540

12 Dec 201658min

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