Best Player Props for Week 10 + Circa Million ATS Picks w/ Jared Smith & Ryan McKee | Stephie Smalls Show (Ep 172)

We kick off with Producer Ryan and Steph locking in this week’s Circa Million selections and promising to “get weird” after a bumpy stretch. They circle Eagles +2.5 at Green Bay off a bye, Bucs −2.5 vs New England, Bills −9.5 vs Miami, Lions −7.5 at Washington, and Ravens −3.5 at Minnesota—leaning into favorites where the market strength and matchup trends line up. Jared Smith (Fox Sports Radio) joins to sanity-check the card: he backs Philly’s underdog case, loves Detroit’s “off a loss” smash profile with their line back healthy, and leans Buffalo given Miami’s defensive issues and Buffalo’s #1 seed urgency. They talk Vikings’ blitz vs Lamar, Baltimore’s run angle (Derrick Henry usage), and the reality that NFL spreads are often coin flips—so ride identity, QBs, and coaching when in doubt.
Then it’s Week 10 player props. Jared fires on Jonathan Taylor rushing vs Atlanta’s run D, Dowdle rushing in a positive script, Bears RB overs (Swift/Mungai roles), and Rams RB longest-rush overs in a San Francisco revenge spot. Steph adds Jaxson Dart over rushing (mobile QBs have cleared vs Chicago), Derrick Henry rush attempts over in a volume matchup, and Dalton Schultz receiving yards with a backup QB leaning on his TE. They kick around a Garrett Wilson yardage under given health and Jets volatility, with nuance about market pricing vs “tanking” myths—players’ tape still matters for jobs.
Finally, Extra Holes: Producer Ryan returns with Shanks—the funniest/weirdest moments—and a spicy TD look: Tyler Allgeier first TD and anytime TD in a goal-line role against a defense allowing the most rushing TDs. Steph’s “Stephceptions” closes with long-reception darts: Jamison Williams and Amon-Ra St. Brown vs Washington, plus Barkley and other longest-rush angles. It’s a fast, funny, actionable hour: Dads & Duds, Circa picks, sharp props, then Extra Holes to land the plane.

00:00:00 Show open
00:01:10 Circa picks start
00:02:30 Eagles vs Packers
00:04:04 Bucs vs Patriots
00:04:49 Cards vs Seahawks
00:06:39 Bills vs Dolphins
00:08:30 Lions vs Washington
00:10:24 Bears vs Giants
00:11:31 Jared joins
00:13:54 Ravens vs Vikings
00:15:56 Lions, Bills cases
00:19:47 Picks locked in
00:24:29 Jared props
00:26:29 Steph props set
00:28:17 Garrett Wilson talk
00:30:57 Jared final thoughts
00:31:44 Jared plugs out
00:33:39 Extra Holes begins
00:34:51 Stephceptions long shots

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