2025 Autonomy Outlook, Legacy Automakers’ Innovation Paralysis, Will FSD Return Tesla to Growth?

2025 Autonomy Outlook, Legacy Automakers’ Innovation Paralysis, Will FSD Return Tesla to Growth?

In the first episode of Autonomy Markets in 2025, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the ever-evolving landscape of autonomous vehicles and the growth of big tech. Waymo's technical advancements and steady expansion made the company the clear leader in robotaxis in 2024. While Waymo cemented their role as the leader in robotaxis, Tesla is nipping at their heels as the company prepares to introduce a robotaxi service with the Cybercab. As Waymo and Tesla advanced in 2024, investors fears in Uber's robotaxi strategy only escalated. While investors fear Uber's robotaxi prospects, investors cheered when GM shutdown Cruise. Was this the right move? Or this another example of traditional automakers being unable to innovate a create new tech forward products? All this and more on this week's edition of Autonomy Markets. Episode Chapters 0:00 2025 Autonomy Markets Outlook 7:21 Share Buybacks 9:07 Traditional Automotive OEMs 15:07 Leaning into The Future 17:45 Tesla Q4 2024 Deliveries 18:35 Tesla FSD (Full Self-Driving) Take Rates 22:25 Tesla Cybertruck/Trump Hotel Attack 25:21 Elon Musk's Focus on Policy 27:36 Beijing Gives Green Light to Autonomous Vehicles 30:46 Autonomy M&A 34:11 MAG 7 35:56 Waymo 37:32 Warning Triangles 42:19 CES 2025


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LightShed Partners is a leading independent research firm focused on the convergence of technology, media, and telecommunications. Known for its forward-thinking insights, LightShed Partners provides in-depth analysis on trends, disruptions, and innovations shaping these industries, offering clients data-driven research to inform investment decisions. ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Sign up for research here.⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠

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Tesla FSD 14 Updates and Waymo’s Latest Moove Away from Uber

Tesla FSD 14 Updates and Waymo’s Latest Moove Away from Uber

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla’s continued FSD 14 updates, Waymo’s expansion to London and the growing political and infrastructure challenges shaping th...

18 Okt 202533min

First Impressions of Tesla FSD 14, Waymo’s Next Potential Markets

First Impressions of Tesla FSD 14, Waymo’s Next Potential Markets

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Tesla’s FSD 14 release and Waymo’s potential market expansions.The episode begins with Walt sharing his firsthand experience tes...

11 Okt 202536min

From London to Dubai Robotaxis are Rapidly Expanding Globally

From London to Dubai Robotaxis are Rapidly Expanding Globally

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the accelerating global expansion of robotaxis. In London, Wayve is proving its adaptable, AI-powered autonomous system can navi...

4 Okt 202539min

Does Tesla FSD 14 Matter?

Does Tesla FSD 14 Matter?

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the upcoming release of Tesla FSD 14, Waymo’s potential expansion to London and Nuro taking delivery of their first Lucid-built ...

27 Sep 202533min

Lyft’s Back! Waymo Deal Shocks Market, Tesla & Uber Forge Unthinkable Alliance

Lyft’s Back! Waymo Deal Shocks Market, Tesla & Uber Forge Unthinkable Alliance

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss Lyft’s dramatic return to the big leagues of the autonomous vehicle industry through a surprise partnership with Waymo in Nashvi...

20 Sep 202538min

Grok vs Gemini: Why AI Could Be the Most Valuable Car Real Estate

Grok vs Gemini: Why AI Could Be the Most Valuable Car Real Estate

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the rapidly shifting landscape of AI inside of vehicles, exploring how xAI’s Grok and Google’s Gemini are shaping the next wave ...

13 Sep 202542min

Who is Winning the Robotaxi Heavyweight Fight? Waymo or Tesla?

Who is Winning the Robotaxi Heavyweight Fight? Waymo or Tesla?

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk discuss the new expansion announcements from both Waymo and Tesla, framing it as a “heavyweight fight”. Waymo announced plans to expand ...

6 Sep 202542min

Uber CEO Reignites the Great Waymo vs Tesla Debate

Uber CEO Reignites the Great Waymo vs Tesla Debate

This week on Autonomy Markets, Grayson Brulte and Walter Piecyk marked the one-year anniversary of Autonomy Markets and discussed the reignited debate between LiDAR and vision-only after comments made...

30 Aug 202531min

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